Deal Sniper

Jaeden Calderon

CF · Clearwater Threshers · Low-A · 20.0y · #2123 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

48 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

20 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Topps 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Jaeden Calderon scores 48 out of 100 (#2123 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.

  • OPS slipping

    .690 last season to .483 this one.

  • Speed: above average

    36 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 75% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Rookie to Low-A, though the prior season is a thin sample.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    CF is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JCN — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 5 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JCN

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

20 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 20 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 14 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Jaeden Calderon Auto HTA Choice /150 #CPA-JCN 1st Phillies

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 82d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $13.31

    modeled ~$6.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Jaeden Calderon 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Blue Reptilian Auto /150 #CPA-JCN

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 289d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $16.00

    modeled ~$6.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Topps 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Jaeden Calderon Yellow/75 CPA-JCN

    /75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled ~$34.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Jaeden Calderon Auto Purple Refractor 1st #/250

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 97d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.45

    modeled ~$10.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Jaeden Calderon 2024 Bowman Chrome CPA-JCN 1st Bowman Auto Purple Refractor /250

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 511d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $12.78

    modeled ~$10.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome JAEDEN CALDERON 1st RC Purple Refractor AUTO /250 PHILLIES

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 31d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $14.13

    modeled ~$10.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $4.78 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $7.00 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +46%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.45, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $11.45 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +64%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Reptilian /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $16.00 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +40%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $13.31 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -17%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A

What he is good at

skills overall 51 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    49

    average · better than 46% at his level

    26.5% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    48

    average · better than 42% at his level

    .100 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    51

    average · better than 52% at his level

    11.9% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    57

    above average · better than 75% at his level

    36 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    37

    well below · better than 9% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .483 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    60

    plus · better than 83% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 54th percentile of the cohort, production at the 9th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 99% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 54 and his production sits at 9, a gap of +45. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 99th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.8 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

151

AVG

.138

OBP

.245

SLG

.238

OPS

.483

better than 9%

HR

2

SB

9

BB%

11.9

K%

26.5

Is this player getting better?

Down from .690 to .483 OPS, but he moved up to Low-A — a step back at a harder level is normal — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.

Moved up from Rookie to Low-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.690▼.483

Power

.089→.100

Walks

17.1%▼11.9%

Strikeouts

22.0%▲26.5%

Last season, 41 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market20 listed · 20 eBay-verified · 14 not shown above
Listings
20

20 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$4.78
Median ask
$13.31
Cheapest 1st auto
$4.78
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$7.00

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 14 cards

  • —2024 First Bowman Chrome Jaeden Calderon Purple Refractor /250 Auto CPA-JCW 1stNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Jaeden Calderon 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Purple Refractor SP #d /250NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Jaeden Calderon Auto Rookie 1st Speckle Refractor /299 PhilsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Jaeden Calderon Auto Rookie 1st Speckle Refractor /299NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome - Jaeden Calderon 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JCN Speckle /299 (AU)NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.00Jaeden Calderon 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JCN 1st Auto Refractor /499 PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Jaeden Calderon Auto Refractor 1st Prospect /499 PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $31.842024 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT JAEDEN CALDERON AUTO PSA 10 POP 6NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $4.78Jaeden Calderon 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-JCN PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.24JAEDEN CALDERON 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st RC Autograph Auto #CPA-JCNNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $11.282024 Bowman Chrome JAEDEN CALDERON PROSPECT AUTO 1ST #CPA-JCNNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $13.99JAEDEN CALDERON 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-JCNNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $14.952024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JCN Jaeden Calderon 1st Auto PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $17.322024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 384/499 Jaeden Calderon #CPA-JCN Auto 3caNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now