Deal Sniper

Jace Bohrofen

CF · New Hampshire Fisher Cats · Double-A · 24.0y · #519 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

64 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

19 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Jace Bohrofen 1st…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Jace Bohrofen scores 64 out of 100 (#519 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus-plus — .323 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 97% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 39 on the 20–80 scale (34.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

The signal

  • Contact: well below

    34.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 39/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Power: plus-plus

    .323 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 97% at his level.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Speed: above average

    30 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 71% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    Big power for his level (97th percentile); CF is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 39 on the 20–80 scale (34.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not establishedWe have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is JACE BOHROFEN 2023 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto 168/499 1st at $21.48, 618% over the $2.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/499 at or under $2.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

19 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 19 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 13 are under "The whole live market".

  • JACE BOHROFEN 2023 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto 168/499 1st

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 293d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $21.48

    sold $2.99

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 420/499 Jace Bohrofen Auto 0gj0

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $21.34

    sold $2.99

    LOTTERY

  • Jace Bohrofen 2023 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect #CDA-JBO Auto Blue Jays RC

    Blue · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 114d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $7.99

    modeled ~$19.00

    LOTTERY

  • JACE BOHROFEN 2023 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 651d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $13.23

    modeled ~$19.50

    LOTTERY

  • JACE BOHROFEN 2023 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 672d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $13.23

    modeled ~$19.50

    LOTTERY

  • JACE BOHROFEN 2023 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 672d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $13.23

    modeled ~$19.50

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.23, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • BlueTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -40%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $21.34, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +167%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 54 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    39

    well below · better than 14% at his level

    34.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level

    .323 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    53

    above average · better than 60% at his level

    11.2% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    56

    above average · better than 71% at his level

    30 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    63

    plus · better than 91% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .931 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    53

    above average · better than 60% at his level · context, not a skill

    0.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 61th percentile of the cohort, production at the 91th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 91% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 61 and his production sits at 91, a gap of -30. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 9th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.2 / 10

  • already at Double-A
  • old for Double-A
  • hitting well — 0.931 OPS in 197 PA (not ranked against his level)

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

197

AVG

.253

OBP

.355

SLG

.576

OPS

.931

better than 91%

HR

13

SB

10

BB%

11.2

K%

34.0

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season — .688 up to .931 OPS.

Still at Double-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.688.931

Power

.173.323

Walks

12.5%11.2%

Strikeouts

34.0%34.0%

Last season, 335 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market19 listed · 19 eBay-verified · 13 not shown above
Listings
19

19 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$7.99
Median ask
$17.28
Cheapest 1st auto
$7.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$21.48

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 13 cards

  • $15.022023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Jace Bohrofen #CDA-JBO Auto 03j5LOTTERY
  • $17.282023 Bowman Chrome JACE BOHROFEN Toronto Blue Jays 1st Bowman AutoLOTTERY
  • $17.282023 Bowman Chrome JACE BOHROFEN Toronto Blue Jays 1st Bowman AutoLOTTERY
  • $35.462023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Jace Bohrofen #CDA-JBO Auto 9b1NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $42.042023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Jace Bohrofen #CDA-JBO SGC 10 GEM Auto 09anNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $264.982023 Bowman Draft Chrome Jace Bohrofen PSA 10 1st Auto Gold Shimmer /50 CDA-JBONEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Jace Bohrofen 1st Blue Auto #134/499Toronto Blue JaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Jace Bohrofen 1st Blue Auto #134/499Toronto Blue JaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Jace Bohrofen #CDA-JBO Blue JaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft #CDA-JBO Jace Bohrofen 1st Auto Toronto Blue JaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Jace Bohrofen 2023 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect #CDA-JBO Auto Blue Jays RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome JACE BOHROFEN 1st Auto #CDA-JBO Toronto Blue JaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • PSA 9 Jace Bohrofen Chrome Auto CDA-JBO 2023 1st Bowman Toronto Blue JaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player