Nate Nankil
CF · Double-A · 23.0y · #1363 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
56 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
32 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome Nate Nankil #CPA-NN Red…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Nate Nankil scores 56 out of 100 (#1363 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $2–4 off 1 confirmed sale.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 46 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.
Speed: well below
0 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
OPS slipping
.778 last season to .731 this one.
Contact: plus-plus
8.7% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 98% at his level.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Double-A.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
46 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-NN — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 14 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$2.24–3.74midpoint $2.99
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-23 · 15 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-NN
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 14 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is Nate Nankil (RC) AUTO 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Oakland Athletics Free Shipping at $20, 569% over the $2.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $2.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
32 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 31 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 25 are under "The whole live market".
2025 Bowman Chrome Nate Nankil #CPA-NN Red X-Fractor First 1st Auto /5 PSA 9
/5 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 59d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Nate Nankil Blue Refractor Auto /150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $18.50
PASS
2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Nate Nankil Mojo Refractor Auto /150 Athletics
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 36d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.78
modeled $2.02–7.85
LOTTERY
NATE NANKIL 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST TRUE BLUE REFRACTOR AUTO /150 OAKLAND A’s
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 286d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$355.85
modeled $2.02–7.85
PASS
2025 Bowman 1st #CPA-NN Nate Nankil Chrome Auto Mojo HTA Choice Refractor #/150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 119d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $2.02–7.85
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Nate Nankil 1st True Purple Auto /250 #CPA-NN Oakland A’s
/250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 55d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $1.75–6.80
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.00 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +67%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.00 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -20%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $47.22, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $47.22 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +490%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.78 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -75%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $355.85, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $355.85 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +2921%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 51 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
71
plus-plus · better than 98% at his level
8.7% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
50
average · better than 50% at his level
.143 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
41
well below · better than 19% at his level
6.5% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
41
well below · better than 18% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
52
average · better than 56% at his level · the result, not a skill
.731 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 46th percentile of the cohort, production at the 56th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 46 and his production sits at 56, a gap of -10. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 32th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.5 / 10
- already at Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
46
AVG
.262
OBP
.326
SLG
.405
OPS
.731
better than 56%
HR
2
SB
0
BB%
6.5
K%
8.7
Is this player getting better?
Down from .778 to .731 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.778▼.731
Power
.102▲.143
Walks
10.3%▼6.5%
Strikeouts
14.4%▼8.7%
Last season, 369 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market32 listed · 32 eBay-verified · 25 not shown above
- Listings
- 32
- Lowest seen
- $6.00
- Median ask
- $11.74
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $6.00
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $8.00
32 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 25 cards
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Nate Nankil 1st True Purple Auto /250 #CPA-NN Oakland A’sPASS
- $8.002025 Bowman Chrome Nate Nankil 1st Speckle Refractor Auto /299 Rookie RC #CPA-NNLOTTERY
- $14.992025 Bowman Chrome Nate Nankil 1st Bowman Speckle Refractor Auto /299 #CPA-NNLOTTERY
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Nate Nankil 1st Bowman Speckle Refractor Auto /299 #CPA-NNPASS
- $9.99NATE NANKIL 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH REFRACTOR AUTO /499LOTTERY
- $10.50Nate Nankil /499 Auto Refractor 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st #CPA-NN AthleticsLOTTERY
- $10.532025 Bowman #CPA-NN Nate Nankil 1st Chrome Refractor AUTO 082/499 Athletics A'sLOTTERY
- $11.702025 Bowman Chrome Nate Nankil 1st Auto Refractor /499 #CPA-NN AthleticsLOTTERY
- $6.002025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autograph #CPA-NN Nate Nankil Auto 1st AthleticsLOTTERY
- $9.492025 Bowman Chrome 1st Nate Nankil Auto #CPA-NNLOTTERY
- $12.972025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Nate Nankil A'sLOTTERY
- $20.00Nate Nankil (RC) AUTO 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Oakland Athletics Free ShippingLOTTERY
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Nate Nankil 1st Bowman Auto CPA-NN AthleticsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Nate Nankil Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-NN AthleticsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Nate Nankil Base Auto CPA-NN Las Vegas AthleticsPASS
- —Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Nate Nankil Auto #CPA-NN Oakland AthleticsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Nate Nankil Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-NN AthleticsPASS
- — 2025 Bowman Chrome Nate Nankil 1st Bowman Auto Athletics Prospect CPA-NN ⚾🔥 PASS
- —Nate Nankil Auto 1st Chrome Prospect 2025 Bowman #CPA-NN AthleticsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Nate Nankil Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-NN AthleticsPASS
- —NATE NANKIL 2025 BOWMAN CHROME BASE AUTO #CPA-NN 1ST BOWMAN OAKLAND ATHLETICSPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Nate Nankil 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- —2025 NATE NANKIL Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-NN Oakland Athletics RCPASS
- $47.222025 Bowman Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor 72/150 Nate Nankil Auto v9tPASS
- $28.822025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor /299 Nate Nankil #CPA-NN Auto 13c1PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run