Deal Sniper

Izaac Pacheco

SS · Double-A · 23.0y · #419 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

67 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

3 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Izaac Pacheco 2021 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st… at $116. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Izaac Pacheco scores 67 out of 100 (#419 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 35 on the 20–80 scale (37.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.

  • Contact: well below

    37.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • OPS slipping

    .887 last season to .809 this one.

  • Power: plus

    .252 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 92% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    High-A to Double-A.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 35 on the 20–80 scale (37.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

3 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 3 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 3 worth looking at, best first.

  • 2021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Wave Refractor 60/150 Izaac Pacheco Auto 15r3

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $46.07

    modeled ~$124.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Izaac Pacheco 2021 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st True Blue Refractor Auto #/150 CSG 10

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 62h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $116.00

    modeled ~$90.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2021 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT AQUA LAVA REFRACTOR IZAAC PACHECO AUTO /199 PSA 9

    /199 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 8d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Izaac Pacheco, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $23.04–$48.37, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder2 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $46.07, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $46.07 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $116.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $116.00 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +152%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 50 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    35

    well below · better than 7% at his level

    37.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    64

    plus · better than 92% at his level

    .252 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level

    12.8% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    46

    below average · better than 33% at his level

    8 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    57

    above average · better than 77% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .809 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    58

    plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 52th percentile of the cohort, production at the 77th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 87% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 52 and his production sits at 77, a gap of -25. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 13th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.0 / 10

  • already at Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

305

AVG

.229

OBP

.328

SLG

.481

OPS

.809

better than 77%

HR

17

SB

4

BB%

12.8

K%

37.0

Is this player getting better?

Down from .887 to .809 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.887▼.809

Power

.241→.252

Walks

17.4%▼12.8%

Strikeouts

28.9%▲37.0%

Last season, 425 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market3 listed · 3 eBay-verified
Listings
3

3 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$46.07
Median ask
$81.04
Cheapest 1st auto
$116.00
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$116.00

Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.

What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now