Deal Sniper

Isaiah Campbell

SP · Triple-A · 29.0y · #7041 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

5 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

15 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

Isaiah Campbell scores 5 out of 100 (#7041 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production; 29.0 is old for a prospect card.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

The signal

  • Old for the level

    -3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than only 17% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SP sells at a discount at equal production; 29.0 is old for a prospect card.

Why now

  • 3 new copies listed this week

    Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.

What could go wrong

  • No professional sample

    We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

  • Age for the level

    -3.0y vs his level at Triple-A puts him younger than only 17% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not establishedWe have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

15 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 15 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 9 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2019 Bowman Chrome Draft Isaiah Campbell #'d /499 Refractor #CDA-IC Auto 1st RC

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 28d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $7.48

    modeled ~$10.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2019 Bowman Draft - Chrome 1st Auto Refractor /499 - Isaiah Campbell #CDA-IC

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 715d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.99

    modeled ~$10.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • ISAIAH CAMPBELL 2019 BOWMAN DRAFT #CDA-IC CHROME PICK AUTO 1ST PROSPECT MARINERS

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 52d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $10.75

    modeled ~$3.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2019 Bowman 1st Chrome Signed ISAIAH CAMPBELL Seattle Mariners Autographed Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 961d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled ~$3.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Wave Refractor /150 Isaiah Campbell Auto tx9

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $13.87

    modeled ~$12.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor 245/250 Isaiah Campbell Auto 0p10

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $10.71

    modeled ~$8.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.53, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -34%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.71, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +116%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.87, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +30%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet

What he is good at

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    not measured for him yet

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    not measured for him yet

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    not measured for him yet

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    not measured for him yet

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    not measured for him yet

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    40

    well below · better than 17% at his level · context, not a skill

    -3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.3 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingno season line on file

We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market15 listed · 15 eBay-verified · 9 not shown above
Listings
15

15 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$4.95
Median ask
$9.85
Cheapest 1st auto
$7.48
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$7.48

Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.

The other 9 cards

  • $13.872019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor 37/250 Isaiah Campbell Auto 7uoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $4.952019 Bowman Draft Isaiah Campbell Chrome Auto Refractor /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $8.122019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor /499 Isaiah Campbell #CDA-IC Auto 1lj1NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $10.712019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 276/499 Isaiah Campbell #CDA-IC Auto 8k4NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.532019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Isaiah Campbell #CDA-IC Auto 0p10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $8.582019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Isaiah Campbell #CDA-IC Auto 4g8NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $8.692019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Isaiah Campbell #CDA-IC Auto 2p7NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $11.572019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Isaiah Campbell #CDA-IC Auto 12n8NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $28.762019 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME ISAIAH CAMPBELL BLUE WAVE REFRACTOR AUTO /150 PSA 9PASS
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
  • We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player