Charlee Soto
SP · Fort Myers Mighty Mussels · Low-A · 20.0y · #3267 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait
41 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $21.49, over the $14.98 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Draft Charlee Soto True Orange…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, expensive market.
Charlee Soto scores 41 out of 100 (#3267 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $11–19 off 1 confirmed sale.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production.
Why now
6 new copies listed this week
Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.
What could go wrong
No professional sample
We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-CS — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$11.23–18.73midpoint $14.98
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-22 · 2 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-CS
Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto
The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Blue Wave Refractor Charlee Soto Auto 0m4r at $108, 620% over the $14.98 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $14.98 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
13 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 12 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 6 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman Draft Charlee Soto True Orange Chrome /25 Auto Bowman 1st PSA 9
/25 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 51d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman Draft Charlee Soto 1st Black Refractor Auto /75 PSA 10 Twins CDA-CS
/75 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 18d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman Draft Charlee Soto 1st Chrome Auto #CDA-CS Minnesota Twins
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
—
sold $14.98
PASS
2023 Bowman Draft Charlee Soto 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 17d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$21.49
sold $14.98
LOTTERY
2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Charlee Soto Auto 03hd
/250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$74.53
modeled $8.76–34.08
PASS
2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Charlee Soto #CDA-CS Auto rf2
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$28.81
sold $14.98
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Charlee Soto, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $10.74–$22.56, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $21.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $21.49 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Blue Wave RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $107.88, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $107.88 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +402%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $74.53, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $74.53 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -31%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet
What he is good at
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
—
not measured for him yet
—
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
—
not measured for him yet
—
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
—
not measured for him yet
—
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
—
not measured for him yet
—
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
—
not measured for him yet
—
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
60
plus · better than 83% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
Will he get there?
Long shot 3.8 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingno season line on file
We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market13 listed · 13 eBay-verified · 6 not shown above
- Listings
- 13
- Lowest seen
- $21.49
- Median ask
- $30.98
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $21.49
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- —
13 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 10 hours ago.
The other 6 cards
- $28.822023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Charlee Soto #CDA-CS Auto 13c1PASS
- $30.832023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Charlee Soto #CDA-CS Auto 8g8PASS
- $31.122023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Charlee Soto #CDA-CS Auto 4k8PASS
- $31.122023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Charlee Soto #CDA-CS Auto 0us8PASS
- $107.882023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Blue Wave Refractor Charlee Soto Auto 0m4rPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft CHARLEE SOTO 1st Auto Gold Shimmer Refractor /50PASS
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
- We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run