Deal Sniper

Yeiner Fernandez

C · Tulsa Drillers · Double-A · 23.0y · #4597 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

33 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

45 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Yeiner… at $18. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

Yeiner Fernandez scores 33 out of 100 (#4597 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 23 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.

  • Power: well below

    .048 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Contact: plus

    17.4% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 86% at his level.

  • Premium position

    C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    Little power for his level (13th percentile); C sells at a discount at equal production.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    23 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 7 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 7 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 7 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $2.99 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

45 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 45 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 39 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Yeiner Fernandez 1st Atomic On Card Auto /100 Dodgers

    /100 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 88d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.99

    modeled ~$16.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome - 1st - YEINER FERNANDEZ - Green Refractor Prospect Auto /99

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 326d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.25

    modeled ~$30.00

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman #CPA-YF Yeiner Fernandez 1st Bowman Chrome Green Shimmer Auto /99

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 15d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.40

    modeled ~$19.95

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman YEINER FERNANDEZ Atomic Refractor Auto 37/100 1st Chrome #CPA-YF

    /100 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 33d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $15.98

    modeled ~$15.98

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman YEINER FERNANDEZ Atomic Refractor Auto 38/100 1st Chrome #CPA-YF

    /100 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 33d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $15.98

    modeled ~$15.98

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman YEINER FERNANDEZ Atomic Refractor Auto 92/100 1st Chrome #CPA-YF

    /100 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 33d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $15.98

    modeled ~$15.98

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder10 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $2.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +368%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -57%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $9.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +67%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $8.19, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -18%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $9.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    100 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +22%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +60%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    100 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    0%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -30%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Shimmer /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.40, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +1%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

15 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 47 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 47 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    61

    plus · better than 86% at his level

    17.4% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    39

    well below · better than 13% at his level

    .048 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    46

    below average · better than 36% at his level

    8.7% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    41

    well below · better than 18% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    31

    bottom of the scale · better than 3% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .317 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    58

    plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 38th percentile of the cohort, production at the 3th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 97% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 38 and his production sits at 3, a gap of +35. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 97th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.1 / 10

  • already at Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

23

AVG

.095

OBP

.174

SLG

.143

OPS

.317

better than 3%

HR

0

SB

0

BB%

8.7

K%

17.4

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market45 listed · 45 eBay-verified · 39 not shown above
Listings
45

45 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$2.99
Median ask
$15.98
Cheapest 1st auto
$2.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$5.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 39 cards

  • $15.982023 Bowman YEINER FERNANDEZ Blue Crater Refractor Auto /150 1st Chrome #CPA-YFLOTTERY
  • $18.002023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Yeiner Fernandez Auto #CPA-YF Green Shimmer /99LOTTERY
  • $34.992023 Bowman Yeiner Fernandez Chrome Auto Blue Crater Refractor 1st #/150 SGC 9.5NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 YEINER FERNANDEZ Bowman Chrome 1st Green Shimmer Auto 64/99 Dodgers CPA-YFNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Yeiner Fernandez 1st Atomic On Card Auto /100!NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $8.19Yeiner Fernandez 2023 Rookie 1st. Bowman Chrome Auto Ref. /250 #cpa-yf DodgersLOTTERY
  • Yeiner Fernandez 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 Dodgers NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Yeiner Fernandez 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 Dodgers NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $9.992023 Bowman Chrome Auto Yeiner Fernandez 1st Bowman Speckle /299 #CPA-YF DodgersLOTTERY
  • $9.992023 Bowman Chrome Auto Yeiner Fernandez 1st Bowman Speckle /299 #CPA-YF DodgersLOTTERY
  • $14.79YEINER FERNANDEZ 2023 1st. Bowman Chrome Auto. Speckled Ref. /299 #CPA-YFLOTTERY
  • $5.99Yeiner Fernandez 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Refractor /499 Dodgers LOTTERY
  • $13.992023 Bowman Chrome CPA-YR Yeiner Fernandez 231/499 1st Bowman Auto DodgersLOTTERY
  • $13.99YEINER FERNANDEZ 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST REFRACTOR RC AUTO 256/499 #CPA-YFLOTTERY
  • $13.99YEINER FERNANDEZ 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST REFRACTOR RC AUTO 105/499 #CPA-YFLOTTERY
  • Yeiner Fernandez 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499 #CPAYF 2023 Bowman ChromeNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $36.292023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor Yeiner Fernandez PSA 10 Auto 2l4NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $38.00Yeiner Fernandez 2023 Bowman Chrome Speckle Refractor Auto /299 #CPA-YF PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $39.232023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor Yeiner Fernandez PSA 10 Auto 10noNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman - Chrome Prospect Auto Yeiner Fernandez Blue Refractor /150 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Yeiner Fernandez Green Shimmer Refractor Auto /99 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $29.912023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Yeiner Fernandez #CPA-YF Refractor /499 SGC 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $23.06Yeiner Fernandez 2023 Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto Card /250 CPA-YF PSA 9LOTTERY
  • $2.992023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-YF Yeiner Fernandez 1st Auto DodgersLOTTERY
  • $4.952023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-YF Yeiner Fernandez 1st Auto DodgersLOTTERY
  • $11.03Yeiner Fernandez 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Auto Card #CPA-YFLOTTERY
  • $11.982023 Bowman Chrome YEINER FERNANDEZ 1st Rookie AUTO #CPA-YF Dodgers RC SPLOTTERY
  • $13.99Yeiner Fernandez SIGNED 2023 1st Bowman Chrome #BCP138 Auto RC Card LA DodgersLOTTERY
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Yeiner Fernandez 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-YF LA DodgersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Yeiner Fernandez 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-YF DodgersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospects Yeiner Fernandez #BCP-138 Speckle Auto SGC 10/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Yeiner Fernandez 2023 Bowman Chrome Blue Lunar Auto Card /150 #CPA-YF PSANEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $20.54Yeiner Fernandez 2023 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto Card /499 #CPA-YF PSA 9LOTTERY
  • $29.392023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Yeiner Fernandez #CPA-YF PSA 9 MINT Auto 0i76NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $30.74Yeiner Fernandez 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Card CPA-YF PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $36.66Yeiner Fernandez 2023 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto Card #CPA-YF PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Yeiner Fernandez Auto Speckle Refractor Psa 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $26.522023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Yeiner Fernandez #CPA-YF Auto 1n21NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $28.532023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 280/499 Yeiner Fernandez #CPA-YF Auto 11r1NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player