Deal Sniper

T.J. White

CF · Double-A · 23.0y · #2314 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

47 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

32 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is T.J. White 2021 Bowman Draft #CDA-TWH 1st…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

T.J. White scores 47 out of 100 (#2314 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.

  • Speed: well below

    0 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • OPS slipping

    .645 last season to .604 this one.

  • Moved up and held it

    High-A to Double-A.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    CF is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

  • 5 new copies listed this week

    Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2021 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-TWH — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 7 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 7 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2021 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-TWH

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 7 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

32 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 32 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 26 are under "The whole live market".

  • T.J. White 2021 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Autograph #CDA-TWH RC Auto Signature

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 676d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $3.99

    modeled ~$8.04

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2021 1st Bowman Draft Chrome ~ T.J. White ~ #CDA-TWH ~ Auto ~ Nationals

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 60d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.73

    modeled ~$8.04

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2021 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto T.J. White #CDA-TWH

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.97

    modeled ~$8.04

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick TJ White #CDA-TWH Auto 1ll8

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $6.95

    modeled ~$8.04

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick TJ White #CDA-TWH Auto 11b4

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 27d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $6.96

    modeled ~$8.04

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick TJ White #CDA-TWH Auto 7iu

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $7.15

    modeled ~$8.04

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder2 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $3.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $3.99 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $9.27, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $9.27 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +132%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

11 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 45 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 45 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    48

    average · better than 43% at his level

    26.5% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    46

    below average · better than 36% at his level

    .122 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    44

    below average · better than 26% at his level

    7.6% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    41

    well below · better than 18% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    43

    below average · better than 23% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .604 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    58

    plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 31th percentile of the cohort, production at the 23th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 31 and his production sits at 23, a gap of +8. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 62th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.9 / 10

  • already at Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

185

AVG

.207

OBP

.275

SLG

.329

OPS

.604

better than 23%

HR

5

SB

0

BB%

7.6

K%

26.5

Is this player getting better?

Down from .645 to .604 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.645▼.604

Power

.106▲.122

Walks

9.4%▼7.6%

Strikeouts

26.7%→26.5%

Last season, 427 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market32 listed · 32 eBay-verified · 26 not shown above
Listings
32

32 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$3.99
Median ask
$12.35
Cheapest 1st auto
$3.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$29.24

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 26 cards

  • $7.192021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick TJ White #CDA-TWH Auto 12g7PASS
  • $7.262021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick TJ White #CDA-TWH Auto 0ft3PASS
  • $7.822021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Auto TJ White #CDA-TWH Auto o8hPASS
  • $9.272021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 120/499 TJ White #CDA-TWH Auto 0ji1PASS
  • $9.672021 Bowman Chrome Draft TJ White 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CDA-TWHPASS
  • $10.992021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick TJ White #CDA-TWH Auto bp8PASS
  • $11.982021 Bowman Chrome Draft T.J. WHITE 1st Rookie AUTO #CDA-TWH Nationals RC SPPASS
  • $12.722021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 216/499 TJ White #CDA-TWH Auto gb4PASS
  • $12.95TJ White 2021 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto #CDA-TWH Nationals Prospect PSA 9PASS
  • $14.432021 Bowman Draft Chrome TJ White 1st RC Auto PASS
  • $15.872021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 177/499 TJ White #CDA-TWH Auto 0c3ePASS
  • $17.322021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 136/499 TJ White #CDA-TWH Auto 1j91PASS
  • $24.792021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor TJ White PSA 9 MINT Auto 0ok8PASS
  • $29.242021 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT PSA 9 AUTO Refractor /499 TJ WHITE NATIONALSPASS
  • $30.98T.J. White 2021 Bowman Chrome Draft Auto Blue Wave /150 PSA 10 GEM MINTPASS
  • $31.502021 Bowman Chrome Aqua Lava Refractor T.J. White AUTO /199 PSA 9PASS
  • $32.362021 Bowman Draft Chrome TJ White Blue Wave Refractor 1st Auto /150 BGS 9/10PASS
  • $34.00TJ WHITE 2021 Bowman Chrome Refractor RC On Card Auto 17/499 PSA 9PASS
  • $42.042021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick TJ White #CDA-TWH PSA 10 GEM MT Auto 0ft3PASS
  • $45.492021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick TJ White #CDA-TWH PSA 9 MINT Auto 0c6PASS
  • —T.J. White 2021 Bowman Draft #CDA-TWH 1st Chrome AUTO Refractor #/499PASS
  • —T.J. WHITE 2021 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST #CDA-TWH AUTOGRAPH AUTO NATIONALS (413🔥PASS
  • —2021 Bowman Chrome 1ST Prospect AUTO T.J. WhitePASS
  • —PSA 9 T.J. White 2021 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Aqua Auto Lava /199PASS
  • —2021 Bowman Draft Chrome TJ White 1st Auto Refractor #/499 Nationals PSA 9PASS
  • —2021 Bowman Draft T.J. White Chrome Draft Pick Auto - Washington NationalsPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now