Cameron Nelson
CF · Spokane Indians · High-A · 22.0y · #3173 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
43 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
40 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Draft Cameron Nelson…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Cameron Nelson scores 43 out of 100 (#3173 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 43 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
Plate discipline: well below
7.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Speed: above average
28 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 67% at his level.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
CF is a position the hobby pays up for.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
43 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 7 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 7 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 7 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /150 at $8.98 costs 1.80× base, and print run alone suggests 1.50×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
40 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 40 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 34 are under "The whole live market".
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Draft Cameron Nelson True Purple Auto /250 PSA 10 POP 1
/250 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 62d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Cameron Nelson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Black Auto /10 Rockies SSP
/10 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 83d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Cameron Nelson 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Gold Wave Refractor Auto /50 #CPA-CN
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$46.74
modeled ~$350.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2025 Bowman Chrome Cameron Nelson 1st Bowman Yellow Refractor Auto /75 CPA-CN
/75 · raw · condition not stated · listed 8d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$21.68
modeled ~$9.50
LOTTERY
Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Cameron Nelson 1st Bowman RC Auto /150 Rockies Blue
/150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 12d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$8.98
modeled ~$14.50
LOTTERY
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Cameron Nelson Blue Refractor Auto /150 #CPA-CN Rockies
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$14.61
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.98 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $12.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $12.00 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +141%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $21.68, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $21.68 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +141%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Wave Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $46.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $46.74 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +116%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 48 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 48 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
49
average · better than 48% at his level
25.6% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
49
average · better than 47% at his level
.128 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
41
well below · better than 18% at his level
7.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
54
above average · better than 67% at his level
28 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
54
above average · better than 64% at his level · the result, not a skill
.759 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 45th percentile of the cohort, production at the 64th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 45 and his production sits at 64, a gap of -19. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 21th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 3.9 / 10
- old for High-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
43
AVG
.282
OBP
.349
SLG
.410
OPS
.759
better than 64%
HR
1
SB
2
BB%
7.0
K%
25.6
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market40 listed · 40 eBay-verified · 34 not shown above
- Listings
- 40
- Lowest seen
- $4.98
- Median ask
- $11.70
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $4.98
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $8.98
40 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 34 cards
- $12.00🔥2025 Bowman Draft - Cameron Nelson 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499LOTTERY
- $12.50Cameron Nelson 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CN 1st AUTO REFRACTOR /499 ROCKIESLOTTERY
- $12.972025 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 Cameron Nelson CPA-CN RockiesLOTTERY
- $15.192025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect Refractor Cameron Nelson Auto 423/499LOTTERY
- —🔥2025 Bowman Draft - Cameron Nelson 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Cameron Nelson 1st Bowman Chrome Auto /499 2026 Rockies Prospect RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $105.99CAMERON NELSON 2025 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME PROSPECT AUTO RC SP PSA 10/10 POP 1 BANEEDS EVIDENCE
- $5.002025 Bowman Draft #CPA-CN Cameron Nelson Chrome 1st Auto Colorado RockiesLOTTERY
- $5.752025 Bowman Draft #CPA-CN Cameron Nelson Chrome 1st Bowman Autograph AutoLOTTERY
- $5.782025 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto Cameron Nelson #CPA-CN RockiesLOTTERY
- $7.242025 Bowman Chrome Draft Autographs Cameron Nelson 1st Rookie AUTO RockiesLOTTERY
- $8.992025 Bowman Draft CAMERON NELSON Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-CN RockiesLOTTERY
- $9.312025 Topps Bowman Chrome #CPA-CN Cameron Nelson 1st Auto RockiesLOTTERY
- $11.05CAMERON NELSON 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Prospect RC - PACK FRESHLOTTERY
- $11.322025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect - Cameron Nelson Auto Colorado Rockies #CPA-CNLOTTERY
- $11.502025 Topps Bowman Chrome Cameron Nelson #CPA-CN 1st Bowman Auto LOTTERY
- $11.902025 Bowman Draft Chrome Cameron Nelson 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-CN Rockies (AU)LOTTERY
- $11.992025 Bowman Draft Chrome Cameron Nelson Auto Colorado Rockies #BDC-130 1st CardLOTTERY
- $12.222025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect - Cameron Nelson Auto Colorado Rockies #CPA-CNLOTTERY
- $15.952025 Bowman Draft Chrome - CAMERON NELSON 1st Auto - CPA-CNLOTTERY
- —CAMERON NELSON 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH AUTO #CPA-CN ROCKIESNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Cameron Nelson Autograph Signed 2025 1st Bowman Chrome #BDC-130 Auto RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —CAMERON NELSON 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH AUTO #CPA-CN ROCKIES Q6608NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME MLB #CPA-CN Cameron Nelson Rockies RC 1st Prospect AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft Cameron Nelson Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-CN RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —1st Bowman Cameron Nelson 2025 Draft CPA-CN Chrome Auto Colorado RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft Cameron Nelson Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-CN RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —CAMERON NELSON 2025 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AUTOGRAPH AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME MLB #CPA-CN Cameron Nelson Rockies RC 1st Prospect AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —CAMERON NELSON - 2025 Bowman Draft - Chrome True Blue Auto /150 #CPA-CN AstrosNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $4.982025 Bowman Draft CAMERON NELSON #CPA-CN 1st Prospect Auto RockiesLOTTERY
- $10.422025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Cameron Nelson #CPA-CN Auto tw0LOTTERY
- $20.772025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Cameron Nelson #CPA-CN Auto 1l7vLOTTERY
- —Topps 2025 Bowman Draft Cameron Nelson Rockies Chrome Prospect Auto RC /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run