Jared Kelley
SP · Charlotte Knights · Triple-A · 24.0y · #2314 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
47 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
40 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto Jared…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Jared Kelley scores 47 out of 100 (#2314 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production; 24.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
No professional sample
We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
40 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 40 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 34 are under "The whole live market".
2021 Bowman Chrome Prospects #CPA-JK Jared Kelley 1st Bowman Auto White Sox
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1297d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$2.95
modeled ~$8.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2021 Bowman Chrome 1st #CPA-JK Jared Kelley White Sox Auto
Red · raw · condition not stated · listed 1106d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.55
modeled ~$8.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2021 Bowman Chrome Jared Kelley Mojo Refractor 1st Prospect Auto #BMA-JK E144
Mojo Refractor · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1566d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 58h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$3.99
modeled ~$8.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2021 Bowman Chrome Jared Kelley CPA-JK 1st Autograph Auto CPA-JK Chicago
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 969d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 58h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.73
modeled ~$8.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2021 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO JARED KELLEY WHITE SOX
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1042d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$4.99
modeled ~$8.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2021 Bowman Chrome JARED KELLEY 1st Bowman Auto - White Sox Prospect
Red · raw · condition not stated · listed 946d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.00
modeled ~$8.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder10 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- Mojo RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- RedTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $2.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $2.95 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -26%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - SapphireTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +205%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Red Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -11%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.49 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -19%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $12.42, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $12.42 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +91%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $17.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $17.32 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +40%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Mojo Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $23.87, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $23.87 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +38%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.47, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.47 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -60%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $40.02, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $40.02 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +323%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet
What he is good at
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
—
not measured for him yet
—
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
—
not measured for him yet
—
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
—
not measured for him yet
—
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
—
not measured for him yet
—
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
—
not measured for him yet
—
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
61
plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.3 / 10
- already at Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingno season line on file
We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market40 listed · 40 eBay-verified · 34 not shown above
- Listings
- 40
- Lowest live
- $2.95
- Median ask
- $8.98
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $2.95
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $6.49
40 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 minutes ago.
The other 34 cards
- $5.502021 Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-JK Jared Kelley 1st Bowman Autograph White SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $6.49JARED KELLEY 2021 TOPPS BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PURPLE SP ROOKIE AUTOGRAPH AUTO #/250NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $7.00Jared Kelley 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Base #CPA-JK NrMtNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $7.992021 Bowman Chrome 1st Jared Kelley Refractor Auto /499 Chicago White Sox NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $8.602021 Jared Kelley Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-JK (H638) $6 MAX SHIPNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $8.602021 Jared Kelley Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-JK (H639) $6 MAX SHIPNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $8.602021 Jared Kelley Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-JK (H638) $6 MAX SHIPNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $8.602021 Jared Kelley Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-JK (H639) $6 MAX SHIPNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $8.982021 Bowman Chrome Jared Kelley 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JK Chicago White SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $8.982021 Jared Kelley Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JK White SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $8.99Jared Kelley 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Auto Sapphire Chicago White Sox 🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $9.472021 BOWMAN JARED KELLEY CPA-JK CHROME 1ST RC AUTO GREEN REFRACTOR /99 WHITE SOXNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $9.982021 Bowman Chrome Jared Kelley #CPA-JK 1st Bowman Auto! White Sox Pack Fresh #NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $9.992021 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Jared Kelley 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #BSPA-JKNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $12.422021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Purple Refractor /250 Jared Kelley #CPA-JK Auto 3hdNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $12.722021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Purple Refractor 105/250 Jared Kelley Auto 0q21NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $15.642021 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Jared Kelley AUTO AUTOGRAPH 1st RC #BSPA-JKNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $17.322021 Bowman Mega Box Chrome Mojo Blue Refractor /150 Jared Kelley Auto 1oz2NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $19.402021 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Jared Kelley 1st Prospect Auto #JK White Sox 🔥 🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $20.40🔥2021 BOWMAN CHROME JARED KELLEY AUTO 1ST RC WHITE SOXNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $23.872021 Bowman Mega Box Chrome Mojo Green Refractor 63/99 Jared Kelley Auto 03svNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $40.022021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Yellow Refractor 46/75 Jared Kelley Auto 11vcNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $45.492021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Jared Kelley #CPA-JK PSA 10 GEM MT Auto 0c6NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto Jared Kelley #CPA-JK Superfractor 1/1 RC 1stNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Jared Kelley White Sox On Card Auto CPA-JKNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Jared Kelley White Sox On Card Auto CPA-JKNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2021 1st Bowman Chrome ~ Jared Kelley ~ #CPA-JK ~ Chicago White Sox ~ AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Jared Kelley 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 Chicago White SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —JARED KELLEY 2021 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Mojo 1st AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Jared Kelley AUTO 1st RC #BSPA-JK Chicago White SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Jared Kelley Speckle Auto /299 Chicago White Sox 1st bowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Jared Kelley Autograph Mojo 2021 Bowman Chrome SGC 10 Graded 10 Auto White SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Bowman Chrome Prospects Jared Kelley Purple Refractor Auto /250 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $29.99JARED KELLEY 2021 Bowman Chrome Prospect AUTO BGS MINT 9 White SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
- We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run