Deal Sniper

Nick Pratto

1B · Triple-A · 27.0y · #2314 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

47 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

39 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Nick Pratto scores 47 out of 100 (#2314 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: above average — .185 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 68% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — 1B carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

The signal

  • Power: above average

    .185 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 68% at his level.

  • Bat-first profile

    1B — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.

  • Plate discipline: above average

    12.5% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 66% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    1B sells at a discount at equal production; 27.0 is old for a prospect card.

  • OPS improving

    .620 last season to .757 this one.

  • Power improving

    .135 last season to .185 this one.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Corner-only profile

    1B carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2017 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-NP — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 6 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 6 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2017 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-NP

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 6 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $3.99 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

39 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 39 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 33 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2017 Bowman Draft Nick Pratto Chrome Auto 1st #CDA-NP Kansas City Royals

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 201d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $3.99

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2017 Bowman Draft Nick Pratto Chrome Auto 1st #CDA-NP Royals

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 244d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.98

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • Nick Pratto 2017 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto CDA-NP Royals 1st (B)

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 496d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.99

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Nick Pratto #CDA-NP Auto 6o3

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 25d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $6.97

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Nick Pratto #CDA-NP Auto 2s6

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 25d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $7.08

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Nick Pratto #CDA-NP Auto u0u

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 32d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $7.26

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $3.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $3.99 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.28, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $11.28 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +183%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $8.64, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $8.64 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -23%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $28.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $28.24 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +227%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

22 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 53 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    50

    average · better than 51% at his level

    22.6% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    55

    above average · better than 68% at his level

    .185 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    54

    above average · better than 66% at his level

    12.5% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    54

    above average · better than 66% at his level

    19 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    51

    average · better than 52% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .757 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    48

    average · better than 44% at his level · context, not a skill

    -1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 63th percentile of the cohort, production at the 52th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 63 and his production sits at 52, a gap of +11. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 65th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.0 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

287

AVG

.238

OBP

.334

SLG

.423

OPS

.757

better than 52%

HR

10

SB

9

BB%

12.5

K%

22.6

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season — .620 up to .757 OPS.

Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.620▲.757

Power

.135▲.185

Walks

10.9%▲12.5%

Strikeouts

29.6%▼22.6%

Last season, 423 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market39 listed · 39 eBay-verified · 33 not shown above
Listings
39

39 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$3.99
Median ask
$20.00
Cheapest 1st auto
$3.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$8.64

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 33 cards

  • $7.262017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Nick Pratto #CDA-NP Auto u0uLOTTERY
  • $7.832017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Nick Pratto #CDA-NP Auto 2a9LOTTERY
  • $8.642017 1ST BOWMAN CHROME AUTO #CPA-NP NICK PRATTO RC AUTO 196/250 - ROYALSLOTTERY
  • $9.272017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Nick Pratto #CDA-NP Auto 1t0hLOTTERY
  • $11.282017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 454/499 Nick Pratto #CDA-NP Auto 0f5tLOTTERY
  • $12.982017 Bowman Draft Chrome #CDA-NP Nick Pratto Auto 1st Bowman Royals FCG 9.5 GEMLOTTERY
  • $20.00Nick Pratto 2017 Bowman Chrome Draft Auto PSA 9 Royals RookieLOTTERY
  • $23.94PSA 9 - Nick PRATTO 2017 Bowman Chrome Draft Picks AUTO #CDANL - RoyalsLOTTERY
  • $24.782017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Wave Refractor Nick Pratto BGS 9.5 Auto o5bLOTTERY
  • $24.982017 Bowman Chrome Nick Pratto RC Auto PSA 10. LOTTERY
  • $25.992017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Auto Nick Pratto #CDA-NP PSA 10 GEM MT AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $28.242017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Refractor 31/150 Nick Pratto #CDA-NP Auto 0m0NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $29.392017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 209/499 Nick Pratto BGS 9 MINT Auto 0l8NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $29.392017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor /250 Nick Pratto BGS 9.5 Auto 5j0NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $29.992017 Bowman Chrome Draft Nick Pratto Auto Refractor /499 Graded BGS 9.5 Gem MintNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $40.882017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Nick Pratto #CDA-NP BGS 10 PRISTINE Auto 1mg2NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $40.882017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Wave Refractor Nick Pratto BGS 9.5 Auto 5h0NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $42.042017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Nick Pratto #CDA-NP PSA 10 GEM MT Auto 1uv2NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $74.232017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Gold Refractor /50 Nick Pratto BGS 9.5 Auto 1u3nNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2017 ⚾ BGS 10/10 Nick Pratto 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Bowman 2017 Draft Nick Pratto Chrome 1st Bowman RC Auto PSA 10 #CDA-NPNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Nick Pratto 2018 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Refractor 20/50NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2017 Bowman Draft Nick Pratto 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Auto #CDA-NPNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Nick Pratto 2017 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto #CDA-NP Royals 1st RC QTYNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2017 Bowman Chrome Draft Nick Pratto 1st Prospect Refractor Auto /499 RoyalsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2017 Bowman Chrome Draft Nick Pratto Purple Refractor Auto #/250 BGS 9.5/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2017 Bowman Chrome Draft Nick Pratto Auto Refractor /499 Graded BGS 9.5 Gem MintNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2017 Bowman Chrome Draft Nick Pratto Purple Refractor Auto #/250 BGS 9.5/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —NICK PRATTO PSA 10 2017 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT PROSPECT BLUE REFRACTOR AUTO RC /150NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2017 Bowman Chrome Draft Nick Pratto Blue Refractor Auto #/150 BGS 9.5/9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2017 Bowman Chrome Nick Pratto 1st BOWMAN ROOKIE RC AUTO PSA 10 GEM MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2017 Bowman Chrome Draft Nick Pratto Prospect Auto #CDA-NP Royals PSA 9 MintNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Nick Pratto 2017 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Refractor Psa 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now