Luis Baez
CF · Corpus Christi Hooks · Double-A · 22.0y · #3729 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
38 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
40 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Luis Baez Auto 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Luis Baez scores 38 out of 100 (#3729 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.
Power: well below
.042 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
Little power for his level (12th percentile); CF is a position the hobby pays up for.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-LB — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 11 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 12 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-LB
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 11 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
40 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 40 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 34 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman #CPA-LB Luis Baez 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Astros
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$5.98
modeled ~$9.99
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st #CPA-LB Luis Baez Auto Rookie RC Astros SP
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 130d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.99
modeled ~$9.99
PASS
Luis Baez 2024 Bowman 1st Base Chrome Prospect Auto Houston Astros CPA-LB
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 137d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$10.00
modeled ~$9.99
PASS
2024 1st Bowman Chrome #CPA-LB Luis Baez Auto
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 115d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$10.78
modeled ~$9.99
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome Mega Refractor Auto Luis Baez NOT A 1ST Astros
Refractor · raw · condition not stated · listed 215d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$10.97
modeled ~$9.99
PASS
2024 1st Bowman #CPA-LB Luis Baez Chrome Prospect Auto Refractor /499
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 78d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.50
modeled ~$13.99
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.98 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.97, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.97 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +83%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.50 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +5%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $40.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $40.32 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +251%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $43.77, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $43.77 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +9%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $285.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $285.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +553%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
16 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 44 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 44 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
52
average · better than 58% at his level
24.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
38
well below · better than 12% at his level
.042 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
40
well below · better than 15% at his level
5.8% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
47
average · better than 39% at his level
12 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
35
well below · better than 7% at his level · the result, not a skill
.440 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
63
plus · better than 91% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 31th percentile of the cohort, production at the 7th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 86% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 31 and his production sits at 7, a gap of +24. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 86th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.0 / 10
- already at Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
104
AVG
.177
OBP
.221
SLG
.219
OPS
.440
better than 7%
HR
0
SB
2
BB%
5.8
K%
24.0
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market40 listed · 40 eBay-verified · 34 not shown above
- Listings
- 40
- Lowest live
- $5.98
- Median ask
- $29.10
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $5.98
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $11.50
40 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.
The other 34 cards
- $12.972024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Luis Baez PASS
- $13.99LUIS BAEZ 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-LBPASS
- $13.99LUIS BAEZ 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-LBPASS
- $15.00Luis Baez - 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor (RC) Auto🔥Astros🔥/499PASS
- $16.982024 Bowman Chrome Luis Baez 1st Auto #CPA-LB PSA 9PASS
- $19.622024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Luis Baez #CPA-LB Auto 0a98PASS
- $24.992024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Luis Baez Choice Refractor Auto /150 PSA 9 MintPASS
- $29.102024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Luis Baez #CPA-LB SGC 9 MINT Auto b4dPASS
- $29.94LUIS BAEZ 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto PSA 10 GEM MT + Bowmans Best AutoPASS
- $29.94LUIS BAEZ 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto SGC 10 GEM MT 10 + 2 Chrome BonusPASS
- $30.00Luis Baez 2024 Bowman 1st Base Chrome Auto Houston Astors CPA-LB PSA 10PASS
- $35.142024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Luis Baez #CPA-LB PSA 9 MINT Auto 0p92PASS
- $36.232024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Luis Baez #CPA-LB PSA 9 MINT Auto n5hPASS
- $36.242024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Luis Baez #CPA-LB PSA 9 MINT Auto 14lcPASS
- $40.322024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor 13/299 Luis Baez #CPA-LB Auto 0rd2PASS
- $42.042024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Luis Baez #CPA-LB PSA 10 GEM MT Auto lh0PASS
- $43.772024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Mega Box Purple Refractor 46/199 Luis Baez Auto 10noPASS
- $70.222024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor 37/299 Luis Baez #CPA-LB Auto 1f5hPASS
- $285.99Luis Baez 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-LB Blue Auto 054/150 Rookie RC 1stPASS
- $299.99LUIS BAEZ AUTO 1st 2024 Bowman Chrome Autograph REFRACTOR/499 ASTROS ROOKIE RCPASS
- $356.74Luis Baez 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Pearl Refractor Auto /10 #CPA-LB PSA 10PASS
- —Luis Baez Auto 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Bowman Houston Astros PSA 9PASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Luis Baez Auto Refractor 1st Prospect #/499 AstrosPASS
- —Topps 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Luis Baez Auto Astros CPA-LBPASS
- —Topps 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs Luis Baez 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-LBPASS
- —2024 1st Bowman - Chrome Prospects Auto - CPA-LB Luis Baez Signed Houston AstrosPASS
- —2024 Bowman Luis Baez Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-LB Astros (RC, AU)PASS
- —Luis Baez 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto #CPA-LB AstrosPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Luis Baez 1st Auto Purple Refractor /250 PSA 9 MINTPASS
- —Topps 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Luis Baez CPA-LB Astros SGC 10/10 6110587PASS
- —LUIS BAEZ 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st On-Card Auto Refractor #/499 PSA 9 MINT ASTROSPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Luis Baez Speckle Refractor Rookie Auto /299 Astros PSA 9PASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Luis Baez 1st Auto True Yellow Refractor /75 Astros ProspectPASS
- —2024 Bowman Luis Baez 1st PURPLE REFRACTOR AUTO #/250 HOUSTON ASTROS RELEASE DAYPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run