Deal Sniper

Connor Scott

LF · Double-A · 26.0y · #5793 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

22 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

40 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

Something about this card rules it out no matter the price.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

Connor Scott scores 22 out of 100 (#5793 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — 26.0 is old for a prospect card.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: age for the level — -2.0y vs his level at Double-A puts him younger than only 24% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.

The signal

  • Old for the level

    -2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than only 24% of the players there.

  • Contact: below average

    31.4% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • OPS slipping

    .774 last season to .617 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Bat-first profile

    LF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    26.0 is old for a prospect card.

Why now

  • 5 new copies listed this week

    Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.

What could go wrong

  • Age for the level

    -2.0y vs his level at Double-A puts him younger than only 24% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.

  • Corner-only profile

    LF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2018 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-CSC — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2018 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-CSC

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

40 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 40 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 34 are under "The whole live market".

  • CONNOR SCOTT 2018 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST BOWMAN ON CARD AUTO AUTOGRAPH #CDA-CSC

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 520d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $3.49

    modeled ~$5.00

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Connor Scott 2018 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st #BDC158 Miami Marlins Auto Signed Card

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 992d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $3.75

    modeled ~$5.00

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Connor Scott 1st AUTO REFRACTOR #325 /499 2018 Bowman Draft Chrome CDD-CSC

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 180d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $3.98

    modeled ~$10.50

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2018 Bowman Draft Chrome CONNOR SCOTT 1ST BOWMAN Autograph Prospect Auto#CDA-CSC

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $4.75

    modeled ~$5.00

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 1st 2018 Bowman Chrome AUTO CDA-CSC CONNOR SCOTT Rookie Card

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 26d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.98

    modeled ~$5.00

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Connor Scott #CDA-CSC Auto 0u2j

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $6.67

    modeled ~$5.00

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $3.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $3.49 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $3.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $3.98 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +14%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $9.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $9.95 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +150%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $19.62, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $19.62 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +97%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $46.64, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $46.64 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +138%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.02, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $15.02 live
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -68%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

13 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 46 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 46 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    42

    below average · better than 21% at his level

    31.4% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    49

    average · better than 48% at his level

    .139 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    43

    below average · better than 25% at his level

    7.5% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    49

    average · better than 45% at his level

    15 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    43

    below average · better than 25% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .617 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    43

    below average · better than 24% at his level · context, not a skill

    -2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 35th percentile of the cohort, production at the 25th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 35 and his production sits at 25, a gap of +10. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 66th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.9 / 10

  • already at Double-A
  • old for Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

280

AVG

.206

OBP

.272

SLG

.345

OPS

.617

better than 25%

HR

9

SB

7

BB%

7.5

K%

31.4

Is this player getting better?

Down from .774 to .617 OPS this season — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.

Still at Double-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.774▼.617

Power

.074▲.139

Walks

6.7%→7.5%

Strikeouts

10.0%▲31.4%

Last season, 30 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market40 listed · 40 eBay-verified · 34 not shown above
Listings
40

40 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$3.49
Median ask
$9.95
Cheapest 1st auto
$3.49
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$3.98

Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.

The other 34 cards

  • $7.00(2) 2018 Bowman Chrome Connor Scott 1st Rookie Auto - MarlinsPASS
  • $7.522018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Connor Scott #CDA-CSC Auto 4j9PASS
  • $7.542018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Connor Scott #CDA-CSC Auto 3t8PASS
  • $7.662018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Connor Scott #CDA-CSC Auto 01nwPASS
  • $7.832018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Connor Scott #CDA-CSC Auto 1q7PASS
  • $8.002018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Autographs Connor Scott Auto Miami MarlinsPASS
  • $8.112018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Connor Scott #CDA-CSC Auto qm6PASS
  • $8.112018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Connor Scott #CDA-CSC Auto qm6PASS
  • $8.112018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Connor Scott #CDA-CSC Auto qm6PASS
  • $9.562018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Connor Scott #CDA-CSC Auto 08k5PASS
  • $9.952018 Bowman Draft #CDA-CSC Connor Scott 1st Chrome Purple Auto #/250PASS
  • $10.992018 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Connor Scott Auto RCPASS
  • $10.992018 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Connor Scott Auto RCPASS
  • $11.492018 CONNOR SCOTT 1st Bowman Chrome Auto RC - BGS 9.5/10 - Gem MintPASS
  • $13.992018 CONNOR SCOTT 1st Bowman Chrome Auto RC - BGS 9.5/10 - Gem Mint - Big Sub'sPASS
  • $14.492018 CONNOR SCOTT 1st Bowman Chrome REFRACTOR Auto RC - BGS 9.5/10 - #/499PASS
  • $14.492018 Bowman Chrome Draft Connor Scott Auto BGS 9.5/10PASS
  • $15.022018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Green Refractor 95/99 Connor Scott Auto 08vxPASS
  • $16.852018 Bowman Draft Connor Scott #CDA-CSC Chrome Pick Auto Marlins PSA 10PASS
  • $18.002018 Bowman Chrome Draft Connor Scott 1st Bowman Auto PSA 9 PiratesPASS
  • $19.622018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor 237/250 Connor Scott Auto a6iPASS
  • $23.642018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Connor Scott #CDA-CSC PSA 9 MINT Auto 0d8PASS
  • $30.532018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Green Refractor 5/99 Connor Scott PSA 9 Auto r7dPASS
  • $31.692018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Connor Scott #CDA-CSC BGS 9.5 GEM MINT Auto 0nr3PASS
  • $33.002018 CONNOR SCOTT 1st Bowman Chrome Auto RC - BGS 9.5/10 - Gem MintPASS
  • $46.642018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Refractor /150 Connor Scott #CDA-CSC Auto r0jPASS
  • $47.782018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor Connor Scott BGS 9.5 GEM MINT Auto n0cPASS
  • —Connor Scott 2018 Bowman Draft 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDA-CSC MarlinsPASS
  • —2018 Bowman Draft Chrome CONNOR SCOTT 1ST BOWMAN Autograph Prospect Auto#CDA-CSCPASS
  • —Connor Scott 2018 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Draft Auto #CDA-CSC - Miami MarlinsPASS
  • —2018 Bowman Draft Chrome Connor Scott Auto Miami Marlins 1st #CDA-CSC Pirates PASS
  • —2018 Bowman Chrome Draft Connor Scott Auto 1st Autograph Rookie RC PiratesPASS
  • —2018 Bowman Chrome Draft Connor Scott Refractor Auto /499 BGS9/10PASS
  • —U Connor Scott 2018 Bowman Draft Chrome Dp Auto – Refractor Psa 9 #to 499 🔥🔥🔥PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now