Deal Sniper

Matthew Fisher

SP · Low-A · 20.0y · #3267 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

41 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

16 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2025 Matthew Fisher 1st Bowman Chrome…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Matthew Fisher scores 41 out of 100 (#3267 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.

We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SP sells at a discount at equal production.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • No professional sample

    We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-MF — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 6 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 6 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-MF

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 6 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Green Refractor 46/99 Matthew Fisher Auto 0j81 at $109, 240% over the $32 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/99 at or under $32 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

16 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 16 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 10 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Matthew Fisher Chrome Auto Red Mojo Refractor 1st 5/5

    /5 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 34d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $306.24

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2025 Matthew Fisher 1st Bowman Chrome Popcorn Auto SP /5 - Centered!!!

    /5 · raw · condition not stated · listed 10d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Matthew Fisher #CPA-MF Sparkle Chrome 1st #66/71 Auto PSA 10

    /71 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 24d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Matthew Fisher Chrome Auto HTA Choice Refractor 1st #/150

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    modeled ~$6.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Matthew Fisher 2025 Bowman Chrome Draft #CPA-MF Auto 1st SEE note*

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 42d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $16.00

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Matthew Fisher Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-MF Phillies

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 134d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $17.74

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Matthew Fisher, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $8.00–$16.80, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • PurpleTHIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $51.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $108.73, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +110%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Red Mojo Refractor /5 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $306.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    5 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +182%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet

What he is good at

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    not measured for him yet

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    not measured for him yet

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    not measured for him yet

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    not measured for him yet

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    not measured for him yet

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    60

    plus · better than 83% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.8 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingno season line on file

We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-25$20.00 plus $1.36 shipping · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market16 listed · 16 eBay-verified · 10 not shown above
Listings
16

16 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$16.00
Median ask
$33.98
Cheapest 1st auto
$16.00
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$306.24

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 10 cards

  • $18.48Matthew Fisher 2025 Bowman Chrome Draft #CPA-MF Auto 1stLOTTERY
  • $19.902025 Bowman Draft Chrome Matthew Fisher Auto 1st Bowman Phillies ProspectLOTTERY
  • 2025 Bowman Draft Matthew Fisher 1st Prospect Chrome Base Auto #CPA-MF PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Draft Matthew Fisher Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-MF PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Matthew Fisher 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Phillies Prospect AutographNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $51.822025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 489/499 Matthew Fisher Auto 1e0wNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $62.732025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 193/499 Matthew Fisher Auto 0j81NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $33.982025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Matthew Fisher #CPA-MF Auto 0j81NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Draft 1st Matthew Fisher Auto (AU) PSA PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $108.732025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Green Refractor 46/99 Matthew Fisher Auto 0j81PASS
What this page is missing2 things we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
  • We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.

Worth reading for this player