Koen Moreno
SP · Knoxville Smokies · Double-A · 25.0y · #6056 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
18 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
38 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
All in it's $16.50, and these have been selling around $4.78.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Koen Moreno scores 18 out of 100 (#6056 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production; 25.0 is old for a prospect card.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $1–2 off 1 confirmed sale.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
The signal
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production; 25.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
No professional sample
We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 22 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$1.49–2.49midpoint $1.99
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-22 · 25 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 22 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2021 1st Bowman Chrome #CPA-KMO Koen Moreno AUTO Chicago Cubs MLB Baseball at $22.34, 1023% over the $1.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $1.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
38 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 38 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 32 are under "The whole live market".
2021 Bowman Chrome 1st KOEN MORENO Chicago Cubs Refractor Shimmer Gold Auto /50
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 33d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 59h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$16.50
modeled $2.15–8.36
PASS
2022 Bowman Chrome Koen Moreno 1st Blue Mojo Refractor Auto #/150 - Cubs
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 59h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.73
modeled $1.34–5.22
PASS
2021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Koen Moreno Blue Refractor 1st Auto /150 Cubs
/150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 84d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 59h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.99
modeled $1.34–5.22
PASS
Koen Moreno 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman purple ref. auto 204/250 Chicago Cubs
/250 · raw · condition not stated · auction · listed 6d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 59h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$7.98
modeled $1.16–4.53
PASS
2021 Bowman Chrome Koen Moreno 1st Auto Chicago Cubs Purple Auto /250 #CPA-KMO
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 91d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 59h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$15.50
modeled $1.16–4.53
PASS
2021 Bowman Chrome Koen Moreno Refractor 1st Bowman Auto 114/499!
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 1447d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 59h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.50
modeled $1.03–4
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder9 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $2.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $2.95 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.50 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +120%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $14.44, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $14.44 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +122%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.98 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -45%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.73, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.73 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +22%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +23%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.00 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $12.13, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $12.13 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -19%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.50 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +36%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet
What he is good at
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
—
not measured for him yet
—
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
—
not measured for him yet
—
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
—
not measured for him yet
—
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
—
not measured for him yet
—
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
—
not measured for him yet
—
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
48
average · better than 42% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.3 / 10
- already at Double-A
- old for Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingno season line on file
We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market38 listed · 38 eBay-verified · 32 not shown above
- Listings
- 38
- Lowest live
- $2.95
- Median ask
- $10.83
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $2.95
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $6.50
38 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 16 hours ago.
The other 32 cards
- $11.602021 Koen Moreno Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto RC 138/499 #CPA-KMO (J566)PASS
- —Koen Moreno 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Refractor Auto #d /499 CubsPASS
- $2.952021 Bowman Chrome 1st Koen Moreno Auto #CPA-KMOPASS
- $3.44KOEN MORENO 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Autograph #CPA-KMO Chicago Cubs AutoPASS
- $3.742020 Bowman Chrome Koen Moreno #CPA-KMO 1st Bowman Auto! PASS
- $3.852021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Koen Moreno #CPA-KMO 1st Bowman Auto CubsPASS
- $4.632021 Bowman Chrome #CPA-KMO Koen Moreno 1st Bowman Rookie RC Auto - Chicago CubsPASS
- $4.832021 1st Bowman Chrome #CPA-KMO AUTO Koen Moreno CUBSPASS
- $5.252021 Bowman Chrome Koen Moreno 1st Auto CPA-KMO Prospect Chicago CubsPASS
- $5.742021 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO KOEN MORENO CUBSPASS
- $6.99KOEN MORENO AUTO 1st 2021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Autograph Rookie Card RCPASS
- $7.882021 Bowman Chrome Koen Moreno 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-KMO CubsPASS
- $10.692021 Bowman Chrome Koen Moreno 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-KMOPASS
- $10.962021 Koen Moreno 1st Auto Bowman Chrome # CPA-KMO - Chicago CubsPASS
- $13.942021 Bowman Chrome Koen Moreno Prospect 1st Bowman AUTO Chicago CubsPASS
- $13.982021 Bowman Chrome - Koen Moreno - Auto 1st Rookie RC CPA-KMOPASS
- $13.99KOEN MORENO 2021 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CDA-KMOPASS
- $20.002021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Koen Moreno!🔥 HOT! Cubs Base AutoPASS
- $22.342021 1st Bowman Chrome #CPA-KMO Koen Moreno AUTO Chicago Cubs MLB BaseballPASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Koen Moreno Auto #CPA-KMO Cubs 1st BowmanPASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Koen Moreno Prospect Autographs Auto Cubs 1st RookiePASS
- —Koen Moreno 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Autograph Auto CubsPASS
- —2021 1st Bowman Chrome Koen Moreno Auto #CPA-KMO Chicago CubsPASS
- —2021 Bowman 1st Chrome Koen Moreno Auto #CPA-KMO Chicago Cubs ProspectPASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Koen Moreno 1st Auto CPA-KMO x2PASS
- $12.132021 Bowman Chrome HTA Green Atomic Refractor 56/99 Koen Moreno Auto 0l44PASS
- —Topps Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Koen Moreno Chicago Cubs CH-1 CardPASS
- $22.372021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor /150 Koen Moreno #CPA-KMO Auto z7dPASS
- $33.072021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor 82/150 Koen Moreno #CPA-KMO Auto 3hdPASS
- $6.072021 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto #CPA-KMO Koen Moreno RC Base AutoPASS
- $14.442021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor /299 Koen Moreno Auto 1n21PASS
- $15.00Koen Moreno 2021 Bowman Draft 1st Bowman Chrome Green True Auto /99 CPA-KMO CubsPASS
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
- We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run