Micah Ottenbreit
SP · High-A · 23.0y · #5614 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait
23 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $2.99, over the $1.85 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2021 Bowman Draft Micah Ottenbreit 1st… at $35. Player not there yet.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, expensive market.
Micah Ottenbreit scores 23 out of 100 (#5614 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $1–2 off 1 confirmed sale.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
The signal
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production.
Why now
3 new copies listed this week
Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.
What could go wrong
No professional sample
We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$1.39–2.31midpoint $1.85
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-25 · 4 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is Micah Ottenbreit 2021 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Bowman On Card Auto RC Phillies at $13.98, 656% over the $1.85 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $1.85 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: not a core card.
What is for sale right now
36 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 36 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 30 are under "The whole live market".
2021 Bowman Draft Micah Ottenbreit 1st Bowman Chrome Gold Ref Auto /50 PSA 10
/50 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 263d
Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way
$35.00
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2021 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Prospect Auto Phillies - MICAH OTTENBREIT
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 21d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
—
sold $1.85
PASS
2021 Bowman Chrome Draft Micah Ottenbreit 1st Blue Refractor Auto #/150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $1.25–4.86
PASS
2021 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Aqua /199 Auto Refractor Micah Ottenbreit #CDA-MO
/199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 819d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $1.12–4.37
PASS
Micah Ottenbreit 2021 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CDA-MO
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.98
modeled $0.96–3.72
LOTTERY
Micah Ottenbreit 2021 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Refractor Auto #'d /499 #CDA-MO
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 35d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$8.48
modeled $0.96–3.72
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder8 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $2.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Aqua Lava RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.27, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.27 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +210%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +29%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.98 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -59%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.11, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.11 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +63%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $28.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $28.82 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +255%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $63.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $63.31 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +120%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $28.81, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $28.81 live
- Scarcity
- 71 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -55%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet
What he is good at
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
—
not measured for him yet
—
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
—
not measured for him yet
—
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
—
not measured for him yet
—
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
—
not measured for him yet
—
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
—
not measured for him yet
—
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
51
average · better than 53% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
Will he get there?
Long shot 3.6 / 10
- old for High-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingno season line on file
We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-25 — $2.49 plus $1.49 shipping · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market36 listed · 36 eBay-verified · 30 not shown above
- Listings
- 36
- Lowest live
- $2.99
- Median ask
- $8.49
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.85
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $4.98
36 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 30 cards
- —Micah Ottenbreit 2021 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Refractor Auto #/499 PhilliesPASS
- $3.85MICAH OTTENBREIT 2021 Bowman Draft #CDA-MO 1st Chrome Auto Philadelphia PhilliesLOTTERY
- $6.93🔥2021 Draft Micah Ottenbreit 1st Bowman⚾️CHROME ON CARD AUTO!🔥FREE SHIPPING🔥LOTTERY
- $8.00Micah Ottenbreit 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Year Prospect Autograph Auto Phillies #2LOTTERY
- $8.00Micah Ottenbreit 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Year Prospect Autograph Auto Phillies #1LOTTERY
- $8.492021 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT MICAH OTTENBREIT CDA-MD 1ST PROSPECT AUTO PHILLIESLOTTERY
- $9.542021 Bowman Chrome Draft #CDA-MO Micah Ottenbreit 1st Bowman Rookie RC AutoLOTTERY
- $9.992021 Bowman Draft Chrome Micah Ottenbreit Auto Phillies #BDC-170 1st Card SignedLOTTERY
- $10.23MICAH OTTENBREIT 2021 Bowman Chrome Auto 1stLOTTERY
- $11.242021 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Phillies Micah Ottenbreit Auto WHC671LOTTERY
- $11.982021 Bowman Chrome Draft MICAH OTTENBREIT 1st Rookie AUTO Phillies RC QUANTITYLOTTERY
- $11.992021 Bowman Draft Chrome Refractor Micah Ottenbreit Auto Phillies #BDC-170 1stLOTTERY
- $13.98Micah Ottenbreit 2021 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Bowman On Card Auto RC PhilliesLOTTERY
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Draft Micah Ottenbreit auto autograph card Phillies 1stPASS
- —2021 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Micah Ottenbreit #CDA-MO PhilliesPASS
- —◣MICAH OTTENBREIT◢ 2021 Topps Bowman Chrome Draft #CDA-MO 1st Bowman Auto BID-ITPASS
- $28.812021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Sparkle Refractor 50/71 Micah Ottenbreit Auto h3aPASS
- $28.822021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Green Refractor 18/99 Micah Ottenbreit Auto 9hxPASS
- $63.312021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Black Refractor 12/75 Micah Ottenbreit Auto 16zoPASS
- $8.112021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor /250 Micah Ottenbreit Auto 1s4uLOTTERY
- $9.272021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor /499 Micah Ottenbreit #CDA-MO Auto 1u5yLOTTERY
- $11.562021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor /499 Micah Ottenbreit #CDA-MO Auto 16zoLOTTERY
- $2.992021 Bowman Draft Micah Ottenbreit Chrome Draft Pick Autographs #CDA-MO AutoLOTTERY
- $3.982021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Autographs Micah Ottenbreit Auto PhiladelphiaLOTTERY
- $6.912021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Micah Ottenbreit #CDA-MO Auto 9b4LOTTERY
- $6.972021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Micah Ottenbreit #CDA-MO Auto 1i7nLOTTERY
- $7.072021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Micah Ottenbreit #CDA-MO Auto 16n7LOTTERY
- $7.832021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Micah Ottenbreit #CDA-MO Auto 10noLOTTERY
- $8.122021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Micah Ottenbreit #CDA-MO Auto 03ccLOTTERY
- $9.272021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Aqua Lava Refractor Micah Ottenbreit Auto 0h4vLOTTERY
What this page is missing2 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
- We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run