Daniel Pierce
SS · Charleston RiverDogs · Low-A · 20.0y · #2844 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
46 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
43 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2026 Bowman Chrome Daniel Pierce Auto 1st… at $26.49. Needs a $13 drop.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Daniel Pierce scores 46 out of 100 (#2844 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $14–18 off 8 confirmed sales.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.
Plate discipline: below average
7.9% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: above average
.138 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 62% at his level.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Speed: above average
26 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 63% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DP — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$14–17.52midpoint $17.01
Confirmed· 8 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 6 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DP
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2026 Bowman Chrome Daniel Pierce Prospect 1st Auto Rays at $65.98, 288% over the $14–17.52 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $14 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Needs a $13 drop
- Player not there yet
- 2026 Bowman Chrome Daniel Pierce Auto 1st… at or under $13.61 delivered.
- On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.
What is for sale right now
43 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 43 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 37 are under "The whole live market".
Daniel Pierce 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Greeen Grass 04/99 PSA 10 Rays
/99 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 44d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$285.99
modeled ~$129.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
DANIEL PIERCE 2026 BOWMAN CHROME SAPPHIRE 1ST GOLD REFRACTOR AUTO /50
/50 · raw · condition not stated · listed 11d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$299.99
modeled $20.16–58.87
PASS
Daniel Pierce 2026 1st Bowman Chrome CPA-DP Gold Shimmer Refractor Auto #23/50
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 48d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$300.00
modeled $20.16–58.87
PASS
2026 Bowman Chrome Daniel Pierce Gold Shimmer Auto /50 1st Bowman
/50 · raw · condition not stated · listed 18d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$307.56
modeled $20.16–58.87
PASS
Daniel Pierce 2026 1st Bowman Chrome CPA-DP Gold Shimmer Refractor Auto #d/50
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 64d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$355.50
modeled $20.16–58.87
PASS
2026 Bowman Sapphire Daniel Pierce Chrome Auto 1st Gold Refractor #/50 Rays
/50 · raw · condition not stated · listed 53d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$355.98
modeled $20.16–58.87
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Daniel Pierce, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $12.95–$27.20, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder13 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $25.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $25.90 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $135.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $135.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +425%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $74.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $74.00 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -46%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $116.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $116.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +58%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Aqua Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $175.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $175.99 live
- Scarcity
- 125 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +50%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $255.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $255.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +46%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Reptilian /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $125.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $125.48 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -51%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Shimmer Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $120.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $120.99 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -4%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $305.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $305.98 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +153%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $255.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $255.17 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -17%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Shimmer /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $307.56, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $307.56 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +21%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $300.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $300.00 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -3%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $299.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $299.99 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- 0%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 49 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A
