Deal Sniper

Brayan Cortesia

SS · Rookie · 18.0y · #3765 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

37 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Expensive

His best /499 asks $7.99, over the $6.49–6.99 that card has sold in.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Brayan Cortesia 2025 Bowman 1st Chrome… at $7.99. Player not there yet.

Our take

Fringe prospect, expensive market.

Brayan Cortesia scores 37 out of 100 (#3765 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Rookie — younger than 80% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $4–5 off 2 confirmed sales.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Rookie — younger than 80% of the players there.

  • Power: well below

    .014 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • OPS slipping

    .798 last season to .638 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .041 last season to .014 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Speed: plus

    68 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 91% at his level.

Why now

  • 4 new copies listed this week

    Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

  • Asks above the sold band

    Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-BC — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 33 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$3.60–4.68midpoint $4.00

Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 35 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-BC

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 33 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia 1st Bowman Rookie RC Auto #CPA-BC Nationals at $20.17, 404% over the $4–4.25 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $4 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Needs a $3 drop
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

58 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 57 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 51 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Brayan Cortesia #CPA-BC PSA 9 MINT Auto 03j5

    base · PSA 9 · listed 23d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $30.54

    modeled ~$25.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia Auto Blue Refractor /150 PSA 9 Nationals

    /150 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 151d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $41.00

    modeled ~$149.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia 1st Auto Reptilian Blue Refractor /150 PSA 9

    /150 · PSA 9 · listed 120d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia Auto 1st Prospect Nationals CB8

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d

    Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 90h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $4–4.25

    PASS

  • BRAYAN CORTESIA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH NATIONALS C AUTO

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 28d

    Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $4–4.25

    PASS · 0% under

  • Brayan Cortesia 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Black Reptilian Refractor Auto /10

    /10 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 47d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $306.74

    modeled $6.48–19.64

    PASS

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder13 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +23%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +38%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $14.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +30%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $19.40, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +36%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $22.72, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +17%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sapphire /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $14.27, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -37%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue RayWave /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +16%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $63.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +284%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Lava Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $39.97, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -37%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $63.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    75 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +58%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $51.81, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -18%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Black Reptilian Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $306.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    10 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +492%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 47 on the 20–80 scale, against 1087 hitters at Rookie

What he is good at

skills overall 47 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1087 hitters at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    42

    below average · better than 20% at his level

    29.5% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    35

    well below · better than 7% at his level

    .014 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    48

    average · better than 43% at his level

    14.8% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    63

    plus · better than 91% at his level

    68 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    43

    below average · better than 25% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .638 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    58

    plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 40th percentile of the cohort, production at the 25th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 40 and his production sits at 25, a gap of +15. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,087 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 73th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.3 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 82% of what it wants to know — missing readiness.

How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1087 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

176

AVG

.243

OBP

.381

SLG

.257

OPS

.638

better than 25%

HR

0

SB

20

BB%

14.8

K%

29.5

Is this player getting better?

Down from .798 to .638 OPS this season.

Still at Rookie, the same level as last season.

OPS

.798.638

Power

.041.014

Walks

16.7%14.8%

Strikeouts

16.7%29.5%

Last season, 150 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market58 listed · 58 eBay-verified · 51 not shown above
Listings
58

58 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$6.48
Median ask
$14.43
Cheapest 1st auto
$6.48
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$7.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 51 cards

  • Bowman 2025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia Nationals Auto CPA-BC PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia 1st Bowman Auto Green 69/99 BMA-BCPASS
  • $16.49BRAYAN CORTESIA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BLUE RAYWAVE NATIONALS AUTO /150LOTTERY
  • $7.99Brayan Cortesia 2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect AUTO #CPA-BC Refractor /499 NatsLOTTERY
  • $14.27BRAYAN CORTESIA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST SAPPHIRE AUTOGRAPH AUTO /199 Q4060LOTTERY
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Brayan Cortesia Auto Purple Refractor 1st #/199PASS
  • $14.252025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia 1st Auto /250 Washington NationalsLOTTERY
  • $10.992025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia 1st Bowman Auto Speckle /299 NationalsLOTTERY
  • $19.402025 1st Bowman Chrome #CPA-BC Brayan Cortesia Auto Purple /250 Nationals RcLOTTERY
  • $39.972025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Green Lava Refractor 31/99 Brayan Cortesia Auto 19n6PASS
  • $51.812025 Bowman Chrome Gold Shimmer Refractor 42/50 Brayan Cortesia Auto 0j0oPASS
  • $63.322025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Yellow Refractor 13/75 Brayan Cortesia Auto 1r25PASS
  • $63.322025 Bowman Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor /150 Brayan Cortesia Auto 1ek2PASS
  • $22.722025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 229/250 Brayan Cortesia Auto 19n6LOTTERY
  • $6.48Brayan Cortesia 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-BC NationalsPASS
  • $6.992025 BOWMAN CHROME BRAYAN CORTESIA #CPA-BC 1ST PROSPECT AUTO AUTOGRAPH NATIONALSPASS
  • $9.31BRAYAN CORTESIA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH B AUTO Q4060PASS
  • $9.972025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Brayan Cortesia CPA BC NationalsPASS
  • $10.782025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-BC NationalsPASS
  • $10.982025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia Auto 1st Bowman RC Rookie #CBB-106PASS
  • $11.002025 Bowman Chrome 1st Brayan Cortesia Auto Washington Nationals #CPA-BCPASS
  • $11.992025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia 1st Auto #CPA-BCPASS
  • $12.222025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect - Brayan Cortesia Auto Washington NationalsPASS
  • $12.222025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect - Brayan Cortesia Auto WashingtonPASS
  • $12.35Brayan Cortesia 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-BC Refractor Auto /499PASS
  • $14.432025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 24/499 Brayan Cortesia #CPA-BC Auto 0eo6PASS
  • $14.732025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 44/499 Brayan Cortesia #CPA-BC Auto 0z95PASS
  • $15.502025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia Rookie Auto 1st RC #CPA-BC NationalsPASS
  • $16.89🔥⚾️2025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-BC Nationals🔥🏟PASS
  • $19.00BRAYAN CORTESIA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASE AUTOGRAPH NATIONALS AUTOPASS
  • $20.172025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia 1st Bowman Rookie RC Auto #CPA-BC NationalsPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-BC NationalsPASS
  • Brayan Cortesia 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-BCPASS
  • Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia 1st Bowman Auto CPA-BC NationalsPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs Brayan Cortesia #CPA-BC 1st Bowman AutoPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia On Card Auto Base 1st Bowman NationalsPASS
  • ⚾️ Brayan Cortesia 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-BC - Washington NationalsPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia #CPA-BC 1st Bowman Auto PASS
  • Brayan Cortesia 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect #CPA-BC RC AUTO Nationals PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-BCPASS
  • 2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Brayan Cortesia Auto #CPA-BC Washington NationalsPASS
  • Brayan Cortesia 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-BC NationalsPASS
  • Brayan Cortesia 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-BCPASS
  • BRAYAN CORTESIA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH #CPA-BC NATIONALS AUTOPASS
  • 2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Brayan Cortesia Base Auto #CPA-BC Washington NationalsPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-BC NationalsPASS
  • 2025 BOWMAN CHROME BRAYAN CORTESIA 1ST BOWMAN AUTOPASS
  • Brayan Cortesia 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-BC Auto 1st RCPASS
  • Brayan Cortesia 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-BC Auto 1st Bowman Washington NationalsPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Brayan Cortesia 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-BCPASS
  • Brayan Cortesia 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st Bowman NationalsPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player