Deal Sniper

Victor Figueroa

1B · Double-A · 22.0y · #1793 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

52 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

26 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Bowman 2026 Bowman Chrome Victor Figueroa…. Player not there yet.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Victor Figueroa scores 52 out of 100 (#1793 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $7–13 off 4 confirmed sales.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 89 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.

  • Contact: well below

    33.7% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • OPS slipping

    .831 last season to .730 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .194 last season to .159 this one.

  • Power: above average

    .159 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 62% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to Double-A.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    89 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 39 on the 20–80 scale (33.7% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Corner-only profile

    1B carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-VF — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$6.50–12.50midpoint $8.05

Confirmed· 4 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 8 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-VF

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2026 Bowman Victor Figueroa Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-VF Orioles at $21.99, 173% over the $6.50–12.50 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $6.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

26 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 26 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 20 are under "The whole live market".

  • Bowman 2026 Bowman Chrome Victor Figueroa 1st Bowman Auto Orioles #CPA-VF

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 54d

    Player not there yet

    sold $6.50–12.50

    PASS · 75% under

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Victor Figueroa Orioles Orange Xfractor 1st Auto 22/25

    /25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $11.70–52.50

    PASS

  • 2026 Bowman #CPA-VF Chrome Auto Red X-Fractor /5 1st Prospect Victor Figueroa

    /5 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $11.70–52.50

    PASS

  • 2026 Bowman Victor Figueroa 1st True Orange Refractor Auto /25 PSA 10 POP 1 GEM

    /25 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 1d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether the signature is factory-certified or added later

    $1305.00

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Victor Figueroa 1st Bowman On Card Auto Gold Shimmer /50

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 87d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    modeled $9.36–42

    PASS

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Victor Figueroa 1st Bowman Yellow Refractor Auto /75 Orioles

    /75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $7.80–35

    PASS

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Victor Figueroa, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $7.50–$15.74, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder2 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $14.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Green Shimmer /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $65.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +340%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 46 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 46 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    39

    well below · better than 14% at his level

    33.7% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    53

    above average · better than 62% at his level

    .159 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level

    7.9% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level

    7 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    51

    average · better than 55% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .730 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    63

    plus · better than 91% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 34th percentile of the cohort, production at the 55th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 82% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 34 and his production sits at 55, a gap of -21. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 18th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.9 / 10

  • already at Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

89

AVG

.256

OBP

.315

SLG

.415

OPS

.730

better than 55%

HR

3

SB

1

BB%

7.9

K%

33.7

Is this player getting better?

Down from .831 to .730 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from Low-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.831.730

Power

.194.159

Walks

14.7%7.9%

Strikeouts

20.3%33.7%

Last season, 232 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market26 listed · 26 eBay-verified · 20 not shown above
Listings
26

26 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$14.99
Median ask
$19.94
Cheapest 1st auto
$14.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$65.90

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 20 cards

  • $65.902026 Bowman #CPA-VF Victor Figueroa 1st Chrome Green Shimmer Auto #/99PASS
  • Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Victor Figueroa Orioles Auto Green 69/99PASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Victor Figueroa 1st Auto Mini Diamond /100 OriolesPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Victor Figueroa Aqua Refractor Auto /125 1st Bowman OriolesPASS
  • Victor Figueroa Auto Green Shimmer /99 Bowman 1st Chrome OriolesPASS
  • Victor Figueroa 2026 Bowman - Chrome 1st Auto Speckle /299 #CPA-VF OriolesPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Victor Figueroa 1st Bowman True Blue Refractor Auto /150PASS
  • Victor Figueroa 1st Bowman Black Refractor Bookend 10/10 On Card AutoPASS
  • Victor Figueroa 2026 1st Bowman Auto Orange Shimmer /25 Au Rc Orioles (CPA-VF)PASS
  • Victor Figueroa /50 GOLD AUTO 2026 Bowman 1st Prospect Baltimore OriolesPASS
  • $14.992026 Bowman Chrome Victor Figueroa 1st RC Auto #CPA-VF BAL Orioles PASS
  • $15.992026 Bowman Victor Figueroa #CPA-VF Chrome Auto 1st Prospect Baltimore OriolesPASS
  • $15.992025 Bowman Chrome Victor Figueroa 1st Bowman Auto Orioles Top Prospect CPA-VF VPASS
  • $19.942026 Bowman Victor Figueroa 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-VFPASS
  • $21.992026 Bowman Victor Figueroa Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-VF OriolesPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Victor Figueroa 1st Firefractor Auto /3 OriolesPASS
  • Topps Bowman Chrome 2024 Victor Figueroa Orioles 1st Auto CPA-VF InsertPASS
  • Bowman 2026 Bowman Chrome Victor Figueroa 1st Bowman Auto Orioles #CPA-VFPASS
  • Topps 2026 Bowman Victor Figueroa Orioles 1st Bowman Auto True GreenPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome VICTOR FIGUEROA 1st Autograph Auto #CPA-VF ORIOLESPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player