Deal Sniper

Ronald Hernandez

C · High-A · 22.0y · #3448 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

40 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

33 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2023 Topps Bowman Chrome Ronald Hernandez… at $15.23. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Ronald Hernandez scores 40 out of 100 (#3448 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Plate discipline: above average

    15.2% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 77% at his level.

  • Premium position

    C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Speed: above average

    32 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 72% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    C sells at a discount at equal production.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-RH — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 18 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 18 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-RH

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 18 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2023 Bowman Chrome Ronald Hernandez 236/299 Speckle Refractor Auto 1st Marlins at $9.81, 336% over the $2.25 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/299 at or under $2.25 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

33 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 33 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 27 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2023 Topps Bowman Chrome Ronald Hernandez Purple 1st Bowman Auto 210/250 #CPA-RH

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 42d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $15.23

    modeled ~$12.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Ronald Hernandez - 2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-RH - 1st Bowman Auto Gem Mint PSA 10

    base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 149d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $35.99

    modeled ~$124.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Topps Bowman Chrome Ronald Hernandez Purple 1st Bowman Auto 31/250 #CPA-RH

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1047d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled ~$15.23

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST SPECKLE REFRACTOR RONALD HERNANDEZ AUTO /299 PSA 10🔥

    /299 · PSA 10 · listed 818d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Ronald Hernandez Refractor Auto /499 Miami Marlins 1st Bowman

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 113d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $7.84

    modeled ~$11.69

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Ronald Hernandez Auto Refractor 191/499 Miami Marlins

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 381d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $12.50

    modeled ~$11.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $3.29, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $3.29 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.84, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $7.84 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +138%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $9.81, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $9.81 live
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +25%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.23, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $15.23 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +55%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

5 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 53 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    51

    average · better than 55% at his level

    24.3% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    48

    average · better than 44% at his level

    .121 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    57

    above average · better than 77% at his level

    15.2% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    56

    above average · better than 72% at his level

    32 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    47

    average · better than 39% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .667 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 62th percentile of the cohort, production at the 39th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 85% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 62 and his production sits at 39, a gap of +23. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 85th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.9 / 10

  • old for High-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

415

AVG

.209

OBP

.337

SLG

.330

OPS

.667

better than 39%

HR

8

SB

22

BB%

15.2

K%

24.3

Is this player getting better?

About the same as last season — .653 to .667 OPS.

Still at High-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.653→.667

Power

.111→.121

Walks

10.7%▲15.2%

Strikeouts

21.9%▲24.3%

Last season, 393 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market33 listed · 33 eBay-verified · 27 not shown above
Listings
33

33 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$3.29
Median ask
$9.27
Cheapest 1st auto
$3.29
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$7.84

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 27 cards

  • —Ronald Hernandez 1st 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Ref Auto /499 #CPA-RH MarlinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $29.61Ronald Hernandez 2023 Bowman Chrome Speckle Auto Card /299 #CPA-RH PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $30.542023 Bowman Chrome Gold Refractor 21/50 Ronald Hernandez PSA 9 MINT Auto 0j0oNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $29.61Ronald Hernandez 2023 Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto Card /250 CPA-RH PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $3.292023 Bowman Chrome Ronald Hernandez 1st Bowman On Card Auto AutographNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $3.312023 Bowman Chrome Ronald Hernandez #CPA-RH Prospect Auto 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $3.48Ronald Hernandez 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-RH MarlinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $5.24Ronald Hernandez 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Autograph RC MarlinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $5.50CZ3-448 - 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto - Ronald Hernandez #CPA-RH - 1stNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.22💰2023 Ronald Hernandez 1st Bowman ⚾️CHROME ON CARD AUTO!💰FREE SHIPPING!💰💰💰NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.902023 Bowman Chrome Ronald Hernandez 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-RH MarlinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.992023 Bowman Chrome Ronald Hernandez 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-RH MarlinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $8.50Ronald Hernandez 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Auto Card #CPA-RHNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $9.27Ronald Hernandez - 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Bowman Autograph ON-CARD AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $13.99RONALD HERNANDEZ 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-RHNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Ronald Hernandez 1st Bowman On-Card Auto #CPA-RH MarlinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Ronald Hernandez #CPA-RH Auto 1st Prospect MarlinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Ronald Hernandez Auto #CDA-RH Marlins 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Ronald Hernandez Auto CPA-RH MARLINSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 BOWMAN CHROME RONALD HERNANDEZ ON CARD AUTO 1ST MARLINS NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Ronald Hernandez 1st Prospect Auto Autograph Marlins ⭐️🔥🔥🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Ronald Hernandez Auto CPA-RH MARLINSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —RONALD HERNANDEZ 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Autograph Auto RC #CPA-RHNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Topps Bowman Chrome Ronald Hernandez Purple 1st Bowman Auto 210/250 #CPA-RHNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $10.422023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 69/499 Ronald Hernandez #CPA-RH Auto 1o2mNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $9.812023 Bowman Chrome Ronald Hernandez 236/299 Speckle Refractor Auto 1st Marlins PASS
  • $9.812023 Bowman Chrome Ronald Hernandez 119/299 Speckle Refractor On Card Auto 1st PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now