Royce Lewis
1B · St. Paul Saints · Triple-A · 27.0y · #2023 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
50 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
16 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Royce Lewis scores 50 out of 100 (#2023 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus-plus — .567 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 99% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 67 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Plate discipline: below average
7.5% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: plus-plus
.567 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 99% at his level.
Bat-first profile
1B — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.
Contact: above average
19.4% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 68% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
Big power for his level (99th percentile); 1B sells at a discount at equal production.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
67 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Corner-only profile
1B carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
16 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 16 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 10 are under "The whole live market".
2017 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Royce Lewis Auto Green #49/99 BGS 9.5 FD137
/99 · BGS 9.5 · takes offers · listed 232d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$355.99
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2017 Bowman Draft Royce Lewis Chrome Auto Blue Refractor 1st #/150 BGS 9.5/10
/150 · BGS 9.5 · takes offers · listed 5d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2017 Bowman Draft Chrome Royce Lewis 1st Auto Blue Wave Refractor /150 Bgs 9.5
/150 · BGS 9.5 · takes offers · listed 511d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2017 Royce Lewis 1st Bowman Chrome /99 Image Variation BGS 9 MINT Auto 10 SP
/99 · BGS 9 · takes offers · listed 131d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
ROYCE LEWIS 2017 Bowman Chrome 1st REFRACTOR /499 - BGS 9.5 Auto 10 -Great Subs!
/499 · BGS 9.5 · takes offers · listed 14d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$119.98
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2017 Bowman Draft Chrome ROYCE LEWIS 1st Auto BGS 9.5/10
base · BGS 9.5 · takes offers · listed 1184d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$280.55
modeled ~$79.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in bgs 9.5 autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing BGS 9.5 autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $280.55, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $280.55 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $119.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $119.98 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -57%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $355.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $355.99 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +197%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
8 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 54 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
55
above average · better than 68% at his level
19.4% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
73
plus-plus · better than 99% at his level
.567 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
42
below average · better than 22% at his level
7.5% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
44
below average · better than 29% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
71
plus-plus · better than 98% at his level · the result, not a skill
1.303 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
48
average · better than 44% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 55th percentile of the cohort, production at the 98th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 98% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 55 and his production sits at 98, a gap of -43. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 2th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.3 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
67
AVG
.333
OBP
.403
SLG
.900
OPS
1.303
better than 98%
HR
10
SB
0
BB%
7.5
K%
19.4
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market16 listed · 16 eBay-verified · 10 not shown above
- Listings
- 16
- Lowest seen
- $6.76
- Median ask
- $283.22
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $119.98
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $119.98
16 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 10 cards
- $319.992017 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Royce Lewis Auto RC BGS 9.5 10 Gem Mint+NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2017 ROYCE LEWIS 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Auto RC - BGS 9.5/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2017 1st Bowman Chrome Royce Lewis Auto Refractor /499 PSA 9 RookieNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Royce Lewis #CDA-RL BGS 9.5 GEM MINT AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $255.002017 Bowman Draft #CDA-RL Royce Lewis 1st Auto Purple Refractor /250 MinnesotaNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Royce Lewis Signed 2017 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Minnesota Twins 1st Overall PickNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $474.992017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Refractor Royce Lewis BGS 9 MINT Auto pg9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2017 Bowman Chrome Draft REFRACTOR 1st AUTO Royce Lewis #/499 True Gem +PASS
- $6.762017 1st Bowman Chrome ROYCE LEWIS Refractor Non-Auto Rookie Card RC Twins HOTNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $285.88ROYCE LEWIS 2017 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto Rc #44/499 SGC 9/10PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run