Deal Sniper

Brandon Compton

CF · Double-A · 22.0y · #62 of 7,922 we rate

The player
STRONG PROSPECT

82 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

27 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait for a better price

Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome Draft Brandon Compton… at $33.25. Needs a $15 drop.

Our take

Strong prospect, untested market.

Brandon Compton scores 82 out of 100 (#62 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.

  • Speed: below average

    3 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Power: plus-plus

    .450 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 99% at his level.

  • The case is strengthening

    Baseball momentum 76/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Moved up and held it

    High-A to Double-A.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-BCO — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 3 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-BCO

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is Brandon Compton 2025 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Base Auto Miami Marlins #CPA-BCO at $36.70, 53% over the $20–24.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $20 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Needs a $15 drop
  • Player not there yet
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Draft Brandon Compton… at or under $19.16 delivered.
  • On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.

What is for sale right now

27 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 27 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 21 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Brandon Compton Chrome Auto Gold Mojo /50 1st Prospect Marlins

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 43d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $274.55

    modeled $48–59.98

    PASS

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Brandon Compton Gold Wave /50

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $220

    PASS

  • Brandon Compton 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Yellow Refractor Auto /75 #CPA-BCO

    /75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $206.74

    modeled $40–49.98

    PASS

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-BCO Brandon Compton Sparkle Refractor /71 Miami

    /71 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 19d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    modeled $40–49.98

    PASS

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Brandon Compton 1st Green Sapphire Auto /99 #CPA-BCO

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $155.25

    modeled $36–44.98

    PASS

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Draft Brandon Compton 1st True Blue Auto /150 #CPA-BCO

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $180.25

    modeled $30–37.49

    PASS

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder9 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $33.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Aqua /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $105.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +217%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sapphire /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $86.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -18%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $187.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +117%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $180.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -4%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sapphire /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $155.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -14%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $1005.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    71 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +548%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $206.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    75 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -79%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Mojo /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $274.55, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +33%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 53 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    45

    below average · better than 31% at his level

    29.2% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    73

    plus-plus · better than 99% at his level

    .450 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    53

    above average · better than 62% at his level

    11.4% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    42

    below average · better than 21% at his level

    3 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    73

    plus-plus · better than 99% at his level · the result, not a skill

    1.234 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    63

    plus · better than 91% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 53th percentile of the cohort, production at the 99th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 99% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 53 and his production sits at 99, a gap of -46. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 1th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 7.3 / 10

  • already at Double-A
  • hitting well — 1.234 OPS in 185 PA (not ranked against his level)
  • form is climbing

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

185

AVG

.352

OBP

.432

SLG

.802

OPS

1.234

better than 99%

HR

19

SB

1

BB%

11.4

K%

29.2

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .713 to 1.234 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.7131.234

Power

.142.450

Walks

16.8%11.4%

Strikeouts

32.7%29.2%

Last season, 113 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market27 listed · 27 eBay-verified · 21 not shown above
Listings
27

27 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$33.25
Median ask
$130.25
Cheapest 1st auto
$33.25
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$86.49

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 21 cards

  • $187.982025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Brandon Compton Auto Blue Refractor /150 CPA-BCOPASS
  • $86.49Brandon Compton 2025 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Auto /199 1st Prospect RookiePASS
  • $105.252025 Bowman Chrome Draft Brandon Compton 1st Aqua Auto /199 #CPA-BCO MarlinsPASS
  • Brandon Compton 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto RC Purple Refractor /250PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Brandon Compton Gold Wave Refractor Rookie Auto /50PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Brandon Compton Rookie Auto Green Refractor /99 MarlinsPASS
  • Brandon Compton 1st True Blue Auto /150 #CPA-BCO 2025 Bowman DraftPASS
  • Brandon Compton 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Refractor /499 #CPA-BCOPASS
  • ***** BRANDON COMPTON - 2025 1ST BOWMAN CHROME - REFRACTOR AUTO /499 *****PASS
  • $1005.952025 Bowman Draft 1st Brandon Compton #/71 Sparkle Refractor Auto Marlins 🔥PASS
  • $580.952025 BOWMAN DRAFT BRANDON COMPTON 1ST BOWMAN AUTO BLUE WAVE 008/150 PSA 10 GEMNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Green Sapphire Brandon Compton Auto 20/99 RC PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Draft Sapphire Brandon Compton 1st Auto Green Refractor/99🔥PSA 10🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $33.252025 Bowman Chrome Draft Brandon Compton 1st Base Auto #CPA-BCO Marlins QTYPASS
  • $34.70Brandon Compton 2025 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Base Auto Miami Marlins #CPA-BCOPASS
  • $35.88Brandon Compton Auto 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Autograph MarlinsPASS
  • $35.982025 Bowman Draft Brandon Compton 1st Chrome Prospect Auto MarlinsPASS
  • $36.70Brandon Compton 2025 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Base Auto Miami Marlins #CPA-BCOPASS
  • 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Brandon Compton #CPA-BCO (AU, RC)PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Brandon Compton 1st Bowman Auto CPA-BCO MarlinsPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome BRANDON COMPTON 1st Prospect AUTO #CPA-BCOPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player