Deal Sniper

Druw Jones

CF · Double-A · 22.0y · #1654 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

53 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

25 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is DRUW JONES • 2023 Bowman Chrome • Bowman… at $61.05. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Druw Jones scores 53 out of 100 (#1654 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.

  • Power: below average

    .089 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Power slipping

    .105 last season to .089 this one.

  • Speed: plus

    39 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 81% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    High-A to Double-A.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DJ — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DJ

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is DRUW JONES 2023 Bowman Chrome CPADJ 1st Rookie Auto Refractor /499 PSA 9 at $305, 417% over the $59 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/499 at or under $59 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

25 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 24 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 18 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Prospect Mojo Blue Refractor Druw Jones Auto 16z7

    Blue Mojo Refractor · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $61.02

    modeled ~$10.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • DRUW JONES • 2023 Bowman Chrome • Bowman 1st Auto #CPA-DJ • DIAMONDBACKS

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $61.05

    modeled ~$10.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2023 Bowman Druw Jones #CPA-DJ Chrome Auto Speckle Refractor /299 1st Prospect

    /299 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $136.00

    modeled ~$15.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Druw Jones 2023 Bowman Sapphire Orange Refractor 1st /50 PSA 9 Auto PSA 10

    /50 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 235d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $269.99

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Druw Jones 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Blue Crater Auto #CPADJ 28/150 PSA 10 D-Backs

    /150 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 8d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $279.90

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Lunar Refractor Druw Jones 1st Signed Autographed PSA 10 Auto

    Refractor · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 807d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $308.99

    modeled ~$116.49

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Druw Jones, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $30.51–$64.07, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $61.05, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Blue Mojo RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $61.02, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    0%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $136.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +123%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Shimmer Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $326.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +140%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $354.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    75 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +9%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Superfractor 1/1THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $663.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    1 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +87%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

12 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 51 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    45

    below average · better than 31% at his level

    29.2% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    43

    below average · better than 23% at his level

    .089 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    55

    above average · better than 70% at his level

    12.4% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    59

    plus · better than 81% at his level

    39 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    50

    average · better than 49% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .710 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    63

    plus · better than 91% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 51th percentile of the cohort, production at the 49th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 51 and his production sits at 49, a gap of +2. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 50th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.8 / 10

  • already at Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

435

AVG

.263

OBP

.358

SLG

.352

OPS

.710

better than 49%

HR

5

SB

28

BB%

12.4

K%

29.2

Is this player getting better?

About the same as last season — .695 to .710 OPS.

Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.695.710

Power

.105.089

Walks

10.3%12.4%

Strikeouts

23.3%29.2%

Last season, 545 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market25 listed · 25 eBay-verified · 18 not shown above
Listings
25

25 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$61.02
Median ask
$304.99
Cheapest 1st auto
$61.05
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$136.00

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 18 cards

  • $325.002023 1st Bowman Chrome Druw Jones Speckle Refractor Auto /299 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $326.99DRUW JONES Bowman 1st Chrome Auto Green Shimmer Refractor #d /99 SSP ON CARD NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $350.00Druw Jones 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DJ DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $354.98Druw Jones 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Rookie Auto #CPA-DJ (RC) Yellow Refractor /75NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $663.50DRUW JONES 2024 BOWMAN CHROME ASCENSIONS SUPERFRACTOR AUTO 1/1NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto Druw Jones 1st Bowman Purple Refractor /250 RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Sapphire Druw Jones 1st Bowman Green Sapphire Auto /50NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • DRUW JONES 2023 1st Bowman Sapphire Auto #BSPA-DJ PSA 10 Gem DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Druw Jones Yellow Refractor /75 PSA 9 DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome DRUW JONES 1st Atomic Refractor Auto /100 CPA-DJ PSA 9/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Druw Jones 1st Bowman Green Shimmer Auto /99 #CPA-DJ PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Druw Jones Prospects Sapphire Auto SP PSA 9 1stNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Druw Jones Prospects Speckle Auto /299 PSA 9 1stNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • DRUW JONES 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st /499 Auto Refractor Diamondbacks RC RookieNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Druw Jones 1st Auto Blue 055/150 - PPA-DJS DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $304.99DRUW JONES 2023 Bowman Chrome CPADJ 1st Rookie Auto Refractor /499 PSA 9PASS
  • 2023 Bowman Druw Jones 1st Bowman Auto TOP PROSPECTNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $287.792023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 412/499 Druw Jones PSA 9 MINT Auto lw9PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player