Deal Sniper

Franyerber Montilla

SS · Lakeland Flying Tigers · Low-A · 21.0y · #2908 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

45 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

19 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto 1st…. Player not there yet.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Franyerber Montilla scores 45 out of 100 (#2908 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: contact: elite — 0.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 100% at his level.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $2–5 off 2 confirmed sales.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 1 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Power: well below

    .000 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Contact: elite

    0.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 100% at his level.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Plate discipline: elite

    100.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 100% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    Little power for his level (9th percentile); SS is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    1 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-FM — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 12 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$1.80–5.49midpoint $4.99

Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-22 · 13 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-FM

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 12 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Franyerber Montilla #CPA-FM Auto 4k8 at $28.82, 1053% over the $2.50 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/499 at or under $2.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Priced above value
  • Player not there yet
  • On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.

What is for sale right now

19 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 19 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 13 are under "The whole live market".

  • FRANYERBER MONTILLA PSA 9 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-FM 1ST PROSPECT AUTO🔥📈

    base · PSA 9 · listed 38d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $30.99

    modeled ~$35.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto 1st Bowman Franyerber Montilla CPA-FM

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 90h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    sold $2–4.99

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Franyerber Montilla 1st Green Grass Auto Refractor /99 CPA-FM

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 314d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    $320.85

    modeled $1.94–13.83

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Franyerber Montilla #CPA-FM Auto sc8

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $28.24

    sold $2.50

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Franyerber Montilla #CPA-FM Auto 4k8

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $28.82

    sold $2.50

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Franyerber Montilla Chrome Auto #CPA-FM 1st Prospect Detroit Tigers

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 48d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.25

    sold $2–4.99

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $9.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $9.25 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $28.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $28.24 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +205%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Grass Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $320.85 live
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +1036%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 60 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A

What he is good at

skills overall 60 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    80

    elite · better than 100% at his level

    0.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    37

    well below · better than 9% at his level

    .000 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    80

    elite · better than 100% at his level

    100.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    43

    below average · better than 23% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    66

    plus-plus · better than 94% at his level · the result, not a skill

    1.000 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    54

    above average · better than 66% at his level · context, not a skill

    0.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 58th percentile of the cohort, production at the 94th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 97% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 58 and his production sits at 94, a gap of -36. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 3th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.4 / 10

  • old for Low-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

1

AVG

.000

OBP

1.000

SLG

.000

OPS

1.000

better than 94%

HR

0

SB

0

BB%

100.0

K%

0.0

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26 — $29.99 plus $6.75 shipping · /99 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market19 listed · 19 eBay-verified · 13 not shown above
Listings
19

19 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$9.25
Median ask
$19.95
Cheapest 1st auto
$9.25
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$320.85

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 13 cards

  • $12.682025 Bowman Chrome FRANYERBER MONTILLA Detroit Tigers Rookie Prospect 1st AutoPASS
  • $14.972025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Franyerber Montilla CPA FM TigersPASS
  • $15.99Franyerber Montilla Auto On Card 1st Bowman 2025 Topps Bowman Chrome TigersPASS
  • $17.242025 Bowman Franyerber Montilla CPA-FM Chrome 1st Bowman Auto/Autograph TigersPASS
  • $22.65Franyerber Montilla 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Base On Card AUTO Prospect RC TigersPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Franyerber Montilla Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-FM TigersPASS
  • —Topps 2024 Bowman Chrome Franyerber Montilla #CPA-FM 1st Bowman RC Auto TigersPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Franyerber Montilla 1st Bowman Auto CPA-FM Tigers SSPASS
  • —Franyerber Montilla 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-FM Tigers Topps CertifiedPASS
  • —Franyerber Montilla 1st Auto 2025 Bowman #CPA-FM TigersPASS
  • —Franyerber Montilla 1st Auto 2025 Bowman #CPA-FM TigersPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Franyerber Montilla 1st Auto #CPA-FMPASS
  • —Franyerber Montilla 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Base On Card AUTO Prospect RC TigersPASS

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now