Deal Sniper

Henry Williams

SP · Triple-A · 24.0y · #2314 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

47 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

41 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Henry Williams Auto 2022 1st Bowman Draft… at $2.99. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Henry Williams scores 47 out of 100 (#2314 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SP sells at a discount at equal production; 24.0 is old for a prospect card.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • No professional sample

    We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 5 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

41 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 41 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 35 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Henry Williams Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CDA-HW Padres !!

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 13d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $2.48

    modeled ~$8.04

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Henry Williams Auto 2022 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Autographs #CDA-HW Padres

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $2.99

    modeled ~$8.04

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • HENRY WILLIAMS 2022 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AUTO #CDA-HW PADRES

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 103d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $2.99

    modeled ~$8.04

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • HENRY WILLIAMS 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome ~ Pirates 1st ROOKIE AUTO

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 14d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $3.80

    modeled ~$8.04

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2022 BOWMAN DRAFT HENRY WILLIAMS CDA-HW CHROME 1ST RC AUTO PADRES MCG 10

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 55d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $4.75

    modeled ~$8.04

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Henry Williams 1st Bowman On Card Auto Autograph

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 462d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.79

    modeled ~$8.04

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder8 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $2.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • SapphireTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.10, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +549%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.42, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -35%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $22.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +119%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $9.27, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -59%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +18%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $18.47, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +69%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    71 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -13%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet

What he is good at

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    not measured for him yet

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    not measured for him yet

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    not measured for him yet

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    not measured for him yet

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    not measured for him yet

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.3 / 10

  • already at Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingno season line on file

We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market41 listed · 41 eBay-verified · 35 not shown above
Listings
41

41 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$2.48
Median ask
$10.42
Cheapest 1st auto
$2.48
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$10.94

Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.

The other 35 cards

  • $4.99Henry Williams 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Padres NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $5.742022 Bowman Draft Henry Williams Chrome 1st Bowman Draft Pick Auto PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $6.252022 Bowman Draft Henry Williams Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CDA-HW PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $6.302022 Bowman Chrome 1st - Henry Williams #CDA-HW San Diego Padres - AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $6.382022 Bowman Draft Henry Williams Auto 1st Bowman Chrome #CDA-HW ProspectNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.992022 Bowman Draft Chrome Henry Williams 1st Prospect Auto Card #CDA-HW TA67NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $9.002022 Bowman Draft Chrome Henry Williams 1st Bowman Chrome AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $9.272022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor 227/250 Henry Williams Auto 0j5iNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $10.422022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 368/499 Henry Williams #CDA-HW Auto 2a9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $10.812022 Bowman Draft Chrome Henry Williams Auto 1st Bowman #CDA-HW PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $10.942022 Bowman Draft #CDA-HW Henry Williams 1st Chrome Blue Auto #/150NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $11.362022 1st Bowman Chrome Henry Williams Auto #CDA-HWNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $11.492022 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME HENRY WILLIAMS 1ST ON CARD REFRACTOR AUTO SP/499 PADRESNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $12.842022 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Henry Williams Auto Autograph Rookie RC SP PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $13.99HENRY WILLIAMS 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-HWNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $15.94Henry Williams 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CDA-HW PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $15.99HENRY WILLIAMS-2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto Refractor 1st Prospect #/499 PADRESNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $16.102022 Bowman Draft Chrome Henry Williams Sapphire 1st Bowman Auto Signed GTPNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $16.172022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Sparkle Refractor /71 Henry Williams Auto 06gzNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $18.472022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Refractor 17/150 Henry Williams Auto 06gzNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $21.962022 Bowman Chrome Draft HENRY WILLIAMS Auto Purple Refractor /250 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $22.782022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Aqua Lava Refractor 97/199 Henry Williams Auto 6fsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2022 Bowman Draft Henry Williams Auto 1st Bowman Chrome #CDA-HW ProspectNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Bowman Henry Williams Refractor Auto /499 PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2022 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Henry Williams Aqua Lava Refractor Auto /199NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • HENRY WILLIAMS 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Bowman REFRACTOR AUTO /499 PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • HENRY WILLIAMS 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Bowman REFRACTOR AUTO 402/499 PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • HENRY WILLIAMS 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Bowman REFRACTOR AUTO 162/499 PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Henry Williams 1st RC Auto Purple Ref #178/250 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $8.112022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Henry Williams #CDA-HW Auto 1j1iNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $8.112022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Henry Williams #CDA-HW Auto 1j1iNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $10.992022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Henry Williams #CDA-HW Auto 0q21NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $10.992022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Henry Williams #CDA-HW Auto 1n8aNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $11.562022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Henry Williams #CDA-HW Auto 16mfNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Henry Williams 1st Bowman Auto BLUE WAVE Refractor /150PASS
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
  • We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player