Deal Sniper

Henry Baez

SP · Midland RockHounds · Double-A · 23.0y · #3523 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

39 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

66 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome Henry Baez Auto…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Henry Baez scores 39 out of 100 (#3523 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $1–2 off 1 confirmed sale.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SP sells at a discount at equal production.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • No professional sample

    We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-HBA — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 27 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$1.49–2.49midpoint $1.99

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-22 · 31 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-HBA

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 27 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Chrome Black & White Shimmer Red Ink Auto SSP - Henry Baez 1st at $332, 16583% over the $1.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $1.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

66 cards of his are listed, 2 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 64 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 58 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Henry Baez Auto Refractor 1st Prospect #/499 Padres PSA 9

    /499 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 61d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Henry Baez 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Peanuts Auto /5 San Diego Padres / Athletics

    /5 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 17d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 58h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $2.69–10.45

    PASS

  • 2025 Topps Bowman Chrome Henry Baez RC Black Refractor Auto /10 1st Bowman RARE!

    /10 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 14d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    modeled $2.69–10.45

    PASS

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Henry Baez 1st True Gold Auto /50 #CPA-HBA

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 14d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $2.15–8.36

    PASS

  • Henry Baez /99 True Green Auto 2025 Bowman 1st Chrome San Diego Padres

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 54d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $1.61–6.27

    PASS

  • Henry Baez 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO CHOICE REFRACTOR 112/150 Padres z22

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 2d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    $8.42

    modeled $1.34–5.22

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder9 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Red ShimmerTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $332.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +6567%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.42, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -98%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +165%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $19.62, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +16%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue RayWave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $14.43, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -27%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Reptilian Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -3%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $8.42, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -40%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.27, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +93%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet

What he is good at

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    not measured for him yet

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    not measured for him yet

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    not measured for him yet

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    not measured for him yet

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    not measured for him yet

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    58

    plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.1 / 10

  • already at Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingno season line on file

We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market66 listed · 66 eBay-verified · 58 not shown above
Listings
66

66 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$4.98
Median ask
$9.41
Cheapest 1st auto
$4.98
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$6.42

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 58 cards

  • $8.42Henry Baez 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO CHOICE REFRACTOR 97/150 CPA-HBA RC z44LOTTERY
  • $9.41Henry Baez 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO CHOICE REFRACTOR 97/150 CPA-HBA RC z44LOTTERY
  • $9.41Henry Baez 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO CHOICE REFRACTOR 112/150 Padres z22LOTTERY
  • $13.98Henry Baez 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Blue Reptilian Refractor AUTO /150 PADRESLOTTERY
  • $16.272025 Bowman Chrome Henry Baez True Blue Refractor Auto /150 bowman 1stLOTTERY
  • 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST #CPA-HBA HENRY BAEZ AUTOGRAPH BLUE RAYWAVE AUTO /150PASS
  • $16.982025 Bowman Chrome Henry Baez #CPA-HBA 1st Auto #/250 San Diego PadresLOTTERY
  • 🔥 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Henry Baez Auto Purple Refr/ 250 🔥 Padres Prospect!PASS
  • HENRY BAEZ 2025 1ST BOWMAN CHROME ON CARD AUTO #56/250PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Henry Baez #CPA-HBA 1st Bowman Auto /250PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Henry Baez 1st Bowman Speckle Auto /299 Padres CPA-HBAPASS
  • HENRY BAEZ 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST SPECKLE REFRACTOR AUTO /299 Q1824PASS
  • HENRY BAEZ 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST SPECKLE REFRACTOR AUTO /299 Read Desc. B1PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Henry Baez Auto Speckle Refractor 1st Prospect Auto #/299PASS
  • $6.42Henry Baez 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect REFRACTOR 332/499 RC z29LOTTERY
  • $6.42Henry Baez 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO REFRACTOR 003/499 Padres RC CPA-HBA z37LOTTERY
  • $7.41Henry Baez 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO REFRACTOR 003/499 Padres RC CPA-HBA z37LOTTERY
  • $7.41Henry Baez 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect REFRACTOR 332/499 RC z29LOTTERY
  • $13.842025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect - Refractor Henry Baez Auto 040/499 PadresLOTTERY
  • $13.952025 Bowman Chrome - Henry Baez 1st Auto Refractor /499LOTTERY
  • $16.312025 Bowman Chrome Henry Baez 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-HBA PadresLOTTERY
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Henry Baez 1st Auto Refractor /499 CPA-HBA PadresPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Henry Baez 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-HBA PadresPASS
  • $4.982025 Bowman Chrome Henry Baez 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-HBA PadresLOTTERY
  • $5.49Henry Baez 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-HBA 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto PadresLOTTERY
  • $5.69Henry Baez 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-HBA 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto PadresLOTTERY
  • $6.24Henry Baez 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-HBA PadresLOTTERY
  • $6.92Henry Baez 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman AutoLOTTERY
  • $7.96Henry Baez 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st #CPA-HBA Auto San Diego PadresLOTTERY
  • $7.99Henry Baez 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Prospect Autographs PadresLOTTERY
  • $8.44HENRY BAEZ 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-HBALOTTERY
  • $8.492025 BOWMAN CHROME HENRY BAEZ CPA-HBA 1ST PROSPECT AUTO SAN DIEGO PADRESLOTTERY
  • $9.24HENRY BAEZ 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-HBALOTTERY
  • $10.75HENRY BAEZ 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-HBA AUTO 1ST PROSPECT PADRESLOTTERY
  • $11.24HENRY BAEZ 1st Bowman Auto 2025 Bowman Chrome Baseball CPA-HBALOTTERY
  • $13.492025 Bowman Chrome Henry Baez Auto #CPA-HBA 1st Prospect San Diego PadresLOTTERY
  • $13.69Henry Baez 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-HBA Base Auto 1st Rookie RC PadresLOTTERY
  • $20.242025 Bowman Chrome Henry Baez #CPA-HBA Auto 1ST Prospect PadresLOTTERY
  • $21.62HENRY BAEZ AUTO 2026 Bowman 1st Chrome #CPA-HBA San Diego PadresLOTTERY
  • HENRY BAEZ AUTO 2026 Bowman 1st Chrome #CPA-HBA San Diego PadresPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Henry Baez 1st Bowman Auto San Diego PadresPASS
  • HENRY BAEZ 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-HBAPASS
  • 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Henry Baez Auto #CPA-HBAPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Henry Baez Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-HBA PadresPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome HENRY BAEZ 1st Prospect AUTO Autograph PadresPASS
  • HENRY BAEZ 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-HBAPASS
  • HENRY BAEZ 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-HBAPASS
  • HENRY BAEZ 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-HBAPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Henry Baez 1st Bowman Auto San Diego PadresPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Henry Baez 1st Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto #CPA-HBAPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome - Henry Baez 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-HBA San Diego PadresPASS
  • $332.002025 Bowman Chrome Black & White Shimmer Red Ink Auto SSP - Henry Baez 1st PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs Henry Baez 1st Bowman Auto SD Padres MLBPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-HBA Henry Baez 1st Bowman AutoPASS
  • Henry Baez 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Padres Prospect AUTOGRAPH Raw RC N6PASS
  • $14.432025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue RayWave Refractor 56/150 Henry Baez Auto 06l3LOTTERY
  • $19.622025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Henry Baez #CPA-HBA Auto 14mdLOTTERY
  • $23.072025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Henry Baez #CPA-HBA Auto 1n3pLOTTERY
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
  • We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player