Nick Becker
SS · Low-A · 19.0y · #3200 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
42 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
17 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is NICK BECKER 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT… at $16. Needs a $7 drop.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Nick Becker scores 42 out of 100 (#3200 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $13–22 off 1 confirmed sale.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 84 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
Power: well below
.032 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Speed: plus-plus
79 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 96% at his level.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Plate discipline: plus-plus
21.4% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 94% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
84 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-NB — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$13.13–21.88midpoint $17.50
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-21 · 3 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-NB
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Nick Becker #CPA-NB Auto v8j at $36.87, 221% over the $11.50–17.50 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $11.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Needs a $7 drop
- Player not there yet
- NICK BECKER 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT… at or under $9.20 delivered.
- On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
What is for sale right now
17 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 17 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 11 are under "The whole live market".
2025 1st Bowman Draft Chrome True Blue Refractor Nick Becker Auto 65/150 RC SP
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 157d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $11.81–45.94
PASS
2025 Bowman Draft Nick Becker 1st Chrome Blue Wave Refractor Auto /150 Mariners
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $11.81–45.94
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Nick Becker 1st Purple Auto /250 Mariners
/250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 8d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$61.78
modeled $10.24–39.81
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Nick Becker Purple Refractor Auto /250 #CPA-NB Mariners
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $10.24–39.81
PASS
2025 Bowman Draft #CPA-NB Nick Becker 1st Chrome Refractor Auto #/499
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$45.90
modeled $9.06–35.22
PASS
2025 Bowman Draft Nick Becker 1st Bowman Aqua Lave Refractor Auto /199 #CPANB
/199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 12d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$156.00
modeled $10.63–41.34
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Nick Becker, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $8.00–$16.80, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.00 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $45.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $45.90 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +187%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $156.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $156.00 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +240%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $61.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $61.78 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -60%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $77.12, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $77.12 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $406.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $406.00 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +427%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $294.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $294.95 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -27%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 55 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A
What he is good at
skills overall 55 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
46
below average · better than 35% at his level
28.6% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
39
well below · better than 13% at his level
.032 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
66
plus-plus · better than 94% at his level
21.4% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
68
plus-plus · better than 96% at his level
79 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
39
well below · better than 14% at his level · the result, not a skill
.514 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
69
plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 60th percentile of the cohort, production at the 14th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 99% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 60 and his production sits at 14, a gap of +46. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 99th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.2 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
84
AVG
.145
OBP
.337
SLG
.177
OPS
.514
better than 14%
HR
0
SB
11
BB%
21.4
K%
28.6
Is this player getting better?
About the same as last season — .529 to .514 OPS — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.
Still at Low-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.529→.514
Power
.000▲.032
Walks
14.3%▲21.4%
Strikeouts
32.1%▼28.6%
Last season, 28 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market17 listed · 17 eBay-verified · 11 not shown above
- Listings
- 17
- Lowest seen
- $16.00
- Median ask
- $53.84
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $16.00
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $45.90
17 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 11 cards
- $406.002025 Bowman Draft Nick Becker 1st Bowman Gold Shimmer Refractor Auto /50 #CPANBPASS
- $77.122025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 116/250 Nick Becker Auto 2a5PASS
- $294.952025 Bowman Draft Nick Becker 1st Bowman True Gold Refractor Auto /50 MarinersPASS
- $16.00NICK BECKER 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO #CPA-NB MARINERS PASS
- $16.982025 Bowman Draft Nick Becker 1st Chrome Prospect Auto MarinersPASS
- $31.002025 Bowman Draft Nick Becker 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPANB Seattle MarinersPASS
- $36.872025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Nick Becker #CPA-NB Auto v8jPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Nick Becker 1st Bowman Auto Mariners CPA-NBPASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Nick Becker Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-NB MarinersPASS
- —Nick Becker 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-NB Mariners #4PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Nick Becker 1st Bowman Auto Mariners CPA-NBPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run