Deal Sniper

Jake Cook

CF · Low-A · 23.0y · #4348 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

35 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Expensive

His best Blue asks $11.50, over the $5–9.99 that card has sold in.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Draft Jake Cook Chrome Auto 1st… at $10.98. Player not there yet.

Our take

Fringe prospect, expensive market.

Jake Cook scores 35 out of 100 (#4348 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: speed: plus — 40 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 79% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: age for the level — -2.0y vs his level at Low-A puts him younger than only 25% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.

The signal

  • Old for the level

    -2.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than only 25% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Speed: plus

    40 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 79% at his level.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Plate discipline: above average

    14.6% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 71% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    CF is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Age for the level

    -2.0y vs his level at Low-A puts him younger than only 25% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Asks above the sold band

    Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Jake Cook #CPA-JC Auto 1k6o at $33.98, 275% over the $5–9.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $5 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Needs a $4 drop
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

28 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 28 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 22 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome JAKE COOK True Orange Refractor 1st Auto /25 Blue Jays SP

    /25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 29d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $334.58

    modeled $15–27.15

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Draft Black X-Fractor Jake Cook 1st Rookie AUTO /10

    /10 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 12d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $15–27.15

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Jake Cook Chrome 1st Sparkle Refractor Auto /71 Blue Jays

    /71 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $10–18.10

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Jake Cook True Blue Refractor Auto 30 /150 CPA-JC

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d

    Seller risk · 3 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    sold $40

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Jake Cook Chrome Auto HTA Choice Refractor 1st #/150 Blue Jays

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $29.98

    modeled $7.50–13.58

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • JAKE COOK 2025 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST BLUE WAVE AUTO #45/150 #CPA-JC TORONTO

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 74d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $347.85

    modeled $7.50–13.58

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $21.40, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $21.40 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • BlueTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $10.98 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -49%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Wave /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $347.85, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $347.85 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +3068%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $29.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $29.98 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -91%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Orange Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $334.58, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $334.58 live
    Scarcity
    25 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +1016%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A

What he is good at

skills overall 54 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    49

    average · better than 47% at his level

    26.2% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    52

    average · better than 58% at his level

    .129 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    56

    above average · better than 71% at his level

    14.6% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    58

    plus · better than 79% at his level

    40 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    55

    above average · better than 68% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .764 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    43

    below average · better than 25% at his level · context, not a skill

    -2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 64th percentile of the cohort, production at the 68th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 64 and his production sits at 68, a gap of -4. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 43th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.4 / 10

  • old for Low-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

301

AVG

.258

OBP

.377

SLG

.387

OPS

.764

better than 68%

HR

5

SB

20

BB%

14.6

K%

26.2

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market28 listed · 28 eBay-verified · 22 not shown above
Listings
28

28 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$10.98
Median ask
$21.48
Cheapest 1st auto
$10.98
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$29.98

Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.

The other 22 cards

  • $352.85JAKE COOK 2025 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST BLUE WAVE AUTO #41/150 #CPA-JC TORONTOPASS
  • —JAKE COOK 2025 1st Bowman Chrome 1st #CPA-JC Aqua Lava Refractor Auto /199PASS
  • —Jake Cook 2025 1st Bowman Auto True Orange /25 Au Rc Blue Jays (CPA-JC)PASS
  • —Jake Cook 2025 1st Bowman Auto True Orange /25 Au Rc Blue Jays (CPA-JC)PASS
  • $10.982025 Bowman Draft Jake Cook Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-JC Blue JaysPASS
  • $11.502025 Bowman Draft Chrome Jake Cook 1st Bowman Auto Blue Jays CPA-JCPASS
  • $13.362025 Bowman Chrome Jake Cook 1st Bowman Chrome Base Auto CPA-JC Toronto Blue JayPASS
  • $14.49Jake Cook 2025 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Prospect AUTO BLUE JAYS #CPA-JCPASS
  • $14.982025 Bowman Draft Jake Cook Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-JC Blue Jays RCPASS
  • $16.002025 Bowman Draft Chrome Jake Cook 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JC Blue JaysPASS
  • $16.492025 Bowman Draft Jake Cook Chrome Auto 1st Prospect Blue JaysPASS
  • $21.40JAKE COOK 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st CPA-JCPASS
  • $21.48JAKE COOK 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st CPA-JCPASS
  • $21.48JAKE COOK 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st CPA-JCPASS
  • $21.48JAKE COOK 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st CPA-JCPASS
  • $28.232025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Jake Cook #CPA-JC Auto 0j81PASS
  • $33.982025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Jake Cook #CPA-JC Auto 1k6oPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Jake Cook 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JC Blue JaysPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Jake Cook 1st Bowman Auto CPA-JC Blue Jays AutographPASS
  • —Jake Cook 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto RCPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Draft Jake Cook Chrome Auto 1st Prospect Blue JaysPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Jake Cook Chrome Auto #Blue JaysPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now