Randal Diaz
SS · High-A · 23.0y · #1569 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
54 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
49 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Randal Diaz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Randal Diaz scores 54 out of 100 (#1569 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: speed: plus — 43 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 84% at his level.
We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
The signal
Speed: plus
43 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 84% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to High-A.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Power: above average
.183 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 74% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
SS is a position the hobby pays up for.
OPS improving
.599 last season to .808 this one.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-RD — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 4 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-RD
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Randal Diaz Auto 19n6 at $15.82, 295% over the $4 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
/250 at or under $4 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
49 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 49 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 43 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Randal Diaz Auto 1st Bowman Autograph RC
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 169d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.38
modeled ~$9.99
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Draft - Chrome Prospect 1st Randal Diaz #CPA-RD Auto Nationals
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 25d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.48
modeled ~$9.99
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Randal Diaz Auto 1st
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 226d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$4.98
modeled ~$9.99
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Draft Randal Diaz Chrome Auto Refractor 1st #/499 Nationals #2206
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 110d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.00
modeled ~$12.50
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Draft Randal Diaz Chrome Auto Refractor /499 1st Prospect Nationals
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 190d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.99
modeled ~$12.50
LOTTERY
2024 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME RANDAL DIAZ 1st BOWMAN AUTO CPA-RD WASHINGTON NATS
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 528d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.00
modeled ~$9.99
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder9 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.38, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.38 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.00 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +14%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Lava /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.99 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +100%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.82 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +58%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Wave /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $14.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $14.24 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -10%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Lava /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.00 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -30%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $42.04, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $42.04 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +320%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $34.57, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $34.57 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -18%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Wave Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $91.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $91.49 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +165%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 55 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 55 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
53
above average · better than 61% at his level
23.1% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level
.183 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
49
average · better than 48% at his level
11.1% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
60
plus · better than 84% at his level
43 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
57
above average · better than 76% at his level · the result, not a skill
.808 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
51
average · better than 53% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 67th percentile of the cohort, production at the 76th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 67 and his production sits at 76, a gap of -9. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 36th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.7 / 10
- old for High-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
334
AVG
.263
OBP
.362
SLG
.446
OPS
.808
better than 76%
HR
11
SB
24
BB%
11.1
K%
23.1
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .599 to .808 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.599▲.808
Power
.054▲.183
Walks
10.7%→11.1%
Strikeouts
15.4%▲23.1%
Last season, 428 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-26 — $5.99 plus $6.00 shipping · /499 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market49 listed · 49 eBay-verified · 43 not shown above
- Listings
- 49
- Lowest seen
- $4.38
- Median ask
- $9.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $4.38
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $5.00
49 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 43 cards
- $6.312024 Bowman Draft Randal Diaz Chrome Auto 1st Prospect NationalsLOTTERY
- $6.502024 Bowman Chrome Randal Diaz #CPA-RD Refractor /499 1st Bowman AutoLOTTERY
- $7.50🔥 2024 Bowman Chrome Randal Diaz 1st Bowman Auto Refractor /499 CPA-RD 🔥LOTTERY
- $7.982024 Bowman Draft Randal Diaz Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-RD NationalsLOTTERY
- $7.992024 Bowman Draft Randal Diaz Chrome Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-RDLOTTERY
- $8.602024 Randal Diaz Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-RD (H1221) $6 MAX SHIPLOTTERY
- $8.602024 Randal Diaz Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-RD (H1221) $6 MAX SHIPLOTTERY
- $9.682024 Bowman Chrome Randal Diaz AUTO REFRACTOR /499 1st Bowman AutographLOTTERY
- $9.832024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Randal Diaz #CPA-RD Auto 0g6dLOTTERY
- $9.992024 Bowman Chrome Randal Diaz 1st 079/199 Aqua Lava Auto #CPA-RD NationalsLOTTERY
- $10.002024 Bowman Chrome Randal Diaz 1st /99 Green Lava Auto #CPA-RD NationalsLOTTERY
- $10.002024 Bowman Chrome Randal Diaz Auto Refractor /499 Autograph 1st BowmanLOTTERY
- $10.132024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Randal Diaz #CPA-RD Auto 1ln4LOTTERY
- $10.35Randal Diaz 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Autographs 1st Auto WashingtonLOTTERY
- $12.002024 Bowman Chrome Randal Diaz Auto Refractor /499 Autograph 1st BowmanLOTTERY
- $14.24Randal Diaz 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto Blue Wave /150 #CPA-RD NationalsLOTTERY
- $15.592024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Randal Diaz #CPA-RD Auto 10a4LOTTERY
- $16.382024 Bowman Draft Randal Diaz Chrome Auto Blue Wave /150 1st Prospect NationalsLOTTERY
- $16.732024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Randal Diaz #CPA-RD Auto 0g6dLOTTERY
- $30.182024 Bowman Chrome Randal Diaz Auto Refractor /499 PSA 9 MINT 1st AutographNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $34.572024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Yellow Refractor 29/75 Randal Diaz Auto 14lmNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $39.982024 Bowman Draft Randal Diaz Chrome Prospect AUTO PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $42.042024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Green Refractor 34/99 Randal Diaz Auto 1pr8NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $91.492024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Gold Wave Refractor /50 Randal Diaz Auto 1pr8NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Randal Diaz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto PURPLE /250NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Randal Diaz Chrome Auto Refractor 1st Prospect #/499 NationalsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Randal Diaz 1st Bowman /75 Yellow Refractor Auto CPA-RDNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Randal Diaz 1st Base Auto #CPA-RD NationalsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Randal Diaz 1st Base Auto #CPA-RD NationalsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME RANDAL DIAZ 1st BOWMAN AUTO CPA-RD [NATIONALS]NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome #CPA-RD Randal Diaz 1st Prospect AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —RANDAL DIAZ 2024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AUTOGRAPH NATIONALS AUTO Q0673 NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Randal Diaz 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-RD Chrome Prospect Auto 1st 2-19NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —RANDAL DIAZ 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Blue Wave Refractor Auto /150NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Randal Diaz Auto 1st Bowman Washington Nationals CPA-RDNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft | Randal Diaz | 1st Bowman Chrome Auto | NationalsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Randal Diaz Auto Blue Refractor 1st Prospect /150 CardNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Randal Diaz Chrome Auto Blue Refractor 1st #81/150NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Randal Diaz Auto 1st Bowman Washington Nationals CPA-RDNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome #CPA-RD Randal Diaz 1st Autograph Auto Refractor #/499NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome #CPA-RD Randal Diaz 1st Autograph Auto Refractor #/499NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft - Chrome Prospect Auto Randal Diaz #CPA-RD Aqua Lava /199NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $15.822024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Randal Diaz Auto 19n6LOTTERY
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run