Luke Dickerson
SS · High-A · 21.0y · #3398 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait
41 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $13.99, over the $10.50 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is Luke Dickerson 2025 1st Bowman Chrome True…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, expensive market.
Luke Dickerson scores 41 out of 100 (#3398 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $8–13 off 1 confirmed sale.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 51 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.
Contact: bottom of the scale
54.9% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
OPS slipping
.628 last season to .390 this one.
Power slipping
.115 last season to .044 this one.
Speed: above average
24 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 62% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to High-A.
Why now
5 new copies listed this week
Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.
What could go wrong
Small sample
51 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 27 on the 20–80 scale (54.9% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-LDI — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 6 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$7.88–13.13midpoint $10.50
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-23 · 7 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-LDI
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 6 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Chrome Luke Dickerson 1st bowman Prospects On card Auto Refractor #/ at $35.99, 243% over the $10.50 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $10.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
What is for sale right now
26 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 25 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 19 are under "The whole live market".
2025 Bowman Chrome Luke Dickerson TRUE Superfractor Auto 1/1 PSA
1/1 · raw · condition not stated · listed 203d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$12506.00
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Luke Dickerson 2025 1st Bowman Chrome True Green Refractor Auto /99 PSA 10 POP 3
/99 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 5d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Luke Dickerson 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Base Auto PSA 9 #CPA-LDI Nationals
base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 5d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$30.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
LUKE DICKERSON 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 PSA 10 GEM MINT
/250 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 13d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$123.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Luke Dickerson 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Speckle Auto /299 PSA 10 Pop 5
/299 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 5d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Luke Dickerson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Orange Shimmer /25 PSA 9
/25 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 96d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $35.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $35.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +157%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $19.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $19.75 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -45%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $37.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $37.99 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +92%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $119.67, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $119.67 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +215%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $283.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $283.00 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +137%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
8 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 42 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 42 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
27
bottom of the scale · better than 1% at his level
54.9% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
39
well below · better than 13% at his level
.044 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
47
average · better than 37% at his level
9.8% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
53
above average · better than 62% at his level
24 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
34
bottom of the scale · better than 5% at his level · the result, not a skill
.390 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
63
plus · better than 90% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 28th percentile of the cohort, production at the 5th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 85% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 28 and his production sits at 5, a gap of +23. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 85th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.0 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
51
AVG
.130
OBP
.216
SLG
.174
OPS
.390
better than 5%
HR
0
SB
2
BB%
9.8
K%
54.9
Is this player getting better?
Down from .628 to .390 OPS, but he moved up to High-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.628▼.390
Power
.115▼.044
Walks
12.3%▼9.8%
Strikeouts
25.2%▲54.9%
Last season, 333 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market26 listed · 26 eBay-verified · 19 not shown above
- Listings
- 26
- Lowest seen
- $13.99
- Median ask
- $35.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $13.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $30.00
26 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 19 cards
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Luke Dickerson 1st Auto True Gold Refractor /50 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Luke Dickerson 2025 1st Bowman Draft True Blue Refractor Auto /150 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —LUKE DICKERSON 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-LDI TRUE ORANGE REFRACTOR /25 1ST AUTOPASS
- $283.002025 Bowman Chrome Luke Dickerson 1st True Gold Refractor Auto /50 NationalsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome - Luke Dickerson 1st Auto True Yellow /75 Nationals PASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Chrome #BDC-61 Luke Dickerson Washington Nationals Signed AutoPASS
- $37.99Luke Dickerson 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-LDI 1st Auto Speckle Refractor /299PASS
- $30.002025 Bowman Chrome Luke Dickerson Bowman 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-LDI PASS
- $13.99Luke Dickerson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Nationals LOTTERY
- $17.502025 Bowman Chrome Autograph #CPA-LDI Luke Dickerson Auto 1st NationalsLOTTERY
- $35.992025 Bowman Chrome Luke Dickerson 1st bowman Prospects On card Auto Refractor #/PASS
- —Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Luke Dickerson Nationals Auto 1st Bowman #CPA-LDIPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Luke Dickerson On Card Auto #CPA-LDI Washington NationalsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Luke Dickerson 1st Auto On CardPASS
- —Luke Dickerson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-LDI NationalsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Luke Dickerson On Card Auto #CPA-LDI Washington NationalsPASS
- —Luke Dickerson 2025 1st Bowman Auto True Gold /50 Au RC Nats (CPA-LDI)PASS
- $119.672025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor 94/150 Luke Dickerson Auto 1b03PASS
- $19.752025 Bowman Chrome Luke Dickerson Auto /499 Refractor CPA-LDI NationalsLOTTERY
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run