
Darison Garcia
SS · Rookie · 19.0y · #3831 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
36 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
68 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is DARISON GARCIA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Darison Garcia scores 36 out of 100 (#3831 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: speed: plus-plus — 94 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 97% at his level.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $2–4 off 1 confirmed sale.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Power: well below
.049 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
OPS slipping
.697 last season to .599 this one.
Power slipping
.065 last season to .049 this one.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Speed: plus-plus
94 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 97% at his level.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DG — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 36 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$2.25–3.75midpoint $3.00
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-23 · 38 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DG
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 36 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Reptilian Refractor Darison Garcia Auto 1m63 at $28.82, 861% over the $3 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $3 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
68 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 68 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 62 are under "The whole live market".
DARISON GARCIA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH AUTO psa 10
base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 179d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
—
modeled ~$85.25
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia #CPA-DG 1st True Gold Auto /50
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 14d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$38.16
modeled $3.24–12.60
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia Auto Gold Refractor 1st Prospect #32/50 Royals
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 179d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$256.85
modeled $3.24–12.60
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia Auto Green Lava Refractor /99 1st Prospect
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.94
modeled $2.43–9.45
LOTTERY
2025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia - 1st Chrome Prospect Auto - MOJO 098/150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 325d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$13.90
modeled $2.03–7.87
LOTTERY
2025 1st Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia Blue ReptillianRefractor Auto /150 Royals
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 28d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$15.17
modeled $2.03–7.87
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder14 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.32 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Blue Reptilian RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $28.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $28.82 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +442%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.98 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -62%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.27, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.27 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -7%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.98 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +56%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.97, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.97 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -13%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.54, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.54 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +11%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue RayWave /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.44, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.44 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +6%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue RayWave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -3%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.17 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -5%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mojo /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.90 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -8%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Lava Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.94 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -14%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $256.85, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $256.85 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +2051%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Gold /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $38.16, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $38.16 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -85%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 1087 hitters at Rookie
What he is good at
skills overall 54 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1087 hitters at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
43
below average · better than 25% at his level
27.9% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
41
well below · better than 18% at his level
.049 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
61
plus · better than 87% at his level
22.3% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
69
plus-plus · better than 97% at his level
94 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
41
well below · better than 18% at his level · the result, not a skill
.599 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
51
average · better than 54% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 57th percentile of the cohort, production at the 18th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 97% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 57 and his production sits at 18, a gap of +39. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,087 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 97th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 3.7 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 82% of what it wants to know — missing readiness.
How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1087 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
