Justin Foscue
2B · Round Rock Express · Triple-A · 27.0y · #3074 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
44 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
14 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Justin Foscue scores 44 out of 100 (#3074 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: plate discipline: plus — 15.7% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 87% at his level.
We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
The signal
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Plate discipline: plus
15.7% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 87% at his level.
Premium position
2B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Contact: plus
15.7% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 83% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
27.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $3.75 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
14 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 14 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 8 are under "The whole live market".
Justin Foscue 2021 Bowman Chrome Refractor SP Rookie RC Auto ( Rangers )
Refractor · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$3.75
modeled ~$9.05
LOTTERY
2020 Bowman Draft Chrome Justin Foscue Prospect Mojo Auto #CDA-JF
Mojo · raw · condition not stated · listed 140d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$11.46
modeled ~$9.05
LOTTERY
2020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Justin Foscue #CDA-JF Auto 5p9
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$22.77
modeled ~$9.26
LOTTERY
2020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Auto Justin Foscue #CDA-JF PSA 9 MINT Auto
base · PSA 9 · listed 615d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$34.49
modeled ~$30.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Refractor /499 Justin Foscue #CDA-JF Auto
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$39.99
modeled ~$12.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Refractor /499 Justin Foscue #CDA-JF Auto f0r
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$40.32
modeled ~$12.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder9 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $22.77, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $22.77 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- MojoTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.46, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.46 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -50%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.75 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -67%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /499THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $39.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $39.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $68.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $68.78 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +72%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $284.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $284.98 live
- Scarcity
- 30 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +314%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Wave /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $309.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $309.98 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +9%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $306.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $306.49 live
- Scarcity
- 20 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -1%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 55 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 55 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
60
plus · better than 83% at his level
15.7% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
49
average · better than 45% at his level
.139 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
61
plus · better than 87% at his level
15.7% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
51
average · better than 52% at his level
13 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
56
above average · better than 71% at his level · the result, not a skill
.833 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
48
average · better than 44% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 67th percentile of the cohort, production at the 71th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 67 and his production sits at 71, a gap of -4. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 41th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.7 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
- hitting well — 0.833 OPS in 140 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
140
AVG
.287
OBP
.407
SLG
.426
OPS
.833
better than 71%
HR
2
SB
3
BB%
15.7
K%
15.7
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-26 — $15.99 · /499 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market14 listed · 14 eBay-verified · 8 not shown above
- Listings
- 14
- Lowest seen
- $3.75
- Median ask
- $68.78
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $306.49
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $306.49
14 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 8 cards
- $68.782020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Purple Refractor /250 Justin Foscue Auto u4wNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $143.692020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Blue Wave Refractor Justin Foscue PSA 9 Auto 7k1NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $154.692020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Refractor Justin Foscue BGS 10 PRISTINE Auto 0t24NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $306.49Justin Foscue 2020 Bowman Draft 1st Edition Chrome Auto Blue /20 CDA-JF (CBRP)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $359.982020 Bowman Draft Justin Foscue 1st Sparkle Auto 69/71 PSA 10 RangersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Justin Foscue 2020 Bowman Chrome Sparkle Refractor Auto /71 Rangers 1stNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $284.982020 Bowman Draft Justin Foscue 1st Edition Auto 12/30 RangersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $309.982020 Bowman Draft Justin Foscue 1st Gold Wave Auto 47/50 Texas RangersNEEDS EVIDENCE
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run