Cole Messina
C · Double-A · 23.0y · #2208 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
48 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
39 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is COLE MESSINA 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st… at $6.24. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Cole Messina scores 48 out of 100 (#2208 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.
OPS slipping
.740 last season to .668 this one.
Speed: above average
30 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 71% at his level.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Double-A.
Premium position
C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Plate discipline: above average
11.4% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 62% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 4 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 4 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 4 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $6.24 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
39 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 39 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 33 are under "The whole live market".
COLE MESSINA 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-CME
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 10d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.24
modeled ~$9.75
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-CME Cole Messina 1st Prospect Chrome Auto
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 372d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$7.31
modeled ~$9.75
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-CME Cole Messina 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Rockies
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 562d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$7.54
modeled ~$9.75
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Draft Cole Messina Chrome Auto 1st Prospect Rockies
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 226d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$8.31
modeled ~$9.75
LOTTERY
2024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT COLE MESSINA CPA-CME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO COLORADO ROCKIES
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 367d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$8.49
modeled ~$9.75
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Draft Cole Messina 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-CME Colorado Rockies
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 29d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$8.74
modeled ~$9.75
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.24 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +60%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $14.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $14.99 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +50%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.00 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -27%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $14.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $14.50 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +32%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $85.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $85.49 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +490%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 52 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
48
average · better than 42% at his level
26.7% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
49
average · better than 48% at his level
.140 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
53
above average · better than 62% at his level
11.4% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
56
above average · better than 71% at his level
30 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
47
average · better than 37% at his level · the result, not a skill
.668 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 56th percentile of the cohort, production at the 37th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 56 and his production sits at 37, a gap of +19. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 78th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.3 / 10
- already at Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
315
AVG
.214
OBP
.314
SLG
.354
OPS
.668
better than 37%
HR
7
SB
16
BB%
11.4
K%
26.7
Is this player getting better?
Down from .740 to .668 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.740▼.668
Power
.123▲.140
Walks
11.8%→11.4%
Strikeouts
16.6%▲26.7%
Last season, 434 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market39 listed · 39 eBay-verified · 33 not shown above
- Listings
- 39
- Lowest seen
- $6.24
- Median ask
- $11.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $6.24
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $9.99
39 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.
The other 33 cards
- $8.88Cole Messina 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome AUTO On Card Autograph 1st RC #CPA-CMELOTTERY
- $9.312024 Bowman Draft Cole Messina Chrome Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-CME RockiesLOTTERY
- $9.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome Cole Messina Colorado Rockies 1st Auto Refractor /499LOTTERY
- $10.982024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Cole Messina #CPA-CM MLB Colorado RockiesLOTTERY
- $11.00Cole Messina 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto Purple Refractor 1st #/250 RockiesLOTTERY
- $11.202024 Bowman Draft #CPA-CME Cole Messina 1st Chrome AutoLOTTERY
- $13.252024 Bowman Chrome Draft Prospect Cole Messina 1ST AUTO REFRACTOR CPA-cme /499LOTTERY
- $14.452024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Cole Messina Refractor /499 #CPA-CME RockiesLOTTERY
- $14.492024 Bowman Chrome Draft COLE MESSINA 1st Autograph Auto RC #CPA-CMELOTTERY
- $14.50Topps 2024 Bowman Chrome Cole Messina 1st Bowman Blue Auto /150 CPA-CMELOTTERY
- $14.992024 Bowman Draft Cole Messina 1st Bowman Chrome Aqua Lava Refractor Auto /199LOTTERY
- $15.942024 Bowman Draft #CPA-CME Cole Messina 1st Chrome Prospect AutoLOTTERY
- $16.602024 Cole Messina Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-CME (H1228)LOTTERY
- $31.122024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 61/250 Cole Messina Auto 1bi0NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $41.982024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Cole Messina Auto #CPACME PSA 10 GEM MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $85.492024 Bowman Draft Chrome - Cole Messina 1st Auto Orange Refractor /25NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Cole Messina 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Yellow /75 PSA 10 Gem RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Cole Messina 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-CME 1st Chrome Refractor Auto /499 ROCKIESNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft - Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Cole Messina #CPA-CME (AU, RC)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Cole Messina 1st Auto Purple /250 CPA-CME Color MatchNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Cole Messina 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-CME Colorado RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Cole Messina Auto RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-CME Cole Messina 1st Chrome Prospect Auto RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Cole Messina 1st Bowman Base Auto Colorado RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Cole Messina 1st Prospect Chrome Auto #CPA-CME RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Cole Messina 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-CME Chrome Prospect RC Auto 1st ANEEDS EVIDENCE
- —COLE MESSINA 2024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AUTOGRAPH ROCKIES AUTO NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft - Cole Messina 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-CME RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-CME Cole Messina Colorado RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome COLE MESSINA 1st Bowman Auto Colorado RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $7.302024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Cole Messina #CPA-CME Auto z7dLOTTERY
- $10.982024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Cole Messina #CPA-CME Auto 1o1pLOTTERY
- $12.722024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Cole Messina #CPA-CME Auto 1m63LOTTERY
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run