Deal Sniper

Jackson Chourio

LF · Nashville Sounds · Triple-A · 22.0y · #3098 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

44 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Below market

His best /99 asks $296 against the $350 that card has sold in.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2022 Bowman JACKSON CHOURIO 1st Bowman Mega…. Evidence still thin.

Our take

Fringe prospect, and the market has not caught up.

Jackson Chourio scores 44 out of 100 (#3098 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 98% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

The price is below the sold band, but the player behind it is not one we rate highly. A cheap card of a weak prospect is still a weak position.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 9 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +4.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 98% of the players there.

  • Power: well below

    .000 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Plate discipline: elite

    33.3% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 100% at his level.

  • Bat-first profile

    LF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    Little power for his level (9th percentile).

Why now

  • Listed at your price — $255.99

    target is $480.00

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    9 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Corner-only profile

    LF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Base$255.99delivered

2022 Bowman Chrome Mega Box/Mojo Refractor Auto JACKSON CHOURIO PSA 10 BREWERS — $256 delivered, 57% under the $600 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.

See it on eBay

What would make this a buy

  • Evidence still thin
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

21 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 20 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 14 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Jackson Chourio My 1st Prospect Auto RC #/99 Brewers PSA 10

    /99 · PSA 10 · auction · listed 2d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $295.90

    sold $350

    PASS · 16% under

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman JACKSON CHOURIO 1st Bowman Mega Chrome PSA 10 Gem Mint Auto Brewers

    base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 933d

    Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way

    —

    sold $600

    PASS · 50% under

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Mega Box/Mojo Refractor Auto JACKSON CHOURIO PSA 10 BREWERS

    Mojo Refractor · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 3d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $255.99

    sold $600

    PASS · 57% under

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 1st Bowman Jackson Chourio On Card Auto PSA 10 Milwaukee Brewers

    base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 6d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    sold $600

    PASS · 77% under

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Signed Jackson Chourio 1st Bowman Paper BP79 Autographed PSA 10 Auto

    base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 688d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    —

    sold $600

    PASS · 50% under

    eBayBreakdown

  • Jackson Chourio 2022 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JCO Refractor 1st RC Auto /499 PSA 10💎

    /499 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 2d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    sold $1,177

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Jackson Chourio, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $103.75–$217.86, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in psa 10 autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing PSA 10 autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $727.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $727.82 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Mojo RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $255.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $255.99 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -65%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $295.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $295.90 live
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +16%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

12 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 53 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    51

    average · better than 53% at his level

    22.2% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    37

    well below · better than 9% at his level

    .000 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    80

    elite · better than 100% at his level

    33.3% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    44

    below average · better than 29% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    42

    below average · better than 20% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .611 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    71

    plus-plus · better than 98% at his level · context, not a skill

    +4.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 48th percentile of the cohort, production at the 20th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 90% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 48 and his production sits at 20, a gap of +28. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 90th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 7.1 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • young for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

9

AVG

.167

OBP

.444

SLG

.167

OPS

.611

better than 20%

HR

0

SB

0

BB%

33.3

K%

22.2

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market21 listed · 21 eBay-verified · 14 not shown above
Listings
21

21 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$207.49
Median ask
$306.47
Cheapest 1st auto
$207.49
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$262.00

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 14 cards

  • $727.822022 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect Autograph Jackson Chourio Auto PSA 10PASS
  • $759.992022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Jackson Chourio PSA 10 GEMPASS
  • $207.492022 1st Bowman Chrome JACKSON CHOURIO Signed Becket 10 Auto BGS BrewersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $262.002024 Bowman Chrome Jackson Chourio My 1st Bowman Auto 11/99 RC Jersey #NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $269.94Jackson Chourio Signed 2022 1st BOWMAN Aqua Shimmer Refractor Beckett Auto 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $304.992022 BOWMAN CHROME JACKSON CHOURIO 1ST BOWMAN ROOKIE AUTO PSA MINT 9 AUTO 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $307.94Jackson Chourio Brewers Auto Signed 2022 1st Bowman Blue Lava Refractor 150NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $307.94Jackson Chourio Brewers Auto Signed 2022 1st Bowman Aqua Shimmer Refractor 125NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $307.94Jackson Chourio Brewers Auto Signed 2022 1st Bowman Blue Mojo Refractor 150NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $354.99Jackson Chourio Bowman 1st Auto PsaNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Jackson Chourio Auto #CPA-JCO PSA 9 Mint SlabNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Jackson Chourio MIL Brewers CPA-JCO 1st Bowman Rookie AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Jackson Chourio 1st Auto Speckle Refractor SGC 9.5 /299NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome - Jackson Chourio 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JCO (1BA)NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now