What he is good at
skills overall 49 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
46
below average · better than 35% at his level
28.6% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
53
above average · better than 62% at his level
.138 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
42
below average · better than 22% at his level
7.9% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
53
above average · better than 63% at his level
26 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
52
average · better than 58% at his level · the result, not a skill
.726 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
60
plus · better than 83% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 46th percentile of the cohort, production at the 58th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 46 and his production sits at 58, a gap of -12. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 29th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.0 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
140
AVG
.252
OBP
.336
SLG
.390
OPS
.726
better than 58%
HR
4
SB
6
BB%
7.9
K%
28.6
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market43 listed · 43 eBay-verified · 37 not shown above
- Listings
- 43
- Lowest seen
- $25.90
- Median ask
- $175.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $25.90
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $74.00
43 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 37 cards
- $255.172026 Bowman Chrome Daniel Pierce 1st Bowman Yellow Xfractor Auto Rays CPA-DP /75PASS
- $120.992026 Bowman Chrome Daniel Pierce 1st Green Shimmer Refractor Auto #40/99PASS
- $305.982026 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Daniel Pierce 1st Prospect Green Sapphire Auto 52/99PASS
- $357.98DANIEL PIERCE 2026 BOWMAN CHROME GREEN REPTILIAN 1ST AUTO /99 CPA-ON CARD AUTOPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Daniel Pierce 1st Auto Green Shimmer Refractor /99 ON CARDPASS
- —2026 Bowman Sapphire 1st Daniel Pierce Chrome Auto Green Refractor /99 BookendPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Daniel Pierce 1st Auto Green Shimmer /99 Very Clean Auto!!!PASS
- $116.98DANIEL PIERCE 2026 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO HTA CHOICE MOJO /150 Q2754 RAYSPASS
- $175.99DANIEL PIERCE 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st True Aqua Refractor Auto #105/125PASS
- $255.992026 Bowman Chrome Daniel Pierce True Blue 1st Auto Tampa Bay Rays #129/150PASS
- —2026 1st Bowman Chrome True Blue Refractor Daniel Pierce Auto 092/150 RC SP RaysPASS
- —2026 Bowman Sapphire Daniel Pierce Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #/199 RaysPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Daniel Pierce 1st Auto /199 RaysPASS
- —2026 Bowman Sapphire Daniel Pierce 1st Auto /199 RaysPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Daniel Pierce 1st Auto Bubble Gum /89 TOPPS SEALED RaysPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Daniel Pierce True Blue 1st Auto /150 CPA-DP Tampa Bay RaysPASS
- —2026 Bowman Daniel Pierce Blue Xfractor Chrome 1st Auto /150 Rays Color MatchPASS
- —2026 1st Bowman Chrome Sapphire Refractor Daniel Pierce Auto 018/199 RC SP RaysPASS
- —2025 Bowman # CPA-DP Daniel Pierce Purple Chrome 1st Bowman Auto /250. Rays.PASS
- $135.99Daniel Pierce 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Variation Refractor #411/499PASS
- $125.482026 Bowman Daniel Pierce Green Reptilian Auto /99 Bowman 1st CPA-DPPASS
- —Bowman 2026 Daniel Pierce 1st Bowman Yellow Auto 26/75 Rays CPA-DPPASS
- —2026 Bowman Daniel Pierce CPA-DP Green Grass Auto 07/99 Jersey (# Match) 1st 🔥PASS
- —Daniel Pierce 1st Bowman Auto TRUE BLUE /150 2026 Bowman CPA-DP Tampa Bay RaysPASS
- —DANIEL PIERCE 2026 BOWMAN #CPA-DP TRUE BLACK REFRACTOR /10 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
- $74.002026 Bowman Daniel Pierce Speckle Refractor /299 AUTO 1ST Rookie RAYS #CPADPPASS
- —Topps 2026 Bowman Daniel Pierce 1st Bowman Gold Lava Auto #/50 Tampa Bay RaysPASS
- —2026 BOWMAN DANIEL PIERCE 1ST ROOKIE AUTO GOLD SHIMMER #45/50 TAMPA BAY RAYS!!!PASS
- $25.902026 Bowman #CPA-DP Daniel Pierce 1st Bowman Paper AutoPASS
- $26.492026 Bowman Chrome Daniel Pierce Auto 1st #CPA-DP Tampa Bay RaysPASS
- $35.982026 Bowman Chrome Daniel Pierce 1st Bowman Rookie Auto #CPA-DP RaysPASS
- $46.00DANIEL PIERCE 2026 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT AUTO AUTO TAMPA BAY RAYS #CPA-DP 1STPASS
- $65.982026 Bowman Chrome Daniel Pierce Prospect 1st Auto RaysPASS
- —2026 Bowman Daniel Pierce Retail Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #BPA-DP RaysPASS
- —Bowman 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Daniel Pierce CPA-DP Chrome Prospect Auto RaysPASS
- —Daniel Pierce 2026 Bowman 1st Auto #CPA-DP Tampa Bay RaysPASS
- —DANIEL PIERCE 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Prospect Auto #CPA-DP (AU,RC) - RaysPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run