Deal Sniper

Maikol Orozco

SS · Rookie · 20.0y · #3523 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

39 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

40 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-MO Maikol Orozco… at $13.41. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Maikol Orozco scores 39 out of 100 (#3523 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: premium position — SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Plate discipline: well below

    9.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Power slipping

    .151 last season to .103 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SS is a position the hobby pays up for.

  • OPS improving

    .733 last season to .813 this one.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-MO — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 15 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 16 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-MO

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 15 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /499 at $4.98 costs 1.25× base, and print run alone suggests 1.15×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

40 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 40 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 34 are under "The whole live market".

  • Maikol Orozco 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-MO Tigers

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 86d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $3.98

    modeled ~$8.89

    LOTTERY

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Maikol Orozco Prospect 1st Auto REF /499 Tigers

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 19d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.98

    modeled ~$12.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Maikol Orozco Auto 1st Bowman #CPA-MO Detroit Tigers ⚾️

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 82d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.00

    modeled ~$8.89

    LOTTERY

  • Maikol Orozco 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Rookie Auto Detroit Tigers RC

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 435d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.00

    modeled ~$8.89

    LOTTERY

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Maikol Orozco Auto 1st Bowman #CPA-MO Detroit Tigers ⚾️

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 80d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $7.00

    modeled ~$8.89

    LOTTERY

  • Maikol Orozco Auto Rookie 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st #CPA-MO Card

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 448d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $7.00

    modeled ~$8.89

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder10 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $3.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.21, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +81%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -31%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.86, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +138%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $12.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +1%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $9.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -17%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $14.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +50%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -11%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $22.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +66%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -27%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 43 on the 20–80 scale, against 1087 hitters at Rookie

What he is good at

skills overall 43 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1087 hitters at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    46

    below average · better than 34% at his level

    25.1% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    49

    average · better than 48% at his level

    .103 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    38

    well below · better than 12% at his level

    9.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    40

    well below · better than 15% at his level

    4 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    55

    above average · better than 68% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .813 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    46

    below average · better than 34% at his level · context, not a skill

    -1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 27th percentile of the cohort, production at the 68th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 97% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 27 and his production sits at 68, a gap of -41. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,087 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 3th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.3 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 82% of what it wants to know — missing readiness.

How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1087 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

167

AVG

.315

OBP

.395

SLG

.418

OPS

.813

better than 68%

HR

2

SB

1

BB%

9.0

K%

25.1

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season — .733 up to .813 OPS.

Still at Rookie, the same level as last season.

OPS

.733.813

Power

.151.103

Walks

12.9%9.0%

Strikeouts

28.0%25.1%

Last season, 132 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market40 listed · 40 eBay-verified · 34 not shown above
Listings
40

40 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$3.98
Median ask
$11.93
Cheapest 1st auto
$3.98
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$4.98

Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.

The other 34 cards

  • $7.212024 BOWMAN MAIKOL OROZCO 1ST CHROME PROSPECT ON CARD REFRACTOR AUTO 6ALOTTERY
  • $8.312024 Bowman Chrome MAIKOL OROZCO 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Detroit LionsLOTTERY
  • $9.602024 Maikol Orozco Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-MO (J671) $7 MAX SHIPLOTTERY
  • $9.982024 Bowman Chrome Maikol Orozco Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-MO TigersLOTTERY
  • $9.992024 Bowman Chrome Maikol Orozco Prospect Autos 1st Speckle Refractor Auto /299LOTTERY
  • $10.982024 Bowman Chrome Baseball 1st Auto On Card Detroit Tigers - MAIKOL OROZCOLOTTERY
  • $11.322024 Bowman Chrome 1st Maikol Orozco Auto Detroit Tigers #CPA-MOLOTTERY
  • $12.002024 Bowman Chrome Maikol Orozco Auto Speckle 269/299 1st Bowman Tigers LOTTERY
  • $13.242024 Bowman Chrome MAIKOL OROZCO 1st RC Purple Refractor AUTO 39/250LOTTERY
  • $13.412024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-MO Maikol Orozco 1st Auto Purple Refractors #/250⚾LOTTERY
  • $14.942024 Bowman Chrome Maikol Orozco Prospect 1st Auto 1st Purple /250LOTTERY
  • $15.982024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs Refractor Mojo Maikol Orozco Auto 049/150LOTTERY
  • $16.282024 Bowman Chrome MAIKOL OROZCO PROSPECT AUTO 1ST #CPA-MOLOTTERY
  • $16.972024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Maikol Orozco #CPA-MO Auto 3grLOTTERY
  • $22.002024 Bowman Chrome Maikol Orozco Auto Blue Refractor 17/150 1st Prospect TigersLOTTERY
  • $24.272024 Bowman Chrome MAIKOL OROZCO Speckle Refractor 1st /299 AUTO PSA 9LOTTERY
  • $24.992024 Bowman Chrome Maikol Orozco 1st Prospect Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-MO TigersLOTTERY
  • $30.952024 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT MAIKOL OROZCO AUTO PSA 10 TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $31.902024 Bowman Chrome Maikol Orozco Refractor Auto /499 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Topps 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Maikol Orozco Rookie Auto CPA-MO TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Maikol Orozco 1st Auto (RC) #CPA-MO Detroit TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Maikol Orozco Auto Rookie 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st #CPA-MO Detroit TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Maikol Orozco 1st Prospect Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-MO TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Maikol Orozco Auto Purple Refractor 1st #/250 TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Maikol Orozco Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-MONEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Maikol Orozco Bowman Chrome Blue Refractor Auto /150 1st #CPA-MONEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Maikol Orozco Auto Purple Refractor 1st #/250 TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Maikol Orozco HTA Choice Refractor Auto/150 TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Maikol Orozco Chrome 1st Auto RC #CPA-MO TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Maikol Orozco Refractor Auto Rookie RC /499 TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Maikol Orozco 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-MO Blue Refractor Auto /150 PSA 10 1st RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $11.862024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 149/499 Maikol Orozco #CPA-MO Auto x2oLOTTERY
  • $12.432024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 329/499 Maikol Orozco #CPA-MO Auto 11s9LOTTERY
  • $304.002024 Bowman Purple Refractor Auto 1st /250 Maikol Orozco!🔥 HOT! Tigers OffersNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player