Deal Sniper

Jurdrick Profar

SS · Kannapolis Cannon Ballers · Low-A · 19.0y · #2946 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

45 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

28 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Chrome Jurdrick Profar 1st Auto…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Jurdrick Profar scores 45 out of 100 (#2946 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $1–2 off 1 confirmed sale.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 88 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

  • Speed: below average

    0 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SS is a position the hobby pays up for; only 19.0 — years of runway.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    88 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JPR — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 12 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$1.15–1.91midpoint $1.53

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-21 · 12 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JPR

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 12 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Chrome JURDRICK PROFAR PROSPECT AUTO 1ST #CPA-JPR at $16.28, 964% over the $1.53 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $1.53 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

28 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 28 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 22 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Jurdrick Profar 1st Bowman Auto PSA 9 #CPA-JPR White Sox /499

    /499 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 500d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $28.58

    modeled ~$32.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Jurdrick Profar 1st Auto Sapphire Red Refractor /5 PSA 10 SSP

    /5 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 11d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Jurdrick Profar 1st Bowman Auto PSA 9 #CPA-JPR White Sox

    base · PSA 9 · listed 13d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    —

    modeled ~$28.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Jurdrick Profar 1st Bowman Auto PSA 9 #CPA-JPR White Sox /499

    /499 · PSA 9 · listed 101d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    —

    modeled ~$32.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome JURDRICK PROFAR Orange 1st Auto Shimmer Refractor /25 PSA 10

    /25 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 184d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Jurdrick Profar LOW POP 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto PSA 9 - WHITE SOX

    base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 230d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    —

    modeled ~$28.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.05, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $7.05 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $10.32 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +46%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $18.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $18.90 live
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +83%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $21.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $21.24 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +12%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

6 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 45 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A

What he is good at

skills overall 45 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    46

    below average · better than 35% at his level

    28.4% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    48

    average · better than 43% at his level

    .101 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    43

    below average · better than 23% at his level

    8.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    43

    below average · better than 23% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    42

    below average · better than 20% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .564 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 31th percentile of the cohort, production at the 20th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 31 and his production sits at 20, a gap of +11. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 66th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.2 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

88

AVG

.190

OBP

.273

SLG

.291

OPS

.564

better than 20%

HR

1

SB

0

BB%

8.0

K%

28.4

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market28 listed · 28 eBay-verified · 22 not shown above
Listings
28

28 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$7.05
Median ask
$15.36
Cheapest 1st auto
$7.05
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$10.32

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 22 cards

  • $21.24JURDRICK PROFAR 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST HTA CHOICE MOJO AUTO /150LOTTERY
  • —Jurdrick Profar 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Auto Autograph White Sox /250 C57PASS
  • $18.902024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JPR Jurdrick Profar 1st Speckle Auto #/299LOTTERY
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Jurdrick Profar 1st Auto Speckle Refractor /299 ProspectPASS
  • $10.32Jurdrick Profar #CPA-JPR 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Prospects Refractor Auto /499LOTTERY
  • $11.24JURDRICK PROFAR 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st CPA-JPR Refractor Autograph Auto #370/499LOTTERY
  • $15.972024 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 Jurdrick Profar White SoxLOTTERY
  • $16.242024 Bowman Chrome JURDRICK PROFAR 1st RC Refractor AUTO 181/499 White SoxLOTTERY
  • $7.05💥2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Jurdrick Profar #CPA-JPRLOTTERY
  • $7.782024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Jurdrick Profar CPA-JPR White SoxLOTTERY
  • $8.942024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JPR Jurdrick Profar 1st Chrome Prospect AutoLOTTERY
  • $13.99JURDRICK PROFAR 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-JPRLOTTERY
  • $14.742024 Bowman Chrome Jurdrick Profar #CPA-JPR 1st Bowman Auto White SoxLOTTERY
  • $16.282024 Bowman Chrome JURDRICK PROFAR PROSPECT AUTO 1ST #CPA-JPRLOTTERY
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Jurdrick Profar 1st Bowman Auto White SoxPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects Jurdrick Profar 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-JPR White SoxPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Jurdrick Profar 1st Auto (RC) #CPA-JPR White SoxPASS
  • —Jurdrick Profar 2024 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st Prospect White SoxPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Jurdrick Profar 1st Auto Chicago White SoxPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Jurdrick Profar Auto 1st #CPA-JPR White SoxPASS
  • $32.842024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Jurdrick Profar #CPA-JPR Auto 14mdPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Jurdrick Profar Auto Speckle Refractor /299 1st ProspectPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now