Hedbert Perez
LF · New Hampshire Fisher Cats · Double-A · 23.0y · #983 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
58 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
22 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2021 Bowman Chrome Hedbert Perez 1st…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Hedbert Perez scores 58 out of 100 (#983 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — lF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.
Contact: below average
29.1% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Plate discipline: plus
13.7% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 80% at his level.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Double-A.
Bat-first profile
LF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.
Power: above average
.193 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 76% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Corner-only profile
LF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-HP — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 7 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 7 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-HP
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 7 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $9.99 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
22 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 22 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 16 are under "The whole live market".
2021 Bowman Chrome Hedbert Perez 1ST AUTO Brewers
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 1182d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.99
modeled ~$13.50
LOTTERY
2021 Topps Bowman Chrome 1st ON CARD AUTO HEDBERT PEREZ #CPA-HP ROOKIE SP
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1340d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$14.99
modeled ~$13.50
LOTTERY
HEDBERT PEREZ 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Mojo Auto #BCMA-HP Brewers
Mojo · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 909d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$15.99
modeled ~$13.50
LOTTERY
2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Mojo HEDBERT PEREZ Auto #BCMA-HP
Mojo · raw · condition not stated · listed 972d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$15.99
modeled ~$13.50
LOTTERY
Hedbert Perez Milwaukee Brewers Auto Signed 2021 1st Bowman Chrome Card
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1212d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$18.94
modeled ~$13.50
LOTTERY
2021 BOWMAN CHROME HEDBERT PEREZ SPARKLE AUTO 297/299 SGC 10/9!!!
/299 · SGC 10 · takes offers · listed 35d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$21.94
no sold price
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- MojoTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +60%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $51.23, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $51.23 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +220%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $24.22, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $24.22 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -53%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
11 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 53 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
45
below average · better than 32% at his level
29.1% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
57
above average · better than 76% at his level
.193 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level
13.7% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
51
average · better than 54% at his level
21 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
54
above average · better than 66% at his level · the result, not a skill
.757 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 61th percentile of the cohort, production at the 66th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 61 and his production sits at 66, a gap of -5. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 40th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.6 / 10
- already at Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
175
AVG
.227
OBP
.337
SLG
.420
OPS
.757
better than 66%
HR
6
SB
6
BB%
13.7
K%
29.1
Is this player getting better?
About the same as last season — .741 to .757 OPS.
Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.741→.757
Power
.202→.193
Walks
14.8%▼13.7%
Strikeouts
26.1%▲29.1%
Last season, 345 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market22 listed · 22 eBay-verified · 16 not shown above
- Listings
- 22
- Lowest seen
- $9.99
- Median ask
- $24.22
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $9.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $307.98
22 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 16 cards
- $24.222021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Purple Refractor 98/250 Hedbert Perez Auto 09anLOTTERY
- $28.232021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Hedbert Perez #CPA-HP SGC 10 GEM Auto 0jv9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $34.502021 Bowman Chrome Hedbert Perez 1st Bowman AUTO Milwaukee Brewers PSA 9 MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $40.892021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Hedbert Perez #CPA-HP SGC 9.5 Mint+ Auto 11s9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $51.232021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Refractor /499 Hedbert Perez #CPA-HP Auto READ 3e5NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $59.292021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Purple Refractor Hedbert Perez PSA 9 MINT Auto 02leNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $307.982021 Bowman Chrome 1st Hedbert Perez Blue Refractor Auto 23/150 BGS GEM MINT 9.5NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Hedbert Perez 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-HP U114NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Rookie Auto Hedbert Perez Brewers CPA-HPNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Hedbert Perez Auto CPA-HP - Brewers 1st RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Hedbert Perez 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —HEDBERT PEREZ 2021 BOWMAN CHROME MOJO AUTO SGC 10/9.5 Brewers 1st CpahpNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Hedbert Perez 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Brewers BGS 9.5 10 GEM MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —⚾️2021 Bowman Chrome HEDBERT PEREZ 1st Auto CPA-HP Brewers SGC 10⚾️NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —HEDBERT PEREZ 2021 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO SGC 10/9.5 Brewers 1st CpahpNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Hedbert Perez 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect GOLD 1st Auto /50 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run