Deal Sniper

Kevin Made

SS · Harrisburg Senators · Double-A · 23.0y · #4665 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

32 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

28 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2021 Bowman Chrome Kevin Made Auto Atomic…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

Kevin Made scores 32 out of 100 (#4665 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 10 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.

  • Power: well below

    .000 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Plate discipline: plus-plus

    20.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 96% at his level.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Speed: plus-plus

    60 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 93% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    10 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 11 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 13 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 11 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $3.99 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

28 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 27 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 21 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Kevin Made 1st Bowman Auto Refractor 268/499

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 404d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.38

    modeled ~$11.11

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Kevin Made 1st Bowman Refractor Auto #/499 Cubs

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 1071d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.99

    modeled ~$11.11

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • KEVIN MADE 2021 Bowman 1ST Chrome 50/250 AUTO CHICAGO CUBS

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1381d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $19.13

    modeled ~$12.04

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Kevin Made CPA-KM 1st Refractor Auto /499 PSA 9 Nationals

    /499 · PSA 9 · listed 26d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $23.98

    no sold price

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2021 1st Bowman Chrome Kevin Made Purple Refractor Auto /250 PSA 9 Cubs

    /250 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 1064d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $25.98

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Kevin Made 2021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs PSA 10 Cubs 1st Bowman Auto

    base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 407d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $35.98

    modeled ~$80.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $3.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $3.99 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.38, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $11.38 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +185%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $19.13, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $19.13 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +68%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $28.76, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $28.76 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +50%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

8 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 54 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    44

    below average · better than 27% at his level

    30.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    37

    well below · better than 9% at his level

    .000 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    68

    plus-plus · better than 96% at his level

    20.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    65

    plus-plus · better than 93% at his level

    60 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    35

    well below · better than 7% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .425 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    58

    plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 56th percentile of the cohort, production at the 7th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 100% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 56 and his production sits at 7, a gap of +49. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 100th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.1 / 10

  • already at Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

10

AVG

.125

OBP

.300

SLG

.125

OPS

.425

better than 7%

HR

0

SB

1

BB%

20.0

K%

30.0

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market28 listed · 28 eBay-verified · 21 not shown above
Listings
28

28 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$3.99
Median ask
$16.52
Cheapest 1st auto
$3.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$11.38

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 21 cards

  • —2021 Bowman Chrome Kevin Made Auto Atomic Refractor 1st /100 Cubs NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $39.622021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor Kevin Made Auto /299 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2021 Bowman Chrome Rookie Autograph Purple Kevin Made RC Auto 21/250 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $3.992021 Bowman Chrome Kevin Made CPA-KM 1st Auto Chicago CubsLOTTERY
  • $3.992021 Bowman Chrome Kevin Made CPA-KM 1st Auto Chicago CubsLOTTERY
  • $3.992021 Bowman Chrome Kevin Made CPA-KM 1st Auto Chicago CubsLOTTERY
  • $6.502021 Bowman Chrome #CPA-KM Kevin Made 1st Prospect AutoLOTTERY
  • $10.99Kevin Made 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto LOTTERY
  • $11.992021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Kevin Made Auto Chicago Cubs #BCP-153 1st CardLOTTERY
  • $13.99KEVIN MADE 2021 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-KMLOTTERY
  • —2021 Bowman Chrome Auto KEVIN MADE 1st Bowman Washington NATIONALS #CPA-KMNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2021 Bowman Chrome - Prospect Autographs Kevin Made #CPA-KM 1st AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Kevin Made 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Autograph Auto CubsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2021 Bowman Chrome Kevin Made 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CPA-KM Cubs B4NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2021 Bowman Chrome #CPA-KM Kevin Made 1st Prospect AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2011 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs Kevin Made CPAKM BGS 9.5 GEM MINT AUTO 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $28.762021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Kevin Made #CPA-KM Auto v3rNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $19.042021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Kevin Made #CPA-KM PSA 9 MINT Auto 1f7bLOTTERY
  • $55.832021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor Kevin Made PSA 9 MINT Auto 0u17NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $22.772021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 493/499 Kevin Made #CPA-KM Auto 1kp9LOTTERY
  • —2021 Bowman Chrome Kevin Made Auto #CPA-KM 1st ProspectPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now