Deal Sniper

Hagen Danner

SP · Triple-A · 27.0y · #6212 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

15 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

25 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

Hagen Danner scores 15 out of 100 (#6212 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production; 27.0 is old for a prospect card.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

The signal

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SP sells at a discount at equal production; 27.0 is old for a prospect card.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • No professional sample

    We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not establishedWe have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

25 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 25 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 19 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2017 Hagen Danner Bowman Chrome 1st Blue Refractor Auto RC /150 #CDA-HD H3277

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 50d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.60

    modeled ~$2.60

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2017 Bowman Chrome Hagen Danner 1st Bowman On Card Auto Autograph Blue /150

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 412d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.99

    modeled ~$11.45

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Black Refractor /75 Hagen Danner PSA 9 Auto g6p

    /75 · PSA 9 · listed 1d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $75.38

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2017 Bowman 1st #CDA-HD Hagen Danner Chrome Auto Blue Jays

    Blue · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 538d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $2.50

    modeled ~$3.25

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2017 Bowman 1st #CDA-HD Hagen Danner Chrome Auto Blue Jays

    Blue · raw · condition not stated · listed 407d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $3.14

    modeled ~$3.25

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Hagen Danner 2017 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO Card #CDAHD BLUE JAYS

    Blue · raw · condition not stated · listed 845d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.25

    modeled ~$3.25

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.97, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • BlueTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $2.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -64%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $3.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +59%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.36, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +160%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -33%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.60, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -6%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet

What he is good at

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    not measured for him yet

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    not measured for him yet

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    not measured for him yet

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    not measured for him yet

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    not measured for him yet

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    48

    average · better than 44% at his level · context, not a skill

    -1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.3 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingno season line on file

We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market25 listed · 25 eBay-verified · 19 not shown above
Listings
25

25 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$2.50
Median ask
$7.80
Cheapest 1st auto
$2.50
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$6.60

Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.

The other 19 cards

  • $10.982017 Bowman Chrome Hagen Danner 1st Bowman Auto #CDA-HD Toronto Blue JaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $11.252017 HAGEN DANNER BOWMAN CHROME AUTO 1ST CARD. TORONTO BLUE JAYS.NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2017 Bowman Chrome Draft Hagen Danner 1st Bowman Rookie Auto #CDA-HD Blue JaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $13.872017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Refractor /150 Hagen Danner #CDA-HD Auto v9tNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $10.362017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor 83/250 Hagen Danner Auto 06jkNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $12.422017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor 101/250 Hagen Danner Auto 2a9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $3.982017 Bowman Draft Chrome RC Refractor /499 Hagen Danner #CDA-HD Auto | MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $12.422017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 40/499 Hagen Danner #CDA-HD Auto 7i2NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $6.972017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Hagen Danner #CDA-HD Auto 6o3NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.052017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Hagen Danner #CDA-HD Auto 3d5NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.062017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Hagen Danner #CDA-HD Auto 0sp7NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.072017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Hagen Danner #CDA-HD Auto 0a3NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.262017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Hagen Danner #CDA-HD Auto 8k4NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.762017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Hagen Danner #CDA-HD Auto 1lq2NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.772017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Hagen Danner #CDA-HD Auto 0g4NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.822017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Hagen Danner #CDA-HD Auto g6pNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.832017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Hagen Danner #CDA-HD Auto 06jkNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $8.112017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Hagen Danner #CDA-HD Auto x4fNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $8.122017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Hagen Danner #CDA-HD Auto 0i21NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
  • We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player