Deal Sniper

Thomas Saggese

LF · Triple-A · 24.0y · #624 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

62 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

15 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2020 1st Bowman Chrome Thomas Saggese RC…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Thomas Saggese scores 62 out of 100 (#624 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — lF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

  • OPS slipping

    .847 last season to .796 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 39/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Speed: above average

    22 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 73% at his level.

  • Bat-first profile

    LF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.

  • Power: above average

    .193 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 70% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Corner-only profile

    LF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 4 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /499 at $16.20 costs 1.00× base, and print run alone suggests 1.15×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

15 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 14 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 8 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2020 Bowman Draft Chrome #CDA-TSA Thomas Saggese 1st Refractor Auto #/499

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $16.20

    modeled ~$19.99

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • Thomas Saggese St Louis Cardinals Auto Signed 2020 1st Bowman Chrome

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 715d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $16.25

    modeled ~$12.62

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • Thomas Saggese St Louis Cardinals Auto Signed 2020 1st Bowman Chrome

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 715d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $16.25

    modeled ~$12.62

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • Thomas Saggese St Louis Cardinals Auto Signed 2020 1st Bowman Chrome

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 715d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $16.25

    modeled ~$12.62

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Thomas Saggese #CDA-TSA Auto 7c5

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 2d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $27.38

    modeled ~$12.62

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Refractor /499 Thomas Saggese #CDA-TSA Auto 3hd

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $57.22

    modeled ~$19.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Thomas Saggese, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $8.10–$17.01, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $16.25 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.20, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $16.20 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -0%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —

4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 52 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    49

    average · better than 47% at his level

    23.2% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    55

    above average · better than 70% at his level

    .193 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    48

    average · better than 44% at his level

    10.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    56

    above average · better than 73% at his level

    22 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    53

    above average · better than 61% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .796 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 59th percentile of the cohort, production at the 61th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 59 and his production sits at 61, a gap of -2. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 43th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 7.0 / 10

  • already at Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

241

AVG

.264

OBP

.339

SLG

.457

OPS

.796

better than 61%

HR

10

SB

9

BB%

10.0

K%

23.2

Is this player getting better?

Down from .847 to .796 OPS this season.

Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.847▼.796

Power

.128▲.193

Walks

12.2%▼10.0%

Strikeouts

23.8%→23.2%

Last season, 189 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-25 — $11.99 plus $1.43 shipping · /150 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market15 listed · 15 eBay-verified · 8 not shown above
Listings
15

15 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$16.20
Median ask
$42.30
Cheapest 1st auto
$16.20
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$16.20

Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.

The other 8 cards

  • $69.072020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Thomas Saggese #CDA-TSA Auto 1j91NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $206.502020 Bowman Chrome THOMAS SAGGESE 1st Blue Refractor Auto /150 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $304.00Thomas Saggese PSA 9 2020 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect GOLD REFRACTOR /50NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $330.552020 Bowman Chrome THOMAS SAGGESE 1st Blue Refractor Auto /150 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2020 1st Bowman Chrome Thomas Saggese RC TRUE Gold Refractor Auto #42/50 CDA-TSANEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2020 Bowman Draft Thomas Saggese 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Auto #CDA-TSANEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Thomas Saggese Rookie Auto 2020 1st Bowman Chrome Texas Rangers ON CARD AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —THOMAS SAGGESE 2020 Bowman Draft 1st ⭐️TRUE GOLD /50 Refractor PSA 10 Auto 10🌟NEEDS EVIDENCE

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now