Deal Sniper

Kale Fountain

3B · Lake Elsinore Storm · Low-A · 21.0y · #3693 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

38 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

28 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome Kale Fountain Auto &…. Player not there yet.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Kale Fountain scores 38 out of 100 (#3693 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: speed: plus — 38 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 78% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 63 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Plate discipline: below average

    9.5% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Speed: plus

    38 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 78% at his level.

  • Premium position

    3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Power: above average

    .145 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 65% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    3B is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

  • Listed at your price — $7.45

    target is $11.12

  • Listed at your price — $10.48

    target is $10.77

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    63 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-KFO — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 14 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 15 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-KFO

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 14 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 33/499 Kale Fountain #CPA-KFO Auto pe8 at $50.67, 361% over the $10.99–15.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/499 at or under $10.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Evidence still thin
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

28 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 28 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 22 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Kale Fountain Auto & 1st purple Prospect /250 Padres

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 64d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $12.42–24.92

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Topps Bowman Chrome 2025 Kale Fountain Padres 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-KFO

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 11d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $7.45

    modeled $9.56–19.17

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • Kale Fountain 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Prospect Autographs Padres

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 93d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.99

    modeled $9.56–19.17

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • Kale Fountain 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-KFO Padres

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 108d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $10.48

    modeled $9.56–19.17

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects Kale Fountain 1st Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $9.56–19.17

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Kale Fountain Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-KFO Padres

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 35d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $9.56–19.17

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.45, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $7.45 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $50.67, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $50.67 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +580%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sparkle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $35.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $35.99 live
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -29%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $95.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $95.17 live
    Scarcity
    100 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +164%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A

What he is good at

skills overall 52 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    48

    average · better than 43% at his level

    27.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    54

    above average · better than 65% at his level

    .145 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    46

    below average · better than 34% at his level

    9.5% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    58

    plus · better than 78% at his level

    38 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .613 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    54

    above average · better than 66% at his level · context, not a skill

    0.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 55th percentile of the cohort, production at the 30th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 89% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 55 and his production sits at 30, a gap of +25. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 89th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.4 / 10

  • old for Low-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

63

AVG

.182

OBP

.286

SLG

.327

OPS

.613

better than 30%

HR

2

SB

4

BB%

9.5

K%

27.0

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market28 listed · 28 eBay-verified · 22 not shown above
Listings
28

28 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$7.45
Median ask
$12.91
Cheapest 1st auto
$7.45
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$35.99

Latest eBay verification: 8 hours ago.

The other 22 cards

  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Kale Fountain #CPA-KFO 1st Bowman Auto PadresPASS
  • $11.75KALE FOUNTAIN 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-KFO AUTO 1ST PROSPECT PADRESLOTTERY
  • $190.942025 Bowman Chrome Gold Shimmer Refractor 40/50 Kale Fountain PSA 9 Auto 0n64NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $19999.992025 Bowman Chrome Kale Fountain Superfractor 1/1 Auto Autograph PSA 9 PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $11.972025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Kale Fountain CPA-KFO PadresLOTTERY
  • $11.992025 Bowman Chrome 1st Kale Fountain Auto #CPAKFOLOTTERY
  • $12.222025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect - Kale Fountain Auto San Diego Padres #CPA-KFOLOTTERY
  • $12.882025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect Autographs Kale Fountain Bowman 1st AutoLOTTERY
  • $12.942025 Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-KFO KALE FOUNTAIN 1st Prospect PadresLOTTERY
  • $12.992025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Kale Fountain #CPA-KFO 1st Bowman Auto PadresLOTTERY
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Kale Fountain 1st Gold Shimmer Auto 10/50 ⚾️ Padres PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Kale Fountain #CPA-KFO 1st Bowman Auto Gold /50 PASS
  • $14.99KALE FOUNTAIN 2025 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AUTOGRAPH PADRES AUTOLOTTERY
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect 1st Auto Kale Fountain #CPA-KFO (AU, RC)PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect 1st Auto Kale Fountain #CPA-KFO (AU, RC)PASS
  • $35.99Kale Fountain 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Sparkle Speckle /299 Padres PASS
  • $50.672025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 33/499 Kale Fountain #CPA-KFO Auto pe8PASS
  • $95.172025 Bowman Chrome Kale Fountain 1st Bowman Auto /100 Padres CPA-KFOPASS
  • —Kale Fountain / Padres / Topps Bowman Chrome 2025 / 1st Auto /99 / CPA-KFOPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Kale Fountain #CPA-KFO 1st Bowman True Purple Auto /250 (AU)PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Kale Fountain #CPA-KFO 1st Bowman Auto Mini Diamond /100PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Kale Fountain #CPA-KFO 1st Bowman Auto True Green /99PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now