Luis Guerrero
SP · Durham Bulls · Triple-A · 26.0y · #5180 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
25 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
53 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Luis Guerrero scores 25 out of 100 (#5180 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production; 26.0 is old for a prospect card.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
The signal
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production; 26.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
No professional sample
We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-LG — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 10 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 10 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-LG
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 10 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
53 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 53 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 47 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Chrome Luis Guerrero 1st Boston Red Sox Auto Superfractor 1/1
1/1 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 538d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 63h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$3.26
NEEDS EVIDENCE
LUIS GUERRERO - 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Yellow 1st Auto /75 #CPA-LG
/75 · raw · condition not stated · listed 64d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 58h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$14.98
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2024 Bowman Chrome Luis Guerrero 1st HTA Choice Mojo Refractor Auto /150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 130d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 58h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.20
modeled ~$2.25
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Luis Guerrero 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Refractor Auto /499 Red Sox PSA 9
/499 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 13d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2024 Bowman Chrome Luis Guerrero Auto HTA Choice Refractor 1st /150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 238d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 58h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$14.99
modeled ~$2.25
NEEDS EVIDENCE
LUIS GUERRERO /250 1ST ROOKIE AUTO RC RED SOX BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECTS REFRACTOR
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 324d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 58h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.24
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder11 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.24 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- RedTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.74 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +10%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.49 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +187%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Red Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.63, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.63 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -42%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.64, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.64 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +42%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.98 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -49%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.32 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +62%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Red Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.24 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -1%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.20, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.20 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -0%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $22.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $22.90 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +105%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $14.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $14.98 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -35%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
5 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet
What he is good at
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
—
not measured for him yet
—
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
—
not measured for him yet
—
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
—
not measured for him yet
—
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
—
not measured for him yet
—
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
—
not measured for him yet
—
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
52
average · better than 59% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.4 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingno season line on file
We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market53 listed · 53 eBay-verified · 47 not shown above
- Listings
- 53
- Lowest seen
- $5.24
- Median ask
- $11.49
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $5.24
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $6.98
53 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 15 hours ago.
The other 47 cards
- $11.32Luis Guerrero 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Purple Refractor /250 Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $6.98Luis Guerrero 2024 1ST Bowman Chrome Speckle Refractor Auto #/299- PROSPECT AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
- $9.63🔥2024 Luis Guerrero 1st Bowman⚾️CHROME REFRACTOR ON CARD AUTO NUMBERED 263/499!NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $16.492024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-LG Luis Guerrero 1st Bowman Prospect Auto /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $17.982024 Bowman Chrome Luis Guerrero 1st Auto Refractor /499 #002 Red Sox NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Luis Guerrero 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Refractor Auto /499 Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $28.742024 Bowman Chrome - Luis Guerrero #CPA-LG Auto - PSA 10 Gem Mt.NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $33.422024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Gold Refractor 42/50 Luis Guerrero SGC 9.5 Auto 10noNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome CPA-LG Luis Guerrero Auto Refractor #/499 PSA 10 Gem MintNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $5.242024 Bowman Chrome - Luis Guerrero - Auto 1st #CPA-LGNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $5.742024 Bowman Chrome - Luis Guerrero - 1st Auto #CPA-LG Boston Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $5.782024 1st Bowman Chrome Luis Guerrero CPA-LG AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $5.99Luis Guerrero 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto On Card #CPA-LG 1stNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $6.32Luis Guerrero #CPA-LG 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $6.32Luis Guerrero #CPA-LG 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $6.502021 Bowman Chrome 1st Luis Guerrero Auto RC Boston Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $6.502024 Luis Guerrero 1st Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto #CPA-LG Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $9.76Luis Guerrero 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-LG 1st Bowman Auto - Red Sox ProspectNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $11.242024 Bowman Chrome LUIS GUERRERO 1st RC On Card AUTO Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $11.282024 Bowman Chrome LUIS GUERRERO PROSPECT AUTO 1ST #CPA-LGNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $11.492024 BOWMAN CHROME AUTOGRAPH LUIS GUERRERO AUTO BOSTON RED SOX #CPALG 1ST BOWMANNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $11.582024 Bowman Chrome Luis Guerrero 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-LG Red Sox ProspectNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $12.992024 Bowman Chrome Luis Guerrero 1st Bowman Auto NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $13.492024 Bowman Chrome Luis Guerrero⚾ 1st Bowman Auto ⚾ BOSTON RED SOXNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $13.99LUIS GUERRERO 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-LGNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $19.94LUIS GUERRERO 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-LGNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects Red Sox Luis Guerrero 1st Auto #CPA-LGNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Luis Guerrero 1st Bowman Auto Red Sox Prospect #CPA-LGNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Prospect Auto Luis Guerrero #CPA-LG Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Luis Guerrero CPA-LGNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman 1st Chrome - Prospect Autographs Luis Guerrero #CPA-LG Auto, RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Luis Guerrero 2024 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-LG Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Luis Guerrero CPA-LG 1st Bowman AUTO BaseNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Luis Guerrero 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto #CPA-LG Red Sox AutographNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Luis Guerrero 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CPALG Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Luis Guerrero 1st Bowman Base Auto - Boston Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —LUIS GUERRERO 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect AUTO Card RED SOX CPA-LG BostonNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Luis Guerrero 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-LG Auto 1st Prospect Boston Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Luis Guerrero 2024 Bowman 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-LG Boston Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —🔥2024 Bowman Chrome Luis Guerrero 1st Bowman Base Auto Boston Red Sox CPA-LG NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Luis Guerrero 1st Bowman Base Auto Boston Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $22.902024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-LG Luis Guerrero RC auto Mini-Diamond Refractor /100NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $15.13Luis Guerrero 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto #CPA-LG Red Sox AutographNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $21.902024 Bowman Chrome Luis Guerrero Refractor Auto /499 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Luis Guerrero 1st Bowman Base Auto - Boston Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $13.642024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 396/499 Luis Guerrero #CPA-LG Auto 09anNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $16.172024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 112/499 Luis Guerrero #CPA-LG Auto 16s2NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
- We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run