CJ Kayfus
LF · Columbus Clippers · Triple-A · 24.0y · #2860 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
45 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
28 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft CJ KAYFUS 1st AUTO… at $65.95. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
CJ Kayfus scores 45 out of 100 (#2860 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — lF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
Contact: below average
27.1% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
OPS slipping
.893 last season to .705 this one.
Power slipping
.243 last season to .113 this one.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Speed: above average
18 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 65% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Corner-only profile
LF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-CKA — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 3 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-CKA
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $14.99 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
28 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 28 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 22 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman Draft C.J. Kayfus Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CDA-CKA Guardians
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 62d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$14.99
modeled ~$9.50
LOTTERY
2023 Bowman Draft Cj Kayfus 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDACKA Cleveland Guardians
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 14d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$16.50
modeled ~$9.50
LOTTERY
2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect CJ Kayfus #CDA-CKA Auto 0w7f
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 8d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$17.89
modeled ~$9.50
LOTTERY
2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect CJ Kayfus #CDA-CKA Auto 6m7
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$18.00
modeled ~$9.50
LOTTERY
2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 CJ Kayfus Auto 08z4
/250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 7d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$31.12
modeled ~$16.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman Draft C.J. Kayfus Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CDA-CKA Guardians PSA 9
base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 1d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$31.50
modeled ~$30.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on CJ Kayfus, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $7.50–$15.74, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $14.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $14.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $38.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $38.98 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +160%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $31.12, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $31.12 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -20%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $65.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $65.95 live
- Scarcity
- 71 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +112%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $336.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $336.99 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +411%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
10 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 49 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 49 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
44
below average · better than 28% at his level
27.1% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
45
below average · better than 31% at his level
.113 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
53
above average · better than 62% at his level
12.1% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
54
above average · better than 65% at his level
18 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
47
average · better than 38% at his level · the result, not a skill
.705 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
61
plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 47th percentile of the cohort, production at the 38th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 47 and his production sits at 38, a gap of +9. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 61th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.1 / 10
- already at Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
199
AVG
.240
OBP
.352
SLG
.353
OPS
.705
better than 38%
HR
3
SB
6
BB%
12.1
K%
27.1
Is this player getting better?
Down from .893 to .705 OPS this season.
Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.893▼.705
Power
.243▼.113
Walks
11.4%→12.1%
Strikeouts
27.3%→27.1%
Last season, 289 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market28 listed · 28 eBay-verified · 22 not shown above
- Listings
- 28
- Lowest seen
- $14.99
- Median ask
- $57.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $14.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $38.98
28 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 22 cards
- $38.982023 Bowman Chrome 1st C.J. Kayfus /250 Purple Auto #CDA-CKA GuardiansNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $42.622023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect CJ Kayfus #CDA-CKA Auto lh0NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $57.002023 CJ Kayfus Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC (Cond Note) #CDA-CKA (H1139)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $65.952023 Bowman Chrome Draft CJ KAYFUS 1st AUTO Sparkle Refractor /71NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $99.532023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor CJ Kayfus PSA 10 Auto w5pNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $279.752023 Bowman Draft | C.J. Kayfus | 1st Bowman Blue Wave Auto /150 | PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $306.75PSA 10 CJ Kayfus 2023 Bowman Draft Auto True Blue 1st /150 Cleveland GuardiansNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $306.98PSA 10 CJ Kayfus 2023 Bowman Draft Auto True Blue 1st /150 Cleveland GuardiansNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $336.992023 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st CJ Kayfus Auto True Gold Refractor #8/50 RookieNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $372.752023 Bowman Draft C.J. Kayfus 1st Bowman True Blue Refractor Auto 15/150 | PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $381.082023 Bowman Draft CJ Kayfus 1st Chrome Pros Auto Gold Wave /50 CDA-CKA PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Draft C.J. Kayfus Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CDA-CKA GuardiansNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome CJ Kayfus 1st Auto Cleveland Guardians Rookie RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome CJ Kayfus 1st Auto Cleveland Guardians Rookie RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st C.J. Kayfus RC On Card Auto Cleveland GuardiansNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman C.J. Kayfus Chrome On Card Auto 1st Rookie Cleveland Guardians RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto 1st Bowman C.J. Kayfus Guardians CDA-CKANEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Draft CJ Kayfus Chrome 1st Prospect Auto CDACKA PSA 9 Mint GuardiansNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —CJ Kayfus 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto RC Gold Wave Refractor /50 - PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st CJ Kayfus Auto True Gold Refractor/50NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st CJ Kayfus Auto Sparkle Refractor/71 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome: CJ Kayfus 1st Bowman Auto Refractor #/499 No.CDA-CKAPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run