Adriel Radney
CF · Low-A · 19.0y · #2296 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
47 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
35 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Adriel Radney 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO… at $54.98. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Adriel Radney scores 47 out of 100 (#2296 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 89 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
Power: well below
.000 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
OPS slipping
.765 last season to .518 this one.
Power slipping
.135 last season to .000 this one.
Plate discipline: above average
14.6% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 71% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Rookie to Low-A.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
89 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2014 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2014 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $6.42 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
35 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 35 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 29 are under "The whole live market".
Adriel Radney 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Diamondbacks AUTOGRAPH CPA-AR Raw z47
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.42
modeled ~$13.40
LOTTERY
Adriel Radney 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO REFRACTOR 178/499 Diamondbacks RC z35
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.42
modeled ~$19.99
LOTTERY
Adriel Radney 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO REFRACTOR 389/499 Raw CPA-AR RC z48
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.42
modeled ~$19.99
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-AR Adriel Radney 1st Auto Arizona Diamondbacks
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 342d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$13.88
modeled ~$13.40
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-AR Adriel Radney 1st Prospects Auto RC
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 317d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$16.49
modeled ~$13.40
LOTTERY
Adriel Radney 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect AUTOGRAPH D'backs RC CPA-AR
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 90d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$17.24
modeled ~$13.40
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.42, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.42 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.42, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.42 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +78%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $32.27, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $32.27 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +183%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $44.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $44.98 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +39%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $54.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $54.98 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +22%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $74.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $74.98 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +36%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $79.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $79.99 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +7%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
7 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 48 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A
What he is good at
skills overall 48 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
54
above average · better than 64% at his level
22.5% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
37
well below · better than 9% at his level
.000 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
56
above average · better than 71% at his level
14.6% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
43
below average · better than 23% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
39
well below · better than 14% at his level · the result, not a skill
.518 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
69
plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 42th percentile of the cohort, production at the 14th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 92% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 42 and his production sits at 14, a gap of +28. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 92th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.7 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
89
AVG
.200
OBP
.318
SLG
.200
OPS
.518
better than 14%
HR
0
SB
0
BB%
14.6
K%
22.5
Is this player getting better?
Down from .765 to .518 OPS, but he moved up to Low-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from Rookie to Low-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.765▼.518
Power
.135▼.000
Walks
12.0%▲14.6%
Strikeouts
17.7%▲22.5%
Last season, 209 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market35 listed · 35 eBay-verified · 29 not shown above
- Listings
- 35
- Lowest seen
- $6.42
- Median ask
- $26.30
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $6.42
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $11.42
35 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.
The other 29 cards
- $19.952024 BOWMAN CHROME ADRIEL RADNEY 1ST BOWMAN AUTO CPA-ARLOTTERY
- $19.98ADRIEL RADNEY 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH BASEBALL AUTO LOTTERY
- $26.302014 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Adriel RadneyNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $32.272024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Adriel Radney Auto 1vk2NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $44.98Adriel Radney 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Mini-Diamond REFRACTOR 044/100 RC z2NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $54.98Adriel Radney 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO GREEN REFRACTOR 99/99 #CPA-AR RC z2NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $74.98Adriel Radney 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO GOLD Mini-Diamond REFRACTOR 11/50 z1NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $79.99Adriel Radney 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO GOLD Shimmer REFRACTOR 39/50 Raw RC z2NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $84.97Adriel Radney 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO GOLD Mini-Diamond REFRACTOR 11/50 z1NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $231.00Adriel Radney 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Green Reptilian /99 PSA 10 DbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $285.85Adriel Radney 2024 Bowman Chrome Gold Shimmer Refractor 1st Auto 20/50 ArizonaNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Adriel Radney 1st Auto #CPA-AR Diamondbacks SGC 10 & 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —ADRIEL RADNEY 2024 1st Bowman Chrome #CPA-AR TRUE GOLD Refractor AUTO 29/50 RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Adriel Radney 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO GREEN REFRACTOR 79/99 #CPA-AR RC z2NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Adriel Radney Auto 1st Bowman Arizona Diamondbacks #CPA-ARNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Adriel Radney Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-AR DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 1st Bowman Chrome ADRIEL RADNEY Yellow Mojo Refractor AUTO Diamondbacks /75NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Adriel Radney Mojo Diamondbacks RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Adriel Radney DiamondBacks NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Adriel Radney 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect D'BacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2014 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Adriel Radney DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Adriel Radney Auto 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Adriel Radney Prospect 1st Auto #CPA-AR Arizona DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Adriel Radney 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st On Card Auto NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Adriel Radney 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-AR HTA Choice Mojo /150 SGC 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Mega Adriel Radney Auto SGC 9.5 10 Auto DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Adriel Radney 2024 Bowman Chrome Gold Refractor 1st Auto /50 PSA 10 DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Adriel Radney #CPA-AR Diamondbacks PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Mega Adriel Radney Blue Refractor Auto /150 PSA 10 #BMA-ARNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run