Deal Sniper

Jack Pineda

SS · Triple-A · 27.0y · #2110 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

48 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

34 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Jack Pineda scores 48 out of 100 (#2110 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: contact: plus — 16.3% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 81% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 92 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Plate discipline: well below

    3.3% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Contact: plus

    16.3% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 81% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Double-A to Triple-A.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Power: above average

    .186 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 68% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SS is a position the hobby pays up for; 27.0 is old for a prospect card.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    92 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JPI — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 20 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 20 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JPI

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 20 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is JACK PINEDA 2023 Bowman Chrome MOJO REFRACTOR ~ Royals 1st RC AUTO /150 at $11.29, 183% over the $3.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/150 at or under $3.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

34 cards of his are listed, 2 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 32 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 26 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Royals Jack Pineda 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JPI

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.49

    modeled ~$8.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Jack Pineda 1st Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 150d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.48

    modeled ~$8.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Jack Pineda 1st Bowman Auto CPA-JPI Kansas City Royals

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 421d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.79

    modeled ~$8.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Jack Pineda 1st Bowman Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1011d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.49

    modeled ~$8.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Jack PIneda 1st Prospect Auto Autograph - Royals

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1021d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.50

    modeled ~$8.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Jack Pineda Auto Kansas City Royals #CPA-JPI

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 726d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.20

    modeled ~$8.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $4.49 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $10.98 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +145%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $15.99 live
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +46%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.29, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $11.29 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -29%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 50 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    59

    plus · better than 81% at his level

    16.3% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    55

    above average · better than 68% at his level

    .186 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    36

    well below · better than 8% at his level

    3.3% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    51

    average · better than 53% at his level

    13 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    55

    above average · better than 69% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .825 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    48

    average · better than 44% at his level · context, not a skill

    -1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 53th percentile of the cohort, production at the 69th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 53 and his production sits at 69, a gap of -16. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 24th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.8 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

92

AVG

.302

OBP

.337

SLG

.488

OPS

.825

better than 69%

HR

2

SB

2

BB%

3.3

K%

16.3

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .618 to .825 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.618▲.825

Power

.077▲.186

Walks

6.5%▼3.3%

Strikeouts

21.0%▼16.3%

Last season, 248 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market34 listed · 34 eBay-verified · 26 not shown above
Listings
34

34 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$4.49
Median ask
$11.25
Cheapest 1st auto
$4.49
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$10.98

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 26 cards

  • $9.662023 Bowman Chrome Jack Pineda Auto #CPA-JPI 1st Prospect Kansas City RoyalsLOTTERY
  • $11.252023 Bowman Chrome JACK PINEDA 1st Prospect Chrome Auto #CPA-JPI RoyalsLOTTERY
  • $12.99JACK PINEDA AUTO 1st 2023 Bowman Chrome KANSAS CITY ROYALS ROOKIE CARD RCLOTTERY
  • $13.99JACK PINEDA 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-JPILOTTERY
  • $15.99JACK PINEDA 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST SPECKLE AUTOGRAPH AUTO /299LOTTERY
  • $19.952023 Bowman Chrome - Jack Pineda - Auto - 1st Bowman - Kansas City SGC 10LOTTERY
  • $43.142023 Bowman Chrome Jack Pineda 1st Prospect Auto PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $309.982023 Bowman Chrome Jack Pineda 1st Orange Wave Auto 05/25 PSA 10 RoyalsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Autograph Jack Pineda Royals 1st AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Jack Pineda Auto 1st #CPA-JPI RoyalsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —JACK PINEDA 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH BASEBALL ROYALS AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Jack Pineda 1st Bowman Auto - 2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JPI Kansas City RoyalsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Jack Pineda 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JPI Royals (3)NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Jack Pineda 1st Prospect Autograph Auto 2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JPI KC RoyalsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome JACK PINEDA 1st Prospect Chrome Auto #CPA-JPI RoyalsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —⚾️ 2023 Bowman Chrome Jack Pineda 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CPA-JPI RoyalsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome JACK PINEDA Royals Prospect Speckle Refractor 1st Auto SP 299NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Jack Pineda Royals 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Speckle Ref #/299 #CPA-JPINEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Jack Pineda 1st Prospect Auto PSA 10 GEM RoyalsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.002023 Bowman Chrome Jack Pineda 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-JPI RoyalsLOTTERY
  • $12.812023 Bowman Chrome Jack Pineda 1st Prospect AUTO CPA-JPILOTTERY
  • $11.29JACK PINEDA 2023 Bowman Chrome MOJO REFRACTOR ~ Royals 1st RC AUTO /150LOTTERY
  • $11.442023 Bowman Chrome 1st Jack Pineda Auto Refractor /499LOTTERY
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome JACK PINEDA 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor /499 Auto #CPA-JPIPASS
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Jack Pineda 1st Prospect Refractor Auto # /499 Royals B2PASS
  • $10.982023 Bowman Chrome Jack Pineda 1st Auto Refractor /499LOTTERY
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now