Deal Sniper

Oswaldo Cabrera

3B · Triple-A · 27.0y · #3469 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

40 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

10 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Oswaldo Cabrera scores 40 out of 100 (#3469 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: contact: above average — 19.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 70% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Plate discipline: below average

    8.4% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Contact: above average

    19.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 70% at his level.

  • Premium position

    3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    3B is a position the hobby pays up for; 27.0 is old for a prospect card.

  • Call-up is close

    Readiness 75/100 — the promotion is the single biggest price event in a prospect card.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

10 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 10 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 4 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospects Oswaldo Cabrera 1st Auto #CPAOC PSA 9 Yankees

    base · PSA 9 · listed 230d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $41.90

    modeled ~$35.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Oswaldo Cabrera AUTO PSA 10 GEM MINT

    base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 10d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $106.99

    modeled ~$124.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Sapphire OSWALDO CABRERA Orange AUTO Refractor BGS 9.5 RC

    Sapphire Refractor · BGS 9.5 · listed 711d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $360.00

    modeled ~$6.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • PSA 10 Auto 10 2022 Bowman Oswaldo Cabrera #CPA-OC 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

    base · PSA 10 · listed 4d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled ~$124.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospects Oswaldo Cabrera 1st Auto #CPAOC PSA 9 Yankees

    base · PSA 9 · listed 216d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled ~$35.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman 1st Chrome Speckle Refractor Oswaldo Cabrera AUTO 159/299 PSA 10!

    /299 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 710d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Oswaldo Cabrera, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $10.99–$23.09, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $21.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $21.99 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $26.52, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $26.52 live
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +21%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $255.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $255.49 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +863%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

7 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 50 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    55

    above average · better than 70% at his level

    19.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    52

    average · better than 58% at his level

    .164 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    44

    below average · better than 28% at his level

    8.4% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    49

    average · better than 47% at his level

    11 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    53

    above average · better than 63% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .803 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    48

    average · better than 44% at his level · context, not a skill

    -1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 51th percentile of the cohort, production at the 63th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 51 and his production sits at 63, a gap of -12. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 30th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.8 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

452

AVG

.292

OBP

.347

SLG

.456

OPS

.803

better than 63%

HR

17

SB

8

BB%

8.4

K%

19.0

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market10 listed · 10 eBay-verified · 4 not shown above
Listings
10

10 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$21.99
Median ask
$74.44
Cheapest 1st auto
$21.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$21.99

Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.

The other 4 cards

  • $255.49🔥 OSWALDO CABRERA 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st RC Auto Purple Refractor /250 GEM? 💎PASS
  • $21.992022 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto #029/499 Oswaldo Cabrera #CPA-OCPASS
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Oswaldo Cabrera 1st Rookie RC Non Auto Yankees #BCP-17NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $26.522022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor /299 Oswaldo Cabrera Auto oh8PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now