Deal Sniper

Gage Ziehl

SP · Triple-A · 23.0y · #1034 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

57 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

18 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome Gage Ziehl 1st SPECKLE…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Gage Ziehl scores 57 out of 100 (#1034 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SP sells at a discount at equal production.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • No professional sample

    We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not establishedWe have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $16.17 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

18 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 18 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 12 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Gage Ziehl #CPA-GZ Auto 9on

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 7d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $16.17

    modeled ~$9.77

    LOTTERY

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 122/499 Gage Ziehl #CPA-GZ Auto 9on

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 7d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $26.52

    modeled ~$12.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Gage Ziehl - Chrome Green Refractor Auto # /99

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $42.99

    modeled ~$29.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 113/250 Gage Ziehl Auto 1mr0

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $43.76

    modeled ~$20.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2024 Bowman Gage Ziehl 1st Green Lava refractor Auto /99 RC ROOKIE 🔥 RED SOX

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether the signature is factory-certified or added later

    $66.98

    modeled ~$40.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Gage Ziehl 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-GZ First (1st) AUTO Gold Wave [#08/50]

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $118.18

    modeled ~$400.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Gage Ziehl, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $8.09–$16.98, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $26.52, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +64%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $43.76, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +65%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Lava Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $66.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +53%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $42.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -36%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Wave /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $118.18, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +175%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet

What he is good at

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    not measured for him yet

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    not measured for him yet

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    not measured for him yet

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    not measured for him yet

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    not measured for him yet

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    66

    plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.7 / 10

  • already at Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingno season line on file

We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market18 listed · 18 eBay-verified · 12 not shown above
Listings
18

18 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$16.17
Median ask
$43.38
Cheapest 1st auto
$42.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$42.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 12 cards

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Gage Ziehl 1st SPECKLE REFRACTOR ROOKIE AUTO /71 YANKEESNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Gage Ziehl True Blue Refractor /150 Auto BostonNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospects 1st Gage Ziehl Gold Refractor 28/50 AUTO NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Gage Ziehl 1st Auto True Gold /50 CPA-GZNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Gage Ziehl 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-GZNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Gage Ziehl Yankees Auto Refractor 1st /499 2024 Bowman Draft CPA-GZNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Gage Ziehl Purple Refractor /250 AUTO BOSTON NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome GAGE ZIEHL /150 1st Auto Blue Refractor #CPA-GZ Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Gage Ziehl Autograph Bubblegum Snackpack 1st Auto #1/5NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Gage Ziehl 1st Bowman Gold Refractor Auto /50 YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Gage Ziehl Bowman Draft 1st Auto Refractor /499 - Boston Red SocksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Gage Ziehl Bowman Draft 1st Auto - Boston Red SocksNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
  • We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player