Deal Sniper

David Davalillo

SP · Triple-A · 25.0y · #3836 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

36 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

52 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

David Davalillo scores 36 out of 100 (#3836 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $3–7 off 3 confirmed sales.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SP sells at a discount at equal production; 25.0 is old for a prospect card.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • No professional sample

    We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DDA — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 34 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$2.93–7.15midpoint $6.00

Confirmed· 3 salesmost recent 2026-08-26 · 37 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DDA

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 34 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st David Davalillo Auto at $21.50, 330% over the $3.25–6 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $3.25 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • A raw base auto at or under $2.93 delivered — the bottom of the range these have actually sold in.
  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

52 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 52 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 46 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2026 Bowman - Chrome 1st Auto David Davalillo Black Refractor /10 CGC 9 Auto 10

    /10 · CGC 9 · takes offers · listed 10d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • BGS 9.5 DAVID DAVALILLO 2026 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT 1ST AUTO GOLD SHIMMER /50

    /50 · BGS 9.5 · takes offers · listed 96d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • David Davalillo 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Snackpack Sunflower /5 AUTO #CPA-DDA

    /5 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 32d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    sold $211

    PASS

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome David Davalillo 1st Auto Orange X-fractor /25 Texas Rangers

    /25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 14d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $225.00

    modeled $5.27–30.03

    PASS

  • 2026 Bowman David Davalillo 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Orange Shimmer Refractor /25

    /25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $5.27–30.03

    PASS

  • 2026 Topps Bowman Chrome Blue #CPA-DDA David Davalillo 1st Auto 143/150

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · auction · listed 6d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $55.16

    modeled $2.63–15.02

    PASS

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.36, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +34%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +22%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $22.04, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +36%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $55.16, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +150%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Orange /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $225.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    25 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +308%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet

What he is good at

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    not measured for him yet

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    not measured for him yet

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    not measured for him yet

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    not measured for him yet

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    not measured for him yet

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.8 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingno season line on file

We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26$8.85 plus $0.00 shipping · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market52 listed · 52 eBay-verified · 46 not shown above
Listings
52

52 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$10.00
Median ask
$16.00
Cheapest 1st auto
$10.00
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$16.24

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 46 cards

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st David Davalillo Blue X-Fractor Auto /150PASS
  • $22.042026 Bowman Chrome David Davalillo 1st Bowman Auto CPA-DDA Purple /250 RangersPASS
  • 2026 Bowman David Davalillo Chrome Auto Purple Refractor 1st #/250 Texas RangersPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome David Davalillo 1st Bowman Auto Purple Refractor /250 RangersPASS
  • $16.242026 Bowman | David Davalillo | 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499 | RangersPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome David Davalillo 1st Bowman Auto Refractor /499 RangersPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DDA David Davalillo 1st Auto Refractor /499PASS
  • $10.002026 Bowman Chrome David Davalillo Auto 1st Bowman Rangers RCPASS
  • $11.312026 Bowman Chrome - David Davalillo - 1st Prospect Auto RC #CPA-DDA RangersPASS
  • $11.55DAVID DAVALILLO 2026 Bowman Baseball 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect AUTO RC #CPA-DDAPASS
  • $11.742026 Bowman Chrome David Davalillo 1st Bowman Auto RangersPASS
  • $11.742026 Bowman Chrome David Davalillo 1st Bowman Prospect Auto Rangers KM84PASS
  • $11.982026 Bowman Chrome David Davalillo # CPA-DDA 1st Auto Autograph Texas Rangers 26PASS
  • $11.99David Davalillo Auto 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st CPA-DDAPASS
  • $12.782026 1st Bowman David Davalillo Chrome Auto #CPA-DDA RangersPASS
  • $13.362026 Topps Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor David Davalillo AutoPASS
  • $16.002026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman David Davalillo Prospect Auto #CPA-DDA RangersPASS
  • $16.242026 Bowman Chrome David Davalillo 1st Bowman Auto CPA-DDA RangersPASS
  • $16.31David Davalillo 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-DDA RangersPASS
  • $17.002026 Bowman Chrome David Davalillo 1st Bowman On Card Auto Texas Rangers CPA-DDAPASS
  • $19.272026 Bowman David Davalillo 1st Chrome Prospect Auto RangersPASS
  • $21.502026 Bowman Chrome 1st David Davalillo AutoPASS
  • 2026 Bowman David Davalillo 1st Bowman Superfracter Auto 1/1PASS
  • Topps 2026 Bowman Chrome David Davalillo 1st Bowman Auto Rangers #CPA-DDAPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Prospect Auto #CPA-DDA David Davalillo RangersPASS
  • 2026 Bowman David Davalillo Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Bowman #CPA-DDA RangersPASS
  • Topps 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman David Davalillo Rangers Auto RC CPA-DDAPASS
  • Topps Bowman Chrome 2026 1st Bowman David Davalillo ON CARD AUTO Rangers CPA-DDAPASS
  • Topps Bowman Chrome 2026 David Davalillo #CPA-DDA Prospect Auto 1st TexasPASS
  • Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome David Davalillo Rangers 1st Bowman Auto CPA-DDAPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome David Davalillo 1st Bowman On Card Auto CPA-DDA Texas RangersPASS
  • DAVID DAVALILLO 2026 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST ROOKIE AUTO #CPA-DDA RANGERS Q7313PASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman David Davalillo Prospect Auto #CPA-DDA RangersPASS
  • 2026 1st Bowman Chrome David Davalillo Base Auto Texas RangersPASS
  • Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Rookie Auto David Davalillo #CPA-DDA RangersPASS
  • 2026 Bowman David Davalillo Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-DDAPASS
  • 2026 Bowman David Davalillo Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-DDA RangersPASS
  • DAVID DAVALILLO 2026 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST ROOKIE AUTO #CPA-DDA RANGERS Q4450PASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome David Davalillo 1st Bowman On Card Auto 🔥 RangersPASS
  • 2026 Bowman David Davalillo Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-DDA RangersPASS
  • Bowman 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman David Davalillo Prospect Auto #CPA-DDAPASS
  • Bowman 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman David Davalillo Prospect Auto #CPA-DDAPASS
  • Bowman 2026 Chrome David Davalillo 1st Bowman Auto CPA-DDA RangersPASS
  • Bowman 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman David Davalillo Prospect Auto #CPA-DDAPASS
  • Bowman 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman David Davalillo Prospect Auto #CPA-DDAPASS
  • DAVID DAVALILLO 2026 BOWMAN #CPA-DDA CHROME AUTO 1ST PROSPECT RANGERSPASS
What this page is missing2 things we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
  • We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.

Worth reading for this player