Luis Frias
CF · Rookie · 22.0y · #5090 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
28 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
34 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Topps Bowman 2021 Luis Frias 1st Bowman…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Luis Frias scores 28 out of 100 (#5090 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: speed: plus — 52 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 79% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: age for the level — -3.0y vs his level at Rookie puts him younger than only 11% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.
The signal
Old for the level
-3.0y vs his level at Rookie — younger than only 11% of the players there.
Contact: below average
28.1% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Speed: plus
52 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 79% at his level.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
CF is a position the hobby pays up for.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Age for the level
-3.0y vs his level at Rookie puts him younger than only 11% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-LF — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 21 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 21 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-LF
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 21 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
34 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 34 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 28 are under "The whole live market".
Luis Frias 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Arizona Diamondbacks #CPA-LF
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 65d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$2.70
modeled ~$8.47
PASS
Luis Frias 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie Auto Card CPA-LF Diamondbacks
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 55d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$2.99
modeled ~$8.47
PASS
2021 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Bowman #CPA-LF Luis Frias Auto
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 100d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.28
modeled ~$8.47
PASS
2021 Bowman Luis Frias Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-LF Arizona Diamondbacks
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 350d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.96
modeled ~$8.47
PASS
2021 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Luis Frias Auto /499
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 70d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.98
modeled ~$11.00
PASS
2021 Bowman Chrome Luis Frias AUTO 1st Year Rookie Card-Guardians
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 559d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$3.99
modeled ~$8.47
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $2.70, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $2.70 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- SapphireTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.98 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +529%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.98 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -77%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.99 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +252%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $12.46, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $12.46 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -11%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.58, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.58 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +9%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.98 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -56%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 1087 hitters at Rookie
What he is good at
skills overall 50 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1087 hitters at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
43
below average · better than 25% at his level
28.1% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
49
average · better than 48% at his level
.102 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
49
average · better than 46% at his level
15.1% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
58
plus · better than 79% at his level
52 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
48
average · better than 41% at his level · the result, not a skill
.706 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
38
well below · better than 11% at his level · context, not a skill
-3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 50th percentile of the cohort, production at the 41th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 50 and his production sits at 41, a gap of +9. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,087 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 63th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 3.1 / 10
- old for Rookie
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 82% of what it wants to know — missing readiness.
How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1087 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
185
AVG
.236
OBP
.368
SLG
.338
OPS
.706
better than 41%
HR
3
SB
16
BB%
15.1
K%
28.1
Is this player getting better?
About the same as last season — .725 to .706 OPS.
Still at Rookie, the same level as last season.
OPS
.725→.706
Power
.100→.102
Walks
6.7%▲15.1%
Strikeouts
23.0%▲28.1%
Last season, 178 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market34 listed · 34 eBay-verified · 28 not shown above
- Listings
- 34
- Lowest live
- $2.70
- Median ask
- $7.89
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $2.70
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $3.98
34 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 28 cards
- $4.99Luis Frias 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Diamondbacks CPA-LFPASS
- $5.31Luis Frias 2021 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-LF DiamondbacksPASS
- $5.98Luis Frias 2021 1st Bowman Chrome Prospects Atomic Refractor Auto /100 #CPA-LFPASS
- $6.48Luis Frias 2021 1st Bowman Chrome Prospects AUTO Autograph Arizona DiamondbacksPASS
- $6.992021 Bowman Chrome LUIS FRIAS 1st Prospect Rookie Auto Arizona DiamondbacksPASS
- $7.192021 Bowman Chrome Auto LUIS FRIAS 1st Bowman Arizona DIAMONDBACKS #CPA-LFPASS
- $7.482021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Refractor 490/499 Luis Frias #CPA-LF Auto 4jkPASS
- $8.292021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Refractor /499 Luis Frias #CPA-LF Auto 1dl2PASS
- $8.952021 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Bowman #CPA-LF Luis Frias Auto DiamondbacksPASS
- $9.982021 Bowman Chrome LUIS FRIAS 1st Rookie AUTO #CPA-LF Arizona Diamondbacks RC SPPASS
- $11.49Luis Frias 2021 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499 CPA-LF 1st BowmanPASS
- $12.462021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Purple Refractor /250 Luis Frias #CPA-LF Auto 0cvPASS
- $12.652021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Purple Refractor /250 Luis Frias #CPA-LF Auto s1iPASS
- $13.582021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Blue Refractor 91/150 Luis Frias #CPA-LF Auto yk0PASS
- $13.99LUIS FRIAS 2021 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-LFPASS
- $13.99LUIS FRIAS 2021 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST SPECKLE REFRACTOR RC AUTO 220/299 #CPA-LFPASS
- $14.532021 Bowman Chrome 1st Luis Frias Blue Refractor Auto /150 Arizona DiamondbacksPASS
- $15.00Luis Frias 2021 1st Bowman Chrome Prospects AUTO Autograph Arizona DiamondbacksPASS
- $15.992021 Bowman Chrome Luis Frias Auto 1st Prospect DIAMONDBACKSPASS
- $16.982021 Bowman Chrome Sapphire LUIS FRIAS 1st Rookie AUTO #BSPA-LF Diamondbacks RCPASS
- —Topps Bowman 2021 Luis Frias 1st Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto Dbacks #CPA-LFPASS
- —Topps 2021 Bowman 1st Bowman Auto Luis Frias Dbacks Chrome Prospects #CPA-LFPASS
- —Luis Frias 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Refractor /499 DiamondbacksPASS
- —Luis Frias 2021 Bowman Chrome RC 1st Bowman On-Card Auto AZ Diamondbacks CPA-LFPASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Luis Frias Auto #CPA-LFPASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Luis Frias Speckle Auto /299 #CPA-LFPASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Auto Luis FriasPASS
- —Luis Frias 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Arizona Diamondbacks #CPA-LFPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run