197
AVG
.172
OBP
.378
SLG
.221
OPS
.599
better than 18%
HR
1
SB
31
BB%
22.3
K%
27.9
Is this player getting better?
Down from .697 to .599 OPS this season.
Still at Rookie, the same level as last season.
OPS
.697▼.599
Power
.065▼.049
Walks
18.5%▲22.3%
Strikeouts
21.8%▲27.9%
Last season, 216 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market68 listed · 68 eBay-verified · 62 not shown above
- Listings
- 68
- Lowest seen
- $5.32
- Median ask
- $13.39
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $5.32
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $10.27
68 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 62 cards
- $15.98Darison Garcia 2025 Bowman Chrome Blue RayWave Refractor 1st Prospect Auto /150LOTTERY
- $16.442025 Bowman Chrome 1st Blue Raywave Darison Garcia Auto /150 Kansas City RoyalsLOTTERY
- $151.25Darison Garcia 2025 Bowman Chrome Blue Refractor Auto /150 1st RoyalsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Darison Garcia Blue Raywave /150 PASS
- $15.542025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia Auto Purple Refractor 1st Prospect #d/250LOTTERY
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 Royals CardPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia Auto Purple Refractor 1st Prospect #148/250PASS
- $13.97Darison Garcia 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Auto /250 Royals CardLOTTERY
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia 1st Bowman Purple Auto /250 RoyalsPASS
- —DARISON GARCIA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH PURPLE AUTO /250 PASS
- $15.982025 Bowman Chrome 1st Darison Garcia Speckle Auto /299LOTTERY
- —DARISON GARCIA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH SPECKLE AUTO /299PASS
- —DARISON GARCIA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH SPECKLE AUTO /299 Q0223PASS
- —2025 BOWMAN CHROME - DARISON GARCIA 💎 1ST SPECKLE AUTO /299 #CPA-DG KC ROYALSPASS
- $10.272025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia 1st Refractor Auto /499 Royals #CPA-DGLOTTERY
- $10.982025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DG Darison Garcia 1st Prospect Auto /499 KC RoyalsLOTTERY
- $12.992025 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Refractor Darison Garcia Auto /499 RoyalsLOTTERY
- $13.982025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DG Darison Garcia 1st Refractor Auto /499 KC RoyalsLOTTERY
- —2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DG Darison Garcia 1st Refractor Auto /499 KC RoyalsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia 1st Bowman Silver Refractor Auto /499 CPA-DGPASS
- $5.32Darison Garcia 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-DG RoyalsLOTTERY
- $5.36DARISON GARCIA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST ROOKIE AUTO #CPA-DG ROYALS Q4871LOTTERY
- $5.502025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-DG RoyalsLOTTERY
- $5.802025 Bowman Chrome- 1st Bowman- Rookie Auto- Darison Garcia #CPA-DGLOTTERY
- $5.992025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-DG RoyalsLOTTERY
- $6.242025 Bowman Chrome DARISON GARCIA 1st RC On Card AUTO RoyalsLOTTERY
- $6.45Darison Garcia 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-DG RoyalsLOTTERY
- $7.00Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia Royals CPA-DG 1st Bowman Hard AutoLOTTERY
- $7.002025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia 1st Chrome Auto RoyalsLOTTERY
- $7.942025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia 1st Prospect Auto Royals LOTTERY
- $8.802025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia 1st Bowman Auto Kansas City Royals #CPA-DGLOTTERY
- $11.492025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia #CPA-DG 1st Bowman Auto RoyalsLOTTERY
- $11.642025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DG Darison Garcia 1st Prospect Auto KC RoyalsLOTTERY
- $11.782025 Bowman Chrome DARISON GARCIA Kansas City Royals Rookie Prospect 1st AutoLOTTERY
- $12.222025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect - Darison Garcia Auto Kansas City Royals #CPA-DGLOTTERY
- $13.392025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Autographs Darison Garcia Auto Kansas CityLOTTERY
- $14.702025 Bowman Chrome DARISON GARCIA Prospect 1ST AUTO Autograph RC Rookie RoyalsLOTTERY
- $14.94DARISON GARCIA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH AUTOLOTTERY
- $15.00Darison Garcia 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie Card RC AUTO #CPA-DG KC RoyalsLOTTERY
- $15.502025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia 1st Bowman Auto KC RoyalsLOTTERY
- $16.152025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DG Darison Garcia - Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect AutoLOTTERY
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia 1st Prospect Auto KC Royals Signed #CPA-DGPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia 1st Auto #CPA-DG Royals (A7)PASS
- —Topps 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Darison Garcia #CPA-DG RoyalsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome - Darison Garcia 1st Auto - KC Royals Autograph On CardPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia 1st Prospect Auto Royals PASS
- —Darison Garcia 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Royals CPA-DGPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DG Darison Garcia 1st Auto Kansas City Royals ProspectPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia #CPA-DG 1st Bowman Auto PASS
- —Darison Garcia 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Prospect Auto #CPA-DGPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-DG Royals A0176PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia 1st AutoPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-DG Darison Garcia Kansas City RoyalsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Darison Garcia #CPA-DG RoyalsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia 1st Bowman Auto Kansas City Royals #CPA-DG JK1PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Darison Garcia 1st Bowman Auto KC RoyalsPASS
- —Darison Garcia 2025 1st Bowman Auto True Orange /25 Au Rc Royals (CPA-DG)PASS
- —DARISON GARCIA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASE AUTOGRAPH ROYALS AUTOPASS
- $26.172025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue RayWave Refractor /150 Darison Garcia Auto 19n6PASS
- $28.242025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor /150 Darison Garcia #CPA-DG Auto pe8PASS
- —Darison Garcia Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-DG Royals MLBPASS
- $28.822025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Reptilian Refractor Darison Garcia Auto 1m63PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run