Deal Sniper

Adler Cecil

SP · Low-A · 21.0y · #4728 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

31 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

57 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Autographs…. Player not there yet.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

Adler Cecil scores 31 out of 100 (#4728 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $1–2 off 2 confirmed sales.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

The signal

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SP sells at a discount at equal production.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • No professional sample

    We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CA — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 29 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$0.90–2.27midpoint $1.00

Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-21 · 31 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CA

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 29 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball Padres 1st Bowman Adler Cecil On Card Auto at $15, 1400% over the $1–2.06 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $1 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Priced above value
  • Player not there yet
  • On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.

What is for sale right now

57 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 57 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 51 are under "The whole live market".

  • Adler Cecil 2024 Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-CA 1st Prospect PSA 9 Padres

    base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 334d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $27.66

    modeled ~$35.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Adler Cecil Refractor Auto /499 PSA 9

    /499 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 156d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $31.90

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Adler Cecil 1st Green Lava Refractor AUTO /99 Padres

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 531d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $10.78

    modeled $0.97–5.71

    LOTTERY

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Adler Cecil Auto Green Lava Refractor 1st Prospect #/99

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 489d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.99

    modeled $0.97–5.71

    LOTTERY

  • ADLER CECIL 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH HTA CHOICE AUTO /150

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 20d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $13.90

    sold $2.02

    LOTTERY

  • ADLER CECIL 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st HTA Choice Refractor Autograph Auto #088/150

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 614d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $7.64

    modeled $0.81–4.76

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder13 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $2.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +120%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +13%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.86, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +7%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.28, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +44%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -47%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $33.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +468%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -59%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.64, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -45%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +5%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.87, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    100 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +74%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -22%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Lava Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    0%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet

What he is good at

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    not measured for him yet

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    not measured for him yet

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    not measured for him yet

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    not measured for him yet

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    not measured for him yet

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    54

    above average · better than 66% at his level · context, not a skill

    0.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.4 / 10

  • old for Low-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingno season line on file

We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market57 listed · 57 eBay-verified · 51 not shown above
Listings
57

57 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$2.95
Median ask
$7.98
Cheapest 1st auto
$2.95
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$5.98

Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.

The other 51 cards

  • $9.492024 Bowman Chrome ADLER CECIL 1st HTA Choice Refractor Auto Autograph RC #/150LOTTERY
  • $10.78Adler Cecil 2024 1st Bowman Chrome True Blue Auto /150 #CPA-CALOTTERY
  • $13.98Adler Cecil 2024 Bowman Chrome True Blue Auto 1st Bowman #/150 #CPA-CA PadresLOTTERY
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Adler Cecil #CPA-CA Blue Refractor Auto /150 PadresPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Adler Cecil True Blue Auto 1st Bowman #/150 #CPA-CA PadresPASS
  • $5.982024 Bowman Chrome Adler Cecil 1st Prospect Auto Purple REF /250 PadresLOTTERY
  • Adler Cecil 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 #CPA-CA PadresPASS
  • $6.502024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CA Adler Cecil 1st Auto /299 San Diego PadresLOTTERY
  • $7.322024 Bowman Chrome Adler Cecil 1st Refractor Auto Autograph RC #/299 PADRESLOTTERY
  • $7.86Adler Cecil 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle 1st AUTO /299 PadresLOTTERY
  • $9.942024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CA Adler Cecil 1st Speckle Auto #/299LOTTERY
  • $11.502024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CA Adler Cecil 1st Auto /299 San Diego PadresLOTTERY
  • $15.732024 Bowman Chrome Baseball #CPA-CA Adler Cecil 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499LOTTERY
  • $15.74Adler Cecil 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-CA PadresLOTTERY
  • $7.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome Adler Cecil 1st Prospect Auto Refractor /499LOTTERY
  • $7.982024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs Refractor Mojo Adler Cecil Auto 097/150LOTTERY
  • $13.872024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Mini-Diamond Refractor 31/100 Adler Cecil Auto 3caLOTTERY
  • $20.772024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Mini-Diamond Refractor 26/100 Adler Cecil Auto 4k8LOTTERY
  • $33.982024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 58/250 Adler Cecil #CPA-CA Auto z7dPASS
  • $11.282024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor /299 Adler Cecil #CPA-CA Auto 0qh8LOTTERY
  • $2.952024 Bowman Chrome 1st Adler Cecil Auto 🔥 Padres PASS
  • $3.242024 Bowman Chrome Adler Cecil Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-CA PadresPASS
  • $3.64ADLER CECIL 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st RC Autograph Auto #CPA-CAPASS
  • $4.50ADLER CECIL 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASE AUTOGRAPH BASEBALL AUTOPASS
  • $4.512024 BOWMAN CHROME ADLER CECIL RC AUTO #CPA-CA PADRES 1STPASS
  • $5.50ADLER CECIL 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASEBALL AUTOGRAPH BASE AUTO Q0902PASS
  • $5.95ADLER CECIL 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-CAPASS
  • $5.99Adler Cecil 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Padres PASS
  • $5.99ADLER CECIL 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASE AUTOGRAPH BASEBALL AUTOPASS
  • $5.992024 Bowman Chrome ADLER CECIL RC 1st Auto San Diego Padres ProspectPASS
  • $6.002024 Bowman Chrome Adler Cecil 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-CA PadresPASS
  • $6.242024 Bowman Chrome ADLER CECIL 1st RC On Card AUTO PadresPASS
  • $6.35Adler Cecil 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto San Diego Padres #CPA-CAPASS
  • $7.00Adler Cecil - ON-CARD AUTO - 1st Bowman Chrome - 2024 Bowman - CPA-CAPASS
  • $7.132024 Bowman Chrome- Adler Cecil- 1st Chrome Auto 💎#CPA-CAPASS
  • $7.482024 Bowman Chrome 1st auto ADLER CECIL! San Diego PadresPASS
  • $8.09Adler Cecil 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Auto #CPA-CA San Diego PadresPASS
  • $8.602024 Adler Cecil Bowman Chrome 1st Chrome Auto RC #CPA-CA (H151)PASS
  • $10.36Adler Cecil 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CA 1st Bowman Auto - Padres ProspectPASS
  • $15.002024 Bowman Chrome Baseball Padres 1st Bowman Adler Cecil On Card AutoPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Autographs Adler Cecil #CPA-CA Auto San DiegoPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Adler Cecil Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-CA PadresPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Adler Cecil Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-CA PadresPASS
  • ADLER CECIL 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Auto #CPA-CA ⚾️PASS
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome - Adler Cecil 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CA (AU)PASS
  • ADLER CECIL 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st RC Autograph Auto #CPA-CA QtyPASS
  • ADLER CECIL 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH PIRATES AUTOPASS
  • ADLER CECIL 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-CA PadresPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Autographs Adler Cecil #CPA-CA Auto San DiegoPASS
  • Adler Cecil 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CA 1st Prospect AutoPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Adler Cecil On Card Auto 1ST Rookie SD PADRES #CPA-CAPASS
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
  • We